There should be little question that the Braves playing the Giants is the most compelling MLB game on Monday’s schedule. That’s what happens when you pair Blake Snell and Chris Snell. Fittingly, that’s the source for most of our MLB prop bets on Monday with a focus on those two pitchers. We’ve also mixed in a few more picks we like with odds from Caesars Sportsbook. At Caesars, new users can get a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they sign up and lose their first wager on the platform.
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Buxton is surely feeling good about himself after hitting two home runs on Sunday. In the last four games that he’s started, Buxton is 5 for 13 with four extra-base hits, so those two homers didn’t come out of nowhere, as he’s been swinging a good bat recently. But what caught our attention for Monday is the fact that he’s 7 for 15 (.467) with two doubles and two home runs in his career against Kansas City’s Brady Singer. Not many hitters have had that much success against Singer, and the fact that Buxton is heating up makes this an easy pick.
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Regardless of anything Gil has done lately, the White Sox have been held to two runs or less in five of their last eight games. Keep in mind they also have just one win in their last 25 games. That helps to make Gil an obvious target for this bet. He’s already held opposing teams to one run or less in four of his last five starts. The Phillies are the only team to get to him during that stretch, so he should have no problem against the White Sox. Also, the Yankees aren’t forcing him deep into games, so Gil will be out after five or six innings, making it more likely that he’ll leave while allowing one run or less.
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All of the eyes in this game are on Snell and Sale, not Merrifield and his .209 average. However, Merrifield is 7 for 14 with two doubles and a home run in his career against Snell. He’s also batting .258 since being traded to the Braves and has a hit in five of his last six games. Obviously, his poor average gives us reasonably good odds for Merrifield to get one measly hit. Given his track record against Snell and recent success, we like his chances.
Even if Snell gives up a hit against Merrifield, he’ll still be in good shape for a high strikeout total. He’s struck out at least eight batters in four of his last five starts, including two starts in which he’s hit double digits. Keep in mind that this is a somewhat watered-down Atlanta lineup whose hitters have 61 career at-bats against Snell and 20 strikeouts. If Snell comes close to striking out one of every three batters he faces, getting to eight strikeouts shouldn’t be a problem.
Technically, we’re fading Sale with this pick. He’s been great this year but has been two erratic in his last few starts with his strikeout total and earned runs. That being said, Sale has walked at least two batters in five of his last six starts, including one start against San Francisco. The Giants are currently seventh in the big leagues in total walks drawn, so they can be patient. Keep in mind Sale has thrown more innings this year than he has since 2019. It makes sense that he’ll be getting tired and struggling a little with control, which is why it’s wise to bet on him walking more than 1.5 batters.
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