Best NRFI Bets Today: Logan Gilbert to Continue to Shine

The Seattle Mariners have become a consistent team to back for our NRFI series due to their elite defensive production and a lackluster offense. With surging AL Cy Young contender Logan GIlbert taking the mound, early offensive success should be tough to come by for the Minnesota Twins. Before that takes place, we target the NRFI in the matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers as both offenses should struggle out of the gate. For more information about the NRFI market and what factors into them being worth a wager, check out our breakdown of Daily No Run First Inning.

When looking to make a wager on a NRFI, it’s important to acquire as many sportsbooks as you have available to you in order to line shop the very volatile market. Each sportsbook also has their own unique signup bonus, giving new users a boost to their bankroll to wager with during the MLB season. The FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $150 in bonus bets for simply creating an account and winning their first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $150 in bonus bets.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners - Bailey Ober vs. Logan Gilbert (9:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-120) at FanDuel

The Seattle Mariners have managed to capitalize on the Houston Astros early season struggles, getting off to a head start with a sizable lead in the AL West division standings and still a handful of games ahead of the rest of the pack. Should they want to continue to hold on to their lead, then their defense will need to continue to play at an elite rate as they currently rank second overall in Defensive Efficiency.

A big reason for their early season defensive success stems from their pitching staff, a unit that currently ranks in the top-7 in Team Total Pitching ERA. They boast elite depth on the mound, fielding arguably one of the best starting trios in the league with Luis Castillo, George Kirby, and surging AL Cy Young contender Logan Gilbert all possessing an ability to shut down any opposing offense.

Every bit of Logan Gilbert’s production will be needed against a Minnesota Twins offense that has continued to build momentum, climbing up to above league average in On Base Percentage, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and Team Total Hits. Their momentum is poised to halt against Gilbert’s elite ability to keep opposing runners off the bases, taking the mound against the Twins with a WHIP of 0.893.

As for the Mariners offense, they have yet to give their defense the help it needs to be a well rounded unit as they currently rank near the bottom of the board in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. That bodes well for the Twins Bailey Ober as he has had a rough start to his 2024 campaign. Better yet, positive regression looms large for Ober as teams have maximized their scoring chances as his ERA of 4.50 does not correlate with his WHIP of 1.110.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-120) at FanDuel 

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Jameson Taillon vs. Colin Rea (8:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at FanDuel

As for our next NRFI, we focus on a NL Central divisional showdown between the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers. The Cubs once rivaled the Brewers for the top spot of the NL Central division standings, yet tumbled down the board to fifth place after a horrific cold stretch of play. That leaves the Brewers comfortably in the lead for first after coming into the year as high as +1000 to win the division.

Should the Cubs want to start climbing back up the division standings, then starting pitcher Jameson Taillon will need to shut down a Brewers offense that ranks above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Taillon has excelled at limiting opposing scoring, possessing an ERA of 2.90, but will need to hold off negative regression as his WHIP creeps up to 1.273.

As for the Brewers, they roll out Colin Rea who has yet to find his footing so far this season. He’s flirted with danger as his WHIP increases to 1.244, overly relying on his back end as he struggles to punch opposing batters out with just 54 Total Strikeouts in 15 games played. Fortunately for Rea, the Cubs offense struggles to make contact and will not be able to capitalize on Rea’s inability to create whiffs.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-125) at FanDuel 

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