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With just five games on the MLB schedule on Thursday, we had to do some digging in order to find some good prop bets. That led us to take a different approach and try some different types of MLB props. After all, we’re up about 20 units on the season, so we feel good about these picks on a slow Thursday. All of our odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook, which is instantly giving out $200 in bonus bets to new users for placing a wager of $5 after signing up.
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We usually don’t use batter strikeouts as a prop bet, but these are special circumstances. In seven career at-bats against Detroit starter Kenta Maeda, Garcia has struck out five times. In fairness, he also has a home run against Maeda in those seven at-bats. But that tells us that he’s swinging for the fences and will be more prone to strikeouts. Garcia already has five multiple-strikeout games this season, and this seems like a good place to bet on his next.
This has not been a good year for Maeda, who has a 6.00 ERA heading into Thursday’s game. That makes this a good opportunity to favor some Texas hitters. Naturally, we thought of Semien, as Corey Seager has slumped a little lately. While Semien isn’t red-hot at the moment, he has three extra-base hits and one multiple-hit game over his last five games. With Maeda struggling, Semien has a chance to get at least five at-bats and do some damage, so we think he’ll collect multiple bases in this game.
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With the Red Sox off to a modest start, Casas isn’t getting the credit he deserves. Granted, power is more his game than contact. But Casas also has at least one hit in eight of his last 10 games. That’s enough of a track record to bet on him collecting one hit. Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco doesn’t blow people away with power, so he’s going to give up plenty of contact and base hits. With the way Casas has been swinging the bat, he should be able to get a hit on Thursday.
We’ve been waiting all season to target Duran on a stolen base prop, and now looks like a good time. Duran is another player on the Red Sox who has been easy to overlook. On the season, he has six stolen bases in 19 games, which is good but not spectacular. However, part of the key is that Duran has a three-game hitting streak and is batting over .300. That means he’s getting on base regularly and having opportunities to attempt stolen bases. He’s six for seven on stolen base attempts thus far, so if he tries it, we’re confident he’ll swipe the bag.
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Since he’s not a leadoff hitter, Walker doesn't seem like a good fit for a run prop. But he has 14 runs scored in 19 games and offers way more value than Arizona leadoff hitter Corbin Carroll. In his last four games, Walker has three hits, four walks, and four runs scored. He’s getting on base and giving himself to score runs. Plus, despite having just three homers on the season, Walker is always a threat to drive himself in and score via a home run. That pushed us to give him a chance with this prop bet.
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AUTHOR
Bryan Zarpentine
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Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
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