Our aggressive approach on Monday paid off, as we won three of our five picks and turned a decent profit. Needless to say, we’re going to stay aggressive on Tuesday with a lot of bets that have plus odds. We’re also going to focus on hitters we think are poised to succeed and pitchers to fade.
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We hope that the moment hasn’t passed on targeting Cruz. The young shortstop has had a pair of hitless games to open September. However, he closed August with an 11-game hitting streak that included multiple-hit games in five of his last six games. Cruz also had four doubles during that streak, making him a good candidate to collect multiple bases if he gets a favorable matchup. He should have that on Tuesday, as he’s 4 for 10 with three extra-base hits in his career against Chicago’s Justin Steele. Those numbers make us think that Cruz can quickly get back on track and continue the hot streak that began in August.
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With 105 RBI this season, which ranks second in the big leagues, we’re all too happy to take plus odds on Ramirez collecting another RBI on Tuesday. While he faces a tough matchup against Brady Singer on Tuesday, Singer has allowed at least four runs in three of his last five starts. Ramirez is also 12 for 25 (.480) with five extra-base hits in his career against Singer. The kicker is that Steven Kwan and Andres Gimenez, who hit ahead of Ramirez in Cleveland’s lineup, are a combined 17 for 45 (.378) against Singer, which should give Ramirez RBI opportunities in Tuesday’s game.
Since we’re betting on Ramirez to get an RBI in part because of Kwan, we might as well take him to score a run. Kwan is 9 for 20 with two walks in his career against Singer, giving him an on-base percentage of .522 against Kansas City’s starter. The only caveat is that Kwan is hitless in three straight games, failing to score a run in those games. But he’s still batting .295 on the season and has a favorable matchup against Singer, which should help to get him going and do what he does best, which is get on base and score runs for the Guardians.
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This hasn’t been Goldschmidt’s best year, but he’s raging hot at the moment. He currently has a nine-game hitting streak with multiple hits in four of his last seven games. Goldschmidt also has at least one double in five consecutive games. If you want to be extra aggressive, sprinkle in a bet for Goldschmidt to hit another double. However, we’ll stick with 2+ bases for Goldschmidt, which feels like a safe bet.
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Fading a pitcher like Castillo against the A’s feels like an unusual move. But the A’s are shockingly hot right now. Over the last week, Lawrence Butler, JJ Bleday, and Brent Rooker all rank among the top seven hitters in OPS. Bleday and Shea Langeliers also have excellent career numbers against Castillo, who could be vulnerable in this game. Keep in mind Castillo has allowed at least three runs in four of his last six starts, including games against the Giants, Pirates, and Tigers. While unlikely on the surface, we feel great about this bet.
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