Game 1 of the World Series didn’t disappoint when it comes to entertainment value, as Freddie Freeman ended the game with a walk-off homer. Of course, before extra innings, offense was limited in Game 1. That inspired us to favor the starting pitchers and fade some hitters for Game 2 on Saturday night.
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When it comes to strikeouts, Rodon has been excellent all season. He racked up nearly 200 during the regular season and already has 22 in 14.1 innings during the postseason. Even in some of his shorter outings that didn’t go well, Rodon finished with at least six strikeouts in each of his three playoff starts. Granted, the Dodgers are harder to strike out than most teams. But keep in mind Rodon had seven strikeouts in just 3.2 against the Royals during the ALDS despite Kansas City having the second-fewest strikeouts in baseball this year. That’s a sign that Rodon can rack up strikeouts against any lineup.
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Betts failed to carry over his hot streak from the NLCS to the World Series, going 0 for 3 in Game 1, albeit with a walk and an RBI. Nevertheless, he faces a tough matchup against Rodon in Game 2. While Betts should have an edge against a left-handed starter, he’s just 1 for 19 (.053) in his career against Rodon. Even after Rodon leaves the game, the Yankees will lose their top relief pitchers, which is why we’ll fade Betts just a little in Game 2.
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Hernandez is one of the Los Angeles hitters who will be most vulnerable to striking out against Rodon. To his credit, Hernandez didn’t strike out in Game 1. However, he still has four multi-strikeout games since the start of the NLCS. He’s also just 1 for 9 with three strikeouts in his career against Rodon. Even if this seems like a favorable matchup for Hernandez, the numbers say otherwise, which is why he’s another hitter worth fading on Saturday.
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Yamamoto seemed to find his groove during his only start in the NLCS, striking out eight despite being pulled after 4.1 innings. Keep in mind he struck out seven over seven innings during a dominant outing against the Yankees in June. That was the only time New York’s hitters have faced Yamamoto. Several months later, they aren’t likely to have much better success figuring him out. With the threshold at 5.5 strikeouts, Yamamoto should be able to get over that number against a lineup that had 13 strikeouts in 10 innings in Game 1.
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Stanton might be a postseason hero for the Yankees with yet another home run in Game 1, giving him six in the playoffs. But when he’s not hitting home runs, Stanton is still vulnerable to strikeouts. He struck out twice in his three at-bats against Yamamoto back in June. Stanton also had two strikeouts in Game 1 despite his home run overshadowing those failures. He’s now struck out multiple times in three straight games, totaling seven strikeouts in 13 at-bats during that stretch. Whether he hits another home run or not, Stanton is an obvious candidate to strike out multiple times in Game 2.
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