Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props, April 24

Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits (-185 at DraftKings)

Even if the value isn’t there, this is one of the safest prop bets on Monday, perfect for tacking onto a parlay. Semien has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the past week. In his last six games, he’s hitting .450 with an OPS of 1.343. He has nine hits, nine runs, and eight RBIs during that stretch, so he’s doing it all.

Equally important, Semien has at least one hit in eight of his last nine games with five multi-hit games during that stretch. As the odds suggest, the chances are slim that he’s not going to be able to keep it going, especially against a left-handed starter in Nick Lodolo, who has allowed at least seven hits in three of his four starts. While Semien has never faced Lodolo, as a red-hot hitter, he has the advantage over a young pitcher in Lodolo who has had plenty of ups and downs this season.

Jean Segura Under 0.5 Hits (+115 at DraftKings)

The Marlins took a chance on Segura when they signed him this past winter, but he has not delivered as they hoped. Miami’s primary third baseman is batting just .194 with an OPS of .438 on the season. Even with five hits in his last six games, Segura is still below the dreaded Mendoza Line.

On Monday, he’ll be facing perhaps his worst nightmare in Atlanta’s Spencer Strider. Segura has four at-bats in his career against Strider, all of which have ended in a strikeout. That doesn’t bode well for his chances to get a hit on Monday against the Braves. Obviously, there isn’t much margin for error when betting under 0.5 hits, but Segura’s struggles this season and his history against Strider make this a good bet, especially since Strider has only allowed 12 hits over his first 22 innings of the season.

Spencer Strider Over 8.5 Strikeouts (-145 at DraftKings)

Speaking of Strider, he’s going to be an excellent prop bet candidate on Monday himself. He has exactly nine strikeouts in each of his four starts in 2023. Keep in mind that he only went five innings in two of those starts but still managed to reach nine strikeouts. If you do the math, 36 of his 66 outs this year have been strikeouts, which amounts to roughly 55% of batters making an out without putting the ball in play.

Facing the Marlins on Monday will give Strider a great chance to keep it going. While the Marlins are middle of the road in striking out this year, they have scored the third-fewest runs in baseball. Given Miami’s weak lineup, Strider is poised to dominate, and when Strider dominates, he strikes people out. That means he should be able to reach at least nine strikeouts for the fifth straight start.

Sonny Gray Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-115 at DraftKings)

Gray is off to a sensational start this season, and even against the Yankees, he’ll keep it going on Monday. The guy is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 22 innings of work. But we’re going to target his hits in Monday’s start, as he’s conceded just 17 across those 22 innings. Just one team has managed to get more than four hits against Gray in his four starts. He’s also been pulled after five innings in three of his four starts, so there’s every chance that Gray will dominate for five innings on Monday and then come out.

Keep in mind that Gray has a good track record against most of the Yankees he’ll face on Monday. Even Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo are just a combined 3 for 17 against Gray. Perhaps more importantly, the Yankees are looking a little sluggish offensively right now, scoring just five total runs in their last three games. The Yankees have scored two runs in four of their last seven games and three runs or less in six of their last seven games. In other words, they aren’t likely to get off to a fast start on Monday, allowing Gray to hold them to four hits or less while he’s in the game.

Austin Gomber vs Guardians Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+110 at DraftKings)

This has been a nightmare of a season for Gomber and there’s no reason to think that’ll stop now. In four starts this year, he’s 0-4 with a 12.12 ERA and a 2.14 WHIP. He still hasn’t adjusted to pitching at Coors Field, but even in his two road starts, he’s allowed eight runs over 9.2 innings. Yet, DraftKings is giving him +100 odds to allow at least three runs, something Gomber has done in every start.

He’s been knocked out in the fourth inning or earlier in his last two starts but has still allowed at least five runs in those outings. The caveat is that Cleveland’s offense is ice-cold at the moment. The Guardians scored seven runs on Sunday but had scored three runs or less in five straight games before that. But facing Gomber is the perfect way for the Guardians to keep things going, especially with Josh Bell, Jose Ramirez, and Amed Rosario being a combined 8 for 15 against Gomber, so Cleveland’s big bats are poised to do some damage on Monday.

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