The odds for runs scored are taken from DraftKings.
We have a full slate of games today and will start with a prop bet from Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. This matchup between the Giants and the Tigers should be an interesting one.
The Giants have a strong roster but have had a slow start to the season, so this will be a close matchup. This prop will involve the Giants’ Sean Manaea. Manaea had a strong season in 2021 but struggled through 2022. He finished with an 8-9 record and a 4.96 ERA last season. Even though he has not been able to replicate his past success, he is still striking out hitters at an efficient rate. Manaea will end with six strikeouts or more in this game. Bet on the over.
Manaea averaged 5.2 strikeouts per game in 30 games (28 starts) last season. He was not striking out every hitter he faced, but he was striking out a handful every game.
The lefty struck out eight in his first start this season and will take that momentum into this game. Manaea is facing a Tigers team averaging over nine strikeouts a game. If you combine his penchant for throwing K’s with the Tigers’ penchant for striking out, it is not hard to see why Manaea will have at least six strikeouts. Bet on the over.
Our second prop bet of the day will be our first batter prop. We will go to Miami, Florida, for this prop. The Diamondbacks have a better record than the Marlins but not by much.
This will be a close game and one to watch. We will look at the Diamondback’s Alek Thomas for this prop. Thomas made his MLB debut last season and played in 113 games. He did not excel but played well enough to keep his starting job this year. Thomas has had a bit of a slow start to the season, but I would expect him to have one hit today. Bet on the over.
Thomas entered yesterday’s game with a .161 average. He ended with the game with a .200 average after going 2-4 with two doubles.
Obviously, I do not expect him to go 2-4 with two doubles once again in this game. However, I do expect him to get some type of hit. This is for two reasons. The main reason is Thomas is heating up, and the other reason is he does not strike out much.
The center fielder only has two strikeouts in 33 at-bats this season. He is a tough out because he makes a lot of contacts and does not swing and miss much. I only say all this to illustrate why Thomas will get a hit today. Bet on the over.
Check out the Diamondbacks vs Marlins full game preview, here!
Our third prop of the day will take place in Toronto, Canada. This will be one of the most watched games today since the Rays are still undefeated and going for their 14th win in a row.
Regardless of who wins, there are some interesting props associated with this matchup. This prop will involve the Blue Jay’s Brandon Belt. Belt is a 34-year-old veteran in his first season in Toronto after 12 seasons in San Francisco. He has not been a dominant hitter in a few seasons and is off to a slow start this year. I expect Belt to go hitless in this game. Bet on the under.
Belt comes into this game with a .161 average. In eight games, he has gone 5-31. He is not seeing the ball well and will be facing a hot pitcher in this matchup in Drew Rasmussen.
Rasmussen is yet to give up a run in two starts this season and has 0.23 WHIP. He is stifling hitters and will stifle Belt. Bet on the under.
Our last two prop bets will be pitcher props. This pitcher prop will involve the Guardians’ Cal Quantrill. Quantrill is coming off his best season but has not been able to translate last year’s success into this year.
The 28-year-old finished last year with a 15-5 record and a 3.38 ERA but has a 6.52 ERA in two starts this year. He will settle down as the season progresses but will definitely give up some hits in the process. Bet on Quantrill to give up six hits or more in this game. Bet on the over.
Quantrill gave up seven hits in his previous start and eight hits in his start before that. He may pitch relatively well today, but he is not performing well enough to give up five or less hits. It is simply not a reasonable expectation, given his past performances. Bet on the over.
We are on to our final prop of the day. Luis Garcia will be the subject of this prop. Garcia is the #4 pitcher in the Astros’ rotation and coming off a 15-8 season. The righty is reliable on the mound but does not throw that deep into games. He is facing a Texas Rangers team that is hitting well, so I expect him to have a mediocre performance and throw less than six innings. Bet on the under.
Garcia threw five innings in his first outing and four innings in his second outing. He gave up a few too many hits and let his pitch count get pretty high before the fifth or sixth inning. Make no mistake, Garcia is not a bad pitcher. However, he is not very efficient on the mound, which is why he will not make it past six innings. Bet on the under.
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