Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Aggressive Hitter Props for NLDS Game 3

With the National League Division Series back in action on Tuesday, we’re giving you our most aggressive set of props of the season. The four NLDS games thus far have combined for 45 runs, averaging over 11 runs per game. If that trend continues on Tuesday, there will be plenty of offensive fireworks, so we’re going to be aggressive and target several prominent hitters with bets that have plus odds.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Phillies vs. Mets (5:08 PM, EST)

Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs (+400) at bet365

After hitting a home run in Game 2, Alonso has now homered in two of his last three games after an extended drought at the end of the regular season. This will be the first time the Mets are at Citi Field in over two weeks with Alonso likely to get a hero’s welcome after his game-winning home run against the Brewers in the Wild Card series. That will make him something of a sentimental choice to homer for the home fans. But keep in mind that he’s 16 for 50 (.320) with five home runs in his career against Aaron Nola, giving him a favorable matchup in Game 3.

Starling Marte Over 0.5 RBI (+260) at bet365

Marte is another hitter who has had success against Nola in the past, going 11 for 31 (.355) with three extra-base hits. It’s not as if Nola finished the season that well, including a disastrous outing against the Mets in September in which he gave up six runs over 4.1 innings. The Mets could have a big offensive output in this game, putting Marte in a perfect position to add to his RBI total. He already has an RBI in three of New York’s five postseason games. While Marte is batting down in the order, he’s still hitting behind players who are getting on base, giving this bet great value.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Dodgers vs. Padres (9:08 PM, EST)

Fernando Tatis 4+ Total Bases (+240) at bet365

At this point, there isn't enough value in just betting on Tatis to go over 1.5 total bases. There is also no reason to think that Tatis will stop at two bases. The guy is 5 for 8 with two doubles and two home runs in this series. He’s also 9 for 29 (.310) in his career against Game 3 starter Walker Buehler with four of those nine hits being home runs. Tatis is set up for another big game on Tuesday, so he’s someone that needs to be targeted. Going for two or three total bases is a little safer, but our aggressive approach has us banking on four total bases for Tatis.

Jurickson Profar Under 0.5 Hits (+145) at bet365

Profar is the one hitter we're fading on Tuesday. Despite getting two hits in Game 2, he’s just 3 for 14 during the postseason. Profar is also just 1 for 14 (0.71) with five strikeouts in his career against Buehler. It’s been two weeks since Profar’s last extra-base hits, so he’s just not in a good place right now, so facing a pitcher he’s struggled against should keep him quiet.

Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Home Runs (+310) at bet365

We might as well bookend our picks with home run props by targeting Ohtani. Despite a quiet Game 2, Ohtani was 2 for 5 with a home run in Game 1. Going back to the regular season, Ohtani has eight home runs in his last 14 games, so a second home run in three games isn’t far-fetched. He’s also 6 for 14 (.429) with two doubles and three home runs in his career against San Diego’s Michael King. While King was outstanding in his first playoff start, he doesn’t handle Ohtani well, leading us to back the presumed National League MVP.

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