Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Leaning Heavy Toward Pitchers on Wednesday

Please be aware that Wednesday’s props are not geared toward conservative bettors. We’re going to take some chances because there is plenty of value out there. These bets are also heavy on pitching while also fading some hitters. It’s a risky strategy but one that could pay off in the end.

The odds for Wednesday are from bet365 Sportsbook, which gives new users a choice between a $1,000 safety net on their first bet or $200 worth of bonus bets after making a $5 bet.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Nationals vs. Mets (7:10 PM, EST)

CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Hits (+155) at bet365

Abrams went 1 for 3 on Tuesday, but that was after sitting out for several days with a minor injury. On Wednesday, he has to deal with a lefty-on-lefty matchup against Jose Quintana, a pitcher he’s struggled against throughout his career. Abrams is 0 for 8 in his career against Quintana. In fact, he’s betting just .150 in his career against all of the pitchers on New York’s roster. That doesn’t provide much hope for Abrams once Quintana leaves the game, making this a good day to bet on him going hitless.

Jose Quintana Under 1.5 ER (+135) at bet365

Speaking of Quintana, he’s been on a roll lately. The lefty has allowed one earned run or less in four straight starts. In three of those four starts, Quintana has pitched at least six scoreless innings. The kicker is that back in July he threw seven scoreless innings against the Nationals in back-to-back starts, yielding just five total hits across 14 shutout innings. While Washington’s lineup looks a little different than it did in July, Quintana has been outstanding lately and should be able to handle young hitters who have never faced him before, so we expect his success to continue on Wednesday. 

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Phillies vs. Brewers (7:05 PM, EST)

Aaron Nola Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+130) at bet365

Nola hasn’t been at his best in September, posting a 7.20 ERA. However, that hasn’t stopped him from striking out batters at a high rate. He’s covered just 15 innings across his three starts, yet he’s recorded 21 strikeouts. He reached seven strikeouts in his last start against the Mets despite leaving after 4.1 innings. Nola has a good history when it comes to striking members of the Milwaukee lineup, especially since the Brewers are a little above average when it comes to being victimized by the strikeout. If Nola can last five innings in this game, he should be able to reach seven strikeouts. 

Willy Adames Over 1.5 Strikeouts (+210) at bet365

Adames is one of those hitters who has struggled to make contact against Nola. He’s hitless in 13 career at-bats against the Philadelphia ace, striking out seven times. That makes him a strong candidate for multiple strikeouts on Wednesday. On top of that, Adames has struck out multiple times in four of his last five games. That includes each of the first two games of this series and Sunday’s game in which he struck out in four of his six at-bats. In other words, this is an excellent spot to take a chance on Adames striking out multiple times again.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Blue Jays vs. Rangers (8:05 PM, EST)

Bowden Francis Under 2.5 ER (-105) at bet365

Frankly, we would have taken under 1.5 ER for Francis in this game. He’s held six of the last seven teams he’s faced to two runs or less and five of those seven teams to one run or less. Francis posted a 1.05 ERA in August and started fast in September. Plus, the entire Texas roster is a combined 2 for 17 against him. Despite the Rangers scoring 13 runs on Tuesday, there is every reason to think Francis can slow down the Texas lineup.

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