Thursday is going to be another pitching-heavy day of prop bets, including both pitchers in the Giants-Phillies series finale. At the same time, we’re targeting one of the hottest hitters in baseball, as well as one of the coldest. See our picks below.
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Carroll is just crushing it lately. He’s recorded multiple hits in five of his last six games and in six of his last eight games. During that stretch, he’s also hit eight extra-base hits. There is just one game in those eight games that he’s failed to go beyond 1.5 total bases. Yet, we’re still getting plus odds on Carroll to collect multiple bases, so it’d be silly not to target him.
Just for good measure, Carroll is 2 for 4 with a home run in his career against Miami starter Edward Cabrera. While that’s not a big sample size, it does serve as further evidence that Carroll will continue to stay hot on Thursday and collect multiple bases one way or another.
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Arozarena got a hit on Wednesday to improve his batting average to .169. Of course, he’s just 1 for 12 in his last four games, so it’d be a little surprising to see him suddenly get in a groove and get hits in back-to-back games. Playing a day game after a night game isn’t going to help an ice-cold hitter like Arozarena either.
The kicker is that Arozarena and the Mariners will be facing Brady Singer, who’s allowed two hits or fewer in two of his three starts. Plus, Arozarena is just 1 for 10 in his career against Singer. That wouldn’t mean much if Arozarena was in a groove, but given his recent struggles, he’s a good candidate to go hitless on Thursday.
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In two of his three starts, Sanchez has hit seven or more strikeouts, making 5.5 strikeouts somewhat low despite finishing with just three in his last start. Keep in mind that Sanchez recorded nine strikeouts in just 5.2 innings against the Dodgers earlier this month. If you can rack up strikeouts against the Dodgers, you can do it against anybody, which is why Sanchez is a smart target.
The lefty also has good numbers against several members of the Giants after striking out seven in six scoreless innings against San Francisco last season. This year, the Giants are among the leaders in strikeouts, averaging 9.6 per game thus far. That helps position Sanchez for a big strikeout game on Thursday.
Hicks began the season with six brilliant innings against the Astros. However, he’s been hittable over his last two starts, yielding 14 hits over just 9.1 innings against the Mariners and Yankees. He faces another stiff challenge on Thursday against the Phillies. Admittedly, Hicks has held several members of the Philadelphia lineup under wraps during his career. However, it’s not a big enough sample size to be conclusive, especially given how hittable Hicks has been in his last two starts.
Meanwhile, the Phillies have amassed 25 total hits across the first three games of their series with the Giants. With such a deep lineup, they should be able to keep it going enough to get five hits or more against Hicks.
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This pick is a little against the grain. Olson has had trouble with his control this season, issuing eight walks across 15 innings. He’s walked multiple batters in each of his first three starts. However, the Royals have proven to be one of the top free swingers in baseball this year. They average just 2.7 walks per game, which is among the lowest rates in the majors, so the Royals may not be patient enough to draw multiple walks against Olson.
Keep in mind that Olson’s control issues aren’t normal for him. He walked one batter or fewer in six of his final seven starts in 2024. This may be the game that gets him back on track, which is why we’ll take a chance on the Royals failing to draw walks against him.
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