After a promising start to the week with our prop bets, we’re going to stay aggressive on Wednesday. Four of our five prop bets today feature plus-odds, so a big payout is possible if we’re right. At the same time, we’ve tried to stay smart by targeting red-hot hitters and pitchers we think will fall a little short.
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Several members of the Blue Jays have a good history against Boston starter Tanner Houck, including Bichette, who is 3 for 7 with two walks against him. That means that the Blue Jays have a good chance to score a lot of runs in this game and that Bichette is likely to be on base and capable of scoring at least one of those runs. Oddly enough, Bichette has scored just one run in seven April games. But he also scored four runs in Toronto’s first four games of the season when the Jays were clicking. Toronto has scored six runs in back-to-back games, so now that things are clicking again, Bichette is likely to cross the plate.
Devers has been rolling lately, with seven RBI in his last five games. It seems that he’s put his disastrous start to the season behind him and is back to being the hitter we know. The timing is good for Devers and the Red Sox to face Kevin Gausman. He’s 9 for 30 (.300) with six extra-base hits and six RBI. That makes Devers more than qualified to do some damage on Wednesday, especially with Gausman giving up five runs over his first 11.1 innings of the season. Given the odds for Devers to collect an RBI, this prop is worth a shot.
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Kikuchi collected six strikeouts in his last start after getting five in his first start of the season. However, that has led to a slightly inflated strikeout total for Wednesday’s game against Tampa. In fairness, Kikuchi is usually good for at least a handful of strikeouts per game, so he can miss bats and rack up a high strikeout total in any given game. But it’s worth mentioning that the Rays have the fewest strikeouts in the majors. They are averaging just 7.4 strikeouts per game. Unless Kikuchi can come close to pitching a complete game, he’s going to struggle to reach seven strikeouts against the Tampa lineup.
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This is a good time to target Harris, who has at least one hit in five of his last six games. During that stretch, he has two multi-hit games and three extra-base hits. More importantly, he has crushed Philadelphia starter Taijuan Walker, albeit in a small sample size. In just five at-bats against Walker, Harris has four hits, including a double and two home runs. That’s a small track record, but it’s still hard to ignore. For whatever reason, Harris sees the ball well against Walker, so it’s hard not to target him when facing Walker.
Holmes certainly has the stuff to collect five strikeouts in this game. However, he may not pitch long enough to reach that number. He only lasted four innings in his last start against the Dodgers, and against a tough Philly lineup, he may not get much further than that on Wednesday. Keep in mind that Holmes only managed three strikeouts against the Dodgers, so he has not yet found his groove. Likewise, the Phillies are among the hardest teams to strike out in the majors, averaging just 7.7 per game. Unless Holmes can go beyond five innings in this game, he seems unlikely to reach five strikeouts, which is why we’re taking the plus-odds on him to stay below that number.
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