Thursday’s strategy of targeting strikeout props didn’t exactly pan out for us. That’s why we’ve switched gears for Friday and will focus more on hitters. Specifically, we’re targeting two New York-based hitters who are scorching hot at the moment. At the same time, we’re fading a few pitchers with the expectation that plenty of runs will be scored around MLB on Friday.
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Lindor was nothing short of incredible during the Mets’ three-game sweep of the Phillies this week. Not only does he have a four-game hitting streak but he had multiple hits in all four of those games, not to mention three home runs. While he’s no longer getting plus odds on collecting multiple bases, Lindor is so hot at the moment that this feels like a safe bet.
The kicker is that he’s 5 for 10 with two extra-base hits in his career against Washington starter Jake Irvin. That’s the perfect matchup for him to stay hot and continue to rack up multiple-hit games.
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The home runs may not be coming for Judge right now, but the biggest power threat in the game is batting .415. While it’s still early in the season, batting over .400 in late April is still an impressive accomplishment. Therefore, it’s worth taking a chance on Judge having a multiple-hit game on Friday, given the odds we’re getting for this prop.
Over his last 15 games, Judge has had multiple hits nine times, including three of his last five games. The matchup against Toronto’s Jose Berrios is also favorable for him. Judge is 13 for 34 (.382) with five home runs and two doubles in his career against Berrios. This could mean an end to his home run drought, although it also points to Judge putting together another multiple-hit game.
At age 38, Carrasco no longer resembles a competent big-league pitcher. Somehow, he’s managed to pick up a couple of wins this season despite a 6.53 ERA. He’s given up at least three runs in four of his five starts, which is why it’s smart to jump on this bet since it has plus odds. To be fair, he’s fared well against most of Toronto’s hitters, as most members of the Blue Jays don’t have much experience against Carrasco. That could give him a little bit of an advantage early in this game.
He’s also getting the Blue Jays at the right time, as they’ve lost five in a row, scoring just two total runs in their last three games. But Carrasco’s recent track record speaks for itself, and he’s the perfect pitcher to fade against a desperate Toronto team in a hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.
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Freeland was brilliant in his first start of the season, only to turn into a train wreck since then. In three consecutive games, he allowed at least eight hits. The only reason he allowed just three hits in his last outing is because he had to come out of the game after two innings. As long as he’s healthy enough to avoid an early exit on Friday, there’s little doubt that Freeland will give up at least half a dozen hits. The batters on Cincinnati’s roster are hitting a combined .362 against Freeland in their careers.
The Reds have also been hot offensively lately, as they’re less than a week removed from a 24-run game. Playing at Coors Field against Freeland, the Reds should have a field day.
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This is our favorite bet on Friday because we’re getting plus odds on Sale failing to finish six full innings. The lefty has yet to record an out in the sixth inning all season, so this feels like a safe bet. In fact, Sale has failed to complete five innings in three straight starts, so the Braves might be satisfied with that much and get him out of the game.
Even if some of Arizona’s best hitters are left-handed, the Diamondbacks have an unforgiving lineup that will make it hard for Sale to go deep in this game.
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