We came out ahead with our prop bets on Thursday despite the abbreviated schedule, so we’re feeling good about ending the week on a high. Aaron Judge is the biggest name on our list of prop targets for Friday. We’ve also chosen to fade a couple of pitchers who are off to rough starts this year.
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This strikeout total feels awfully low, considering the start to the season that Singer has had. He has struck out at least seven batters in each of his first two starts, doing so in just five innings against the Brewers in his last outing. Surely, he can hit at least half a dozen strikeouts if he manages to complete at least five innings against the Pirates on Friday. While he doesn’t have a strong track record against Pittsburgh’s hitters, only three members of the Pirates have more than three at-bats against Singer.
It also helps that the Pirates are among the league leaders in strikeouts, averaging 9.6 per game. If Singer has an average outing against Pittsburgh, he should hit at least six strikeouts.
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Judge is a good candidate to hit a home run on Friday despite going five straight games without one. But we decided to play it safe and take his RBI prop since Judge has already collected 20 RBI in just 12 games. To be fair, eight of those came in one game, although Judge has still recorded at least one RBI in seven of his 12 games, which makes plus-odds for this prop a worthwhile endeavor.
He’s also 3 for 8 with three home runs and four walks in his career against San Francisco’s Robbie Ray. That gives him a favorable matchup on Friday to do some damage.
It’s been a rough start to the season for Stroman. While the Yankees have won both of his starts, he’s failed to get out of the fifth inning in either outing. Stroman has also languished in both starts, not showcasing the elite stuff he had earlier in his career. As a result, he collected exactly three strikeouts in both starts. It seems wise to bet on that continuing to be the case until Stroman can prove otherwise. The Giants are middle of the pack in striking out thus far, so it’s not as if they are an undisciplined team.
They’ll know that Stroman has struggled and won’t make it easy on him, preventing Stroman from getting more than three strikeouts.
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Most folks don’t know O’Hoppe yet, but that could change soon, given the start he’s had this season. He’s 14 for 39 (.357) with six extra-base hits. The Angels’ catcher is also coming off a three-hit game on Thursday and has at least one hit in five of the last six games he’s started. Since O’Hoppe is still an unknown commodity, he’s getting favorable odds to get one measly hit against Ronel Blanco and the Astros.
Since he’s 3 for 6 with three extra-base hits in his career against Blanco, it’s foolish not to take advantage of O’Hoppe and strike while the iron is hot.
Speaking of Blanco, the 31-year-old is struggling to follow up on his breakout season in 2024. He lasted just five innings in his first start of the season against the Giants and was bounced in the second inning by the Twins last weekend. Despite a high strikeout rate, Blanco is hurting himself with a lot of walks, which makes it tough to pitch deep into games. He’d have to record two outs in the sixth inning to get over 16.5 outs, which seems unrealistic given the start of his season.
Plus, the Angels have won four of their last five games and scored 11 runs on Thursday, so they’re feeling good offensively. Even if Blanco gets his act together, the Astros may want to get him out early to help build his confidence, which is why we’ll gladly take the under on 16.5 outs recorded.
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