Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Back to Basics on Friday

With the end of the week upon us, we figured we'd keep things simple. We found good value but aren’t going over the top. At the same time, we’re also targeting some familiar names but not necessarily relying on superstars. Hopefully, that will be the formula for finishing the week strong. The odds we’re using today are from Caesars Sportsbook, where new users can sign up and get a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they lose their first wager.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Athletics vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM, EST)

Jose Berrios Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+100) at Caesars

This bet is almost too good to be true, especially with plus odds. For starters, the A’s have one of the highest strikeout rates in baseball. Hitters on Oakland’s roster have a combined 12 strikeouts in just 28 at-bats against Berrios. That’s almost a strikeout every other batter. While Berrios has seen his strikeout total fluctuate a lot this season, he’s reached at least five strikeouts in four straight starts. Against a team like the A’s that strikes out a lot, that number should be a little higher than expected, making this a smart bet.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Reds vs. Brewers (8:10 PM, EST)

William Contreras Over 0.5 RBI (+123) at Caesars

The Brewers scored 34 total runs during their three-game sweep of the Braves, so they are red-hot right now, making this the right time to target their cleanup hitter with an RBI prop. In his last six games, Contreras has nine RBI, collecting at least one in four of his last six games. The hitters in front of Contreras in the Milwaukee lineup have been clicking lately, giving him plenty of RBI opportunities, which is why we like the value with this bet.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Phillies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40 PM, EST)

Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) at Caesars

Bohm has been largely reliable with this bet in 2024, as he’s collected 55 extra-base hits this year. He had a three-hit game earlier this week as part of what is now a 10-game hitting streak. Bohm has seven extra-base hits during that 10-game hitting streak, giving him multiple paths to getting over 1.5 total bases. The fact that Bohm is 3 for 4 with a pair of doubles against Arizona’s Ryne Nelson gives us even more confidence that he’ll stay hot and collect multiple bases for the fourth straight game.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Pirates vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM, EST)

Mitch Keller Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-113) at Caesars

At times, Keller has shown great control and not walked anyone in several of his starts this season. But he’s also walked at least two batters in four straight starts. In fact, he’s now done that 14 times in his 22 starts. That’s well over 50% of the time, yet we’re getting close to even odds on this bet. The kicker is that the Dodgers have drawn the second-most walks in baseball this season. The Los Angeles lineup is naturally patient, so given Keller’s track record for walks, he may not be able to avoid walks, especially since he’ll want to pitch around the heart of the order.

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) at Caesars

It might be tempting to bet on Freeman collecting multiple hits in this game, but over 1.5 total bases is still giving us good value. In his career, Freeman is 6 for 12 against Keller, so making solid contact shouldn’t be much of an issue for the LA first baseman. Since returning from a short hiatus to deal with a family emergency, Freeman is 4 for 12 with a double, so he’s not skipped a beat. With a favorable matchup against Keller, he figures to have another productive night, making him an easy player to get behind.

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