Another rainout canceled two of our MLB prop bets on Thursday, but we still managed to win two of the three that played out. That’s yet another day in which we’ve been ahead of the game, putting us over 22 units up on the season. For Friday, we’ve got five new prop bets from four different games. We’re using odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, which is giving new users $150 in bonus bets just for signing up and making an initial $5 bet.
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This isn’t the first time we’ve targeted Ramirez, and it won’t be the last. Ramirez makes sense to use with an RBI prop right now because the hitters in front of him - Steven Kwan and Andres Gimenez - are crushing it. Both are hitting over .300 and getting on base regularly, giving Ramirez RBI opportunities when he comes to the plate. That explains his 10 RBI in 12 games. The Guards will face Clark Schmidt on Friday night and Kwan, Gimenez, and Ramirez all have good numbers against him. The trio is a combined 10 for 19 against Schmidt, which is why an RBI from Ramirez is likely.
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While Abbott isn’t a known commodity just yet, he’s facing the White Sox on Friday. In 12 games, Chicago has been shut out four times and been held to two runs or less seven times. We don’t even need the White Sox to score two runs or less, we just need Abbott to hold them to two earned runs or less in five or so innings. He’s allowed two earned runs in each of his two starts this year, doing so against the Mets and Phillies. The lefty should be able to repeat that against a Chicago lineup that has struggled and has never faced him before.
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Houston starter J.P. France has troubling numbers against several Texas hitters, so there are some options here. Naturally, we’ve gravitated toward Seager, who is 4 for 7 with two homers in his career against France. While he could be a good home run prop candidate, Seager getting an RBI is a safer bet. He's gone four straight games without an RBI, so he’s due. Also, since he’s clearly capable of hitting a homer against France, it’s possible for Seager to get an RBI that way.
Carter is off to a slow start this season, hitting just .189 with one homer and three RBI. But he has a hit in back-to-back games and scored a run in both games, so he might be turning things around. Carter is also 3 for 4 with three doubles in his career against France. That means getting multiple hits is on the table, as is the possibility of Carter scoring a run or getting an RBI since the Rangers could have a big game offensively on Friday. With this prop bet, there are some options for how Carter can contribute to that.
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Matz has looked good early in the season, allowing just two runs on nine hits over his first 10.2 innings. But he’s managed just three strikeouts in each of those outings. At age 32, he’s just not a strikeout pitcher anymore. He’s also facing an Arizona lineup that has the fewest strikeouts in baseball this season. After maxing out at three strikeouts, how is Matz supposed to improve that total by two against a lineup that doesn’t strike out that much? That makes this feel like a safe prop bet.
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