For Thursday, the operative word for MLB prop picks will be strikeouts. With an abbreviated schedule like most Thursdays, we’ve had to narrow our focus a little, so three of our five picks involve the strikeout totals of various pitchers. Just for good measure, we’ve included a couple of hitting props as well, so the focus isn’t entirely on strikeouts.
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With a .205 average this season, Arozarena has given us a lot of reason to bet against him. However, the former Rookie of the Year has struggled so much that he’s getting valuable odds to collect just one hit. He also has at least one hit in three of his last four games despite striking out in 10 of his 19 at-bats during that stretch. In that sense, he’s starting to have some success despite being a frequent strikeout victim.
Arozarena is also 3 for 3 in his career against Garrett Crochet, who starts for the Red Sox on Thursday. While that’s a small sample, it gives us enough of a reason to take advantage of the odds Arozarena is getting these days.
The Red Sox are the current MLB leaders in total strikeouts, so they’re the perfect team for a prop bet like this. In a day game after a night game, Boston’s hitters could be even more vulnerable. Meanwhile, Woo has also struck out at least six batters in two of his last three starts, so he can rack up high strikeout numbers against the right teams.
Equally important, Woo has pitched at least six innings in all four of his starts this season, meaning if he can get just one strikeout per inning, he should be able to collect at least half a dozen. It’s also worth noting that most of Boston’s hitters have never faced Woo before. If there is an adjustment period for the hitters, Woo could rack up a lot of strikeouts early in this game and have no problem getting at least six.
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Anderson isn’t typically looked at as a high-strikeout pitcher. The 35-year-old has other ways of getting hitters out. But he has reached six strikeouts in back-to-back starts. The southpaw is also putting together an incredible season, going 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA through four starts. That puts him in a good position to succeed on Thursday, especially since the Angels need a win to avoid getting swept.
Of course, the Pirates also rank near the top of the league in strikeouts, averaging nine per game. The Pirates have some free swingers on their roster, so a veteran pitcher like Anderson should be able to take advantage of that.
Reynolds has been raging hot lately, putting together a five-game hitting streak. That stretch includes three multiple-hit games, giving him different ways of collecting multiple bases. Admittedly, his power numbers haven’t been there this season, so it might take multiple hits to go over 1.5 total bases. Nevertheless, Reynolds is 4 for 6 with two extra-base hits in his career against Anderson.
That might be a small sample size, but it was enough to catch our eye, especially since Reynolds is finally coming around offensively. That makes this a good time to target him for a bet like this.
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It feels a little wrong to bet against deGrom’s strikeout total. After all, he’s coming off seven strong innings against the Dodgers, giving up one run while striking out seven. But he’s also been a little inconsistent this season, striking out four batters or fewer in two of his four starts.
Obviously, when deGrom is at his best, teams can barely put the ball in play against him. However, the Athletics have been one of the toughest teams in the league to strike out, averaging just over seven per game. That could limit deGrom’s strikeout total on Thursday, even if he has a good game.
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