Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Limited Schedule But High Value Prop Bets

As usual, Thursday gives us a limited MLB schedule, making it hard to find prop bets. With that,  we decided to go big or go home. Even with a limited number of games, we picked out five prop bets with plus odds. Hopefully, going for value will lead to success with Thursday’s MLB prop bets. The odds we’re using are from DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users are getting $200 in bonus bets for signing up and making a $5 bet.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Yankees vs. Orioles (1:05 PM, EST)

Carlos Rodon Under 4.5 Hits (+130) at DraftKings

Rodon has gotten back on track after a nightmarish 2023 season. Through six games, he’s rocking a 2.48 ERA and has looked particularly sharp in his last two starts. He’s over 13 innings over his last two starts, allowing just three total hits. Despite giving up at least five hits in all of his other starts, we’re going to back Rodon to stay hot and limit the number of hits he allows, especially during a day game. While the Orioles are one of the best lineups he’s faced this season, most of Baltimore’s hitters haven’t faced Rodon before, which should help him get through the lineup multiple times with limited hits allowed.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Cubs vs. Mets (1:10 PM, EST)

Adrian Houser Over 5.5 Hits (+130) at DraftKings

Houser has been a disaster in three of his four starts, including his last two. He’s allowed 16 total hits over his last 8.1 innings across those two appearances. There aren’t a lot of reasons to think that Houser can get his act together; he’s been that bad in his last two games. If House continues to pitch like that, it’s not a stretch to see him giving up six hits or more, so there is good value with this pick if Houser can’t get his act together.

Ian Happ Over 0.5 Walks (+105) at DraftKings

We don’t often target walk props, but in addition to giving up a lot of hits, Houser has struggled with his control. He’s issued 16 walks over his 23.2 innings this season. In three of his five starters, Houser has walked at least three batters. We picked out Happ because he leads the Cubs in walks this season. Equally important, Happ is 4 for 11 with five walks in his career against Houser. Therefore, Houser knows Happ can hurt him, making him more likely to pitch around him while Happ has proven that he's willing to take a walk.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Guardians vs. Astros (8:10 PM, EST)

Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits (+145) at DraftKings

Betting on a player to get at least two hits is a little different from betting on multiple bases. But we’re comfortable doing that with Kwan because he’s batting .360 on the season as Cleveland’s leadoff hitter. He already has 11 multi-hit games this year, including three in his last four games. It’s also worth noting that Kwan and the Guardians are facing Spencer Arrighetti and his 10.97 ERA. Arighetti has allowed at least seven hits in four innings or less in two of his three starts, so he's hittable and Kwan is someone who can take advantage of that.

Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) at DraftKings

Despite Houston’s poor start to the season, Pena has been a bright spot. He’s batting .325, so getting multiple hits is an option despite Pena managing just eight extra-base hits in 30 games. Pena has hit for multiple bases in two of his last three games. He’s also 3 for 3 in his career against Cleveland starter Logan Allen, who has a 5.46 ERA and has looked vulnerable. That’s why Pena is a player we’re targeting on Thursday.

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