An RBI from Fernando Tatis Jr. was all that kept us from a perfect day on Thursday. Yet, we gained almost 2.5 units, so we’re feeling good heading into the weekend. For Friday, we have a pitching-heavy set of MLB prop bets, all of which favor the pitcher. Hopefully, Friday ends up being a good day for starting pitchers. All of our odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook, which has a welcome bonus of $200 for new users who sign up and bet $5 on their first wager.
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Not many starting pitchers are able to hold the Dodgers to two runs or less, but we feel good about Bassitt’s chances on Friday. He has solid career numbers against most of the key hitters in the LA lineup, which is always a good sign. Bassitt has also shaken off a couple of rough starts early in the season by allowing two earned runs or less in three straight starts. Plus, in his two home starts in 2024, Bassitt has allowed just two runs on nine hits over 13 innings. With plus odds, we’ll back Bassitt to keep the Dodgers under wraps in this game.
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There have been two different versions of Eflin this season. There have been two starts in which he allowed at least five runs. But in his other three starts, he allowed one run or less over six innings or more. Against the White Sox, we expect to see the second version of Eflin. He’s fresh off his best start of the season against the Yankees last weekend, so he should have similar success against the lowly White Sox. Eflin also has an extra day of rest, so he should be fresh and ready to dominate.
Most people probably haven't noticed just how good Paredes has been this year. With six home runs, he’s rocking a .889 OPS. That’s usually the type of player we want to target with a total bases prop. Paredes is also coming off back-to-back multiple-hit games and has hit an extra-base hit in three straight games. He’s also 1 for 2 with a triple in his only at-bats against Chicago starter Chris Flexen, giving us every reason to think that Paredes will stay hot and collect multiple bases on Friday.
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At first glance, Rea holding the Yankees to two runs or less is an odd bet. But the 33-year-old journeyman has a 2.08 ERA, holding opponents to two runs or less in three of his four starts. Rea has been remarkably effective this year, so with plus odds, we’re going to ride the wave a little. The entire New York roster is a combined 2 for 16, which is a small sample. However, after scoring a mere 12 runs over four games against the lowly A’s, the Yankees aren’t exactly clicking offensively right now, so we’ll give Rea the benefit of the doubt.
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Nola is a safe bet compared to some of the other pitchers we’re backing on Friday. He got roughed up in his first start of the season but has been in a groove ever since. Nola has kept four straight opponents to two runs or less. He’s also allowed four hits or less in four straight starts, reducing the amount of traffic on the base paths, which is another good sign. The Padres might be a step up in competition, but San Diego is also going from hitting at Coors Field to facing Nola, so they could be in for a rude awakening against the Philly ace.
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