The Yankees finally showed some life to avoid getting swept and force Game 5 of the World Series on Wednesday. But does that mean our prop bets for Game 5 will reflect that sudden momentum in the series? That’s not necessarily the case, as we’re still leaning heavily toward the Dodgers with our props.
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Flaherty managed to get exactly 16 outs in his Game 1 start against the Yankees. However, the Dodgers may be willing to lean a little more on their bullpen in Game 5 despite a bullpen game on Tuesday. After all, the Dodgers didn’t have to use many of their high-leverage arms, so they can still be aggressive with their bullpen in Game 5. Keep in mind that when Flaherty faced the Mets for a second time in the NLCS, he got roughed up for eight runs over three innings. He may not be that bad on Wednesday, but he could have a hard time getting beyond five innings.
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Rizzo has excellent career numbers against Flaherty, going 10 for 23 (.435) with a double and three home runs. We had the same prop bet for him in Game 1 and Rizzo quickly got a hit. In fairness, he’s not had a great series, going 2 for 12. However, Rizzo still has a favorable matchup against Flaherty and will likely face multiple righties out of the Los Angeles bullpen. That should give him a good chance of getting at least one hit in Game 5.
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The odds for this bet aren’t particularly lucrative, but it feels like a safe bet. Cole has collected exactly four strikeouts in each of his four postseason starts. Is he suddenly going to increase that number to six strikeouts? That doesn't seem likely, especially since the leash will be shorter for him in an elimination game. Even when he was performing at a high level in Game 1, Cole only reached four strikeouts. The Dodgers simply don’t strike out a lot, doing so just 7.6 times per game in the postseason. The chances of Cole pitching long enough to reach six strikeouts in Game 5 are remote.
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We hit on the hits/runs/RBI prop with Betts in Game 3 and on him collecting multiple bases in Game 4. For Game 5, we’ll go back to the hits/runs/RBI prop. He’s gone over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI in three straight games and seven times in his last 10 games since the start of the NLCS. It’s also worth mentioning that Betts is 7 for 20 (.350) in his career against Cole. If the Dodgers get back on track after just six hits in Game 4, Betts is likely to be in the middle of it, making this the best prop bet for him in Wednesday’s game.
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At this point, why not? Freeman has hit a home run in his last six World Series games, including all four games in this series. If the Dodgers win the series, he’s poised for MLB MVP honors after his four home runs. Keep in mind that Freeman is 8 for 23 (.348) with a home run in his career against Cole. Plus, he still has the short fence in right field, which plays to his advantage against any pitcher. Given these odds, it’s a no-brainer that this prop is worth a shot.
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