Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Surprising Value with Shortened Thursday Schedule

As usual, the MLB Thursday schedule isn’t doing us any favors. With just five games available, we had to dig a little deeper to find some good prop bets to share. Fortunately, we managed to find good value with a few familiar names, mostly pitchers. Believe it or not, we feel as good about these picks as we have about any picks this week. Today’s odds are from Caesars Sportsbook, which is giving bonus bets of up to $1,000 to new users when they lose their initial wager on the platform.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Royals vs. Tigers (6:40 PM, EST)

Seth Lugo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+110) at Caesars

Lugo had some issues in July, posting a 4.78 ERA across four starts, causing his Cy Young chances to take a hit. However, he’s still allowed five hits or less in five of his last six starts. The one exception during that stretch was a shocking start against the Red Sox in which he allowed 10 hits. Even when he’s not perfect, hits against Lugo are still hard to come by. Plus, he’s facing a terrible Detroit lineup on Thursday. The Tigers have been shut out in two of their last three games, so the odds of them having a productive day against Lugo seem slim.

Bet on Royals vs. Tigers Props at Caesars

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Marlins vs. Braves (7:20 PM, EST)

Charlie Morton Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-125) at Caesars

Outside of a couple of starts this year, few pitchers have been better at avoiding walks this season than Morton. Even when he got rocked for seven runs by the Mets in his last start, he only walked one batter. Morton had just four walks over his 20.1 innings in July and has limited himself to one walk or less in five of his last eight starts. At the same time, the Marlins are literally the worst team in the big leagues at drawing walks. They have the fewest walks in baseball, and it’s not even close. That makes us confident that Morton will continue to limit his free passes.

Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits (+143) at Caesars

Nobody on the Marlins has faced Morton more often than Sanchez. Unfortunately for him, the results haven’t been good. He’s just 3 for 18 with seven strikeouts in his career against Morton. Sanchez is also a modest .241 hitter who has gone hitless in four of his last six games. He’s just 3 for 23 (.130) during that stretch. Therefore, we have a cold hitter facing a pitcher he has struggled against in the past. While there is little margin for error with this bet, we like the value it provides.

Max Meyer Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-104) at Caesars

This is an interesting bet because Meyer has four strikeouts or less in three of his four starts this season. The one exception to that was when he struck out seven Braves over six innings two starts ago. However, replicating that kind of outing could be difficult for the youngster. Most of Atlanta’s hitters have seen him before and will know what to expect from Meyer. The Braves have also won four of their last five games, averaging 5.4 runs per game during that stretch. If the Braves stay out, they could knock Meyer out of the game long before he has a chance to reach five strikeouts.

Bet on Marlins vs. Braves Props at Caesars

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Cardinals vs. Cubs (8:05 PM, EST)

Shota Imanaga Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-109) at Caesars

After a brilliant start to the season, Imanaga has come back down to earth a little. While he posted a 2.55 ERA in July, he also allowed at least six hits in three of his four starts. However, all that does is improve the payout of a bet like this. He’s more than capable of stifling a lineup, conceding five hits or less in 11 of his 19 starts. That includes a game against the Cardinals last month when he had his way, limiting St. Louis to four hits over seven innings. We expect similar success from Imanaga on Thursday against a rather modest St. Louis lineup.

Bet on Cardinals vs. Cubs Props at Caesars

More MLB Best Bets Today

• Best MLB Bets Today

• Best YRFI Bets Today 

• Best NRFI Bets Today

• Best MLB Parlay Picks Today

• Best MLB Betting Sites and Apps

• Best MLB Promo Codes and Betting Bonuses