Even with a full MLB schedule on Wednesday, we have narrowed our focus to the game between the Cubs and Orioles. For whatever reason, this game has a lot of MLB prop bets that we found attractive, so we're going to put most of our eggs in that basket. The odds we're using for Wednesday’s bets come from Caesars Sportsbook, which is giving new users a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they lose their first wager after signing up.
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Admittedly, there is some risk to this bet because the Cubs are one of the best teams in baseball at drawing walks. But that's part of the reason why we're getting plus odds from this bet. It’s more important to note that Burnes has limited himself to one walk or less in five of his last six starts since the start of June. That includes a couple of starts when he hasn't walked anyone. For the most part, Burnes has been locked in lately, so there's no reason to think he'll start to deviate from that against the last-place Cubs.
Swanson is one member of Chicago’s lineup who could give Burnes trouble. While this hasn’t been his best season, Swanson is 10 for 17 (.588) with two home runs in his career against Burnes. That’s enough to make us think that he can get one measly hit on Wednesday despite getting off to a terrible start in July and batting just .201 on the season.
The all-star break can’t come soon enough for Imanaga, who seems to have hit a wall. He held a 1.86 ERA at the end of May, only to post a 5.67 ERA in June. Imanaga has allowed at least three runs in three consecutive starts, beginning with a disastrous game against the Mets in which he gave up 10 runs over three innings. Over his last 15 innings, the lefty has allowed 16 runs on 22 hits. It’ll be tough for him to get back on track against the first-place Orioles, as Imanaga needs to get to the break and try to reset himself for the second half.
Bet on Cubs vs Orioles Props at Caesars
It's unusual to target Freeland and not fade him, but we have a good reason for backing him to succeed on Wednesday. Rather than look at his 6.62 ERA, look at what Freeland has done in his three starts since returning from the IL. In those three starts, he’s pitched 19.2 innings, allowing just four runs on 15 hits. More importantly, he’s going deep into games, pitching at least six full innings in each of those three starts. Freeland even lasted seven innings in his last outing. While he’s faced some weaker lineups during that stretch, the Reds aren’t the type of offensive juggernaut that will force Freeland out of the game early, so we’re betting he can go at least six innings again.
Bet on Rockies vs Reds Props at Caesars
Vientos and the Mets have the honor of facing Patrick Corbin and his 5.49 ERA on Wednesday, which is why we’re targeting the young slugger. Vientos has done nothing but rake since getting a chance to be New York’s everyday third baseman, showcasing tons of power in the process. He’s also 2 for 5 with two extra-base hits in his career against Corbin. More importantly, he mashes lefties, hitting .338 with an OPS of 1.056 against southpaws this year. That should easily translate to multiple bases against a subpar lefty like Corbin.
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