Best MLB Bets Today | MLB Picks, June 7

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees

• Time: 7:05 EST
• Starting Pitchers: Lance Lynn (CHW) vs Randy Vasquez (NYY)
• Moneyline: White Sox +115 - Yankees -135
• Run Line: White Sox +1.5 (-165) - Yankees -1.5 (+140)
• Total: Over 9 (-115) - Under 9 (-105)

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

My Pick: Yankees ML

The Yankees suffered a tough loss to the White Sox on Tuesday with Aaron Judge going on the IL. They are also bringing up prospect Randy Vasquez from the minors for his second career start on Wednesday, so things aren’t exactly looking up for them. However, the White Sox have still had a poor season and are just 11-20 on the road. With the odds for this game close to even, there is good value in betting on the Yankees to win this game.

The fact that Vasquez is coming up to start isn’t necessarily a non-starter for the Yankees. He only allowed two runs on four hits over 4.2 innings in his first career start, so he shouldn’t be overmatched. Vasquez also owns a great curveball that he can use to keep hitters off balance. The White Sox aren’t exactly an offensive juggernaut, giving Vasquez a fighting chance. Even during their current four-game winning streak, the White Sox have scored three runs or less in three of those games. Plus, even after Tuesday’s win, they are 7-16 this season as road underdogs, so back-to-back wins as a road underdog seem unlikely.

After all, the White Sox will need to find a way to win with Lance Lynn on the mound. Lynn has a 6.55 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP with the White Sox going 4-8 in his starts. Even with some decent starts sprinkled in, he’s allowed at least four runs in seven of his 12 starts this year. 

Even without Judge, the Yankees are far from helpless offensively. In fact, Anthony Rizzo is 12 for 37 (.324) with seven extra-base hits in his career against Lynn. Plus, the Yankees aren’t far removed from scoring 10 runs in three straight games and have averaged 5.8 runs per game over their last eight games. Facing Lynn could be what they need to get going again and score enough runs to win a game with Vasquez on the mound.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Texas Rangers

• Time: 8:05 EST
• Starting Pitchers: Jack Flaherty (STL) vs Jon Gray (TEX)
• Moneyline: Cardinals +122  - Rangers -145
• Run Line: Cardinals +1.5 (-155) - Rangers -1.5 (+130)
• Total: Over 9 (-120) - Under 9 (+100)

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

My Pick: Rangers ML

The first-place Rangers are seeking their sixth straight win on Wednesday while going for a sweep of the Cardinals. At the same time, the Red Birds have lost five in a row and 10 of their last 14 games, albeit with several one-run losses during that stretch. Keep in mind Texas is an impressive 21-8 at home this season, including 16-5 as home favorites. With Jon Gray on the mound, the Rangers are a good bet to complete the sweep.

Gray is 6-1 with a 2.51 ERA and a 1.04 in 2023, as the Oklahoma native feels comfortable close to home in Texas. Equally important, the Rangers have won Gray’s last six starts. He posted a 1.95 ERA during a dominant month of May and then tossed seven scoreless innings against the Mariners in his first start of June, allowing just two hits. He’s now gone five straight starts allowing one run or less and has pitched at least seven innings in all but one of those starts. With the Cardinals scoring three runs or less in 10 of their last 12 games, they seem unlikely to suddenly get going against Gray.

In other words, Jack Flaherty better be on top of his game on Wednesday to give St. Louis a chance. In fairness, Flaherty has allowed just two runs over his last 12.1 innings across his last two starts. That has helped lower his ERA to 4.55 on the season. But there's no denying that Flaherty has been erratic this year and facing a Texas lineup that’s capable of doing some damage. The likes of Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, Adolis Garcia, and others have an OPS over 1.000 over the last week, helping the Rangers score 38 runs over their last four games. There is a good chance that continues on Wednesday, enabling the Rangers to complete the sweep of St. Louis.

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies

• Time: 8:40 EST
• Starting Pitchers: Logan Webb (SFG) vs Connor Seabold (COL)
• Moneyline: Giants -210 - Rockies +175
• Run Line: Giants -1.5 (-135) - Rockies +1.5 (+115)
• Total: Over 9 (-120) - Under 9 (+100)

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

My Pick: Giants -1.5

Nowadays, unless Chase Anderson is starting for the Rockies, betting against them is usually the way to go. That should be no different on Wednesday against the Giants, who are fresh off a 10-4 in the series opener on Tuesday. Even if you need to take San Francisco’s run line to find any value, this is one of the safest bets in baseball on Wednesday.

The Rockies will hope that Connor Seabold can give them a lift on Wednesday. But that seems unlikely with his ERA moving from 4.56 to 5.40 over his last four starts with Colorado going 1-3 in those games. Keep in mind the Rockies needed six innings from their bullpen on Tuesday, so they are far from fresh. Seabold has failed to get out of the fifth inning in three of his last four starts, which means the Colorado bullpen may need to do some heavy lifting again, which doesn’t bode well for the Rockies. Even for a somewhat average offensive team like the Giants, playing at Coors Field against a subpar pitching staff opens the door to a big day.

The Giants should also be in good shape with Logan Webb starting on Wednesday. Despite some ups and downs and a disappointing 4-6 record, Webb has a 2.85 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP on the season. He’s also a ground-ball-heavy pitcher who should be able to minimize the adverse effects of Coors Field as much as possible. The Rockies also have a watered-down lineup with C.J. Cron and Kris Bryant currently on the IL. That should make it tough for the Rox to keep this game close, allowing San Francisco to win comfortably for the second straight day.

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