Best MLB Prop Bets for Today: Pitchers Set Out to Dominate on Saturday

Saturdays are usually a good day to back pitchers and fade hitters. During day games, in particular, hitters are going to be tired, giving a huge advantage to pitchers with great stuff. Most of our props for Saturday are either backing pitchers or fading hitters, which we expect will be a winning formula.

The odds for Saturday’s bets are from bet365 Sportsbook. At bet365, you’ll find a huge selection of MLB bets and competitive odds. Even better, if you’re a new user, you can claim either $150 in bonus bets or get a safety net of up to $1,000 on your first wager.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Royals vs Tigers (1:10 PM, EST)

Riley Green 2+ Strikeouts (+225) at bet365 Sportsbook

Greene went off for three hits and two RBI in Detroit’s win over the Royals on Friday. But that performance is an aberration compared to what he’s done lately. Before Friday, Greene had struck out multiple times in four straight games and seven of his last eight games. In fact, he has 11 multi-strikeout games in the 17 games he has started last season. Yet, we’re getting plus-odds on him to strike out at least twice in a day game on Saturday when he might be a little sluggish. The kicker is that Greene is 0 for 7 with four strikeouts in his career against Kansas City starter Seth Lugo. Despite his three hits on Friday, everything about this matchup screams more strikeouts for Greene.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Diamondbacks vs Cubs (2:20 PM, EST)

Dansby Swanson Under 0.5 Hits (+125) at bet365 Sportsbook

With a .169 average, Swanson has had a dreadful start to the season. He was benched on Friday, with the Cubs scoring 13 runs without him. Assuming he’s back in the lineup on Saturday, Swanson is a great candidate to go hitless. He has just two hits over his last seven games, going 2 for 30 during that stretch. Swanson also has a tough matchup on Saturday against Arizona’s Zac Gallen. He’s just 1 for 11 with three strikeouts in his career against Gallen, so there isn’t much reason to be optimistic about Swanson breaking out of his slump on Saturday.

Zac Gallen Over 2.5 Walks (-130) at bet365 Sportsbook

Walks have been among Gallen’s biggest problems this season. His 4.64 ERA isn’t terrible, but it doesn’t come close to matching the standard Gallen has set for himself as Arizona’s ace in recent years. He’s walked at least three batters in three of his four starts this year, including two starts in which he’s issued four walks. On Saturday, he just so happens to be facing the league leaders in walks. The Cubs have more total walks than anyone and average 4.2 walks per game. Given how Gallen has struggled with his control early in the season, a patient Chicago lineup is bound to get at least three walks against him.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Guardians vs Pirates (4:05 PM, EST)

Paul Skenes Under 1.5 ER (-135) at bet365 Sportsbook

Skenes pitching in a day game in which hitters might be a little tired is the perfect occasion to back him. In two of his last three starts, Skenes has allowed one earned run or less over six or more innings. When he’s on, he can dominate games. He should have a distinct advantage on Saturday because nobody on Cleveland’s roster has ever faced him before. The Guardians don’t have the deepest lineup in the first place. Outside of Steven Kwan, Jose Ramirez, and Gabriel Arias, nobody has stood out thus far. As long as Skenes can keep that group of players contained, he should have a good day.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: White Sox vs Red Sox (4:10 PM, EST)

Shane Smith Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110) at bet365 Sportsbook

Smith is a promising rookie who is still trying to make a name for himself. One thing he’s struggled to do thus far is strike out batters consistently. He has just 12 strikeouts over his first 17.2 innings of the season. In his last start, he collected just three strikeouts in six innings against the Red Sox, who actually lead the big leagues in strikeouts. Boston’s hitters should have a good idea of what to expect from Smith after facing him last Sunday. That will make it harder to get a handful of strikeouts, even against a lineup that strikes out a lot. Since Smith hasn’t gone beyond three strikeouts in two of his three starts, the smart money is fading him in this category. 

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