AL West Winner Odds & Predictions 2024: Astros Look to Clinch Division at Home

• The Astros lead the Mariners by five games

• Kyle Tucker is batting .381 over the last seven days, his second week since returning from the IL

• Seattle is batting .270 in September 

With just a couple of weeks left in the season, the AL West race is down to two teams: The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners. While the Astros are an overwhelming favorite to clinch the division over the next few days, there is still time for the Mariners to make one final run. 

We have deep-dived into the division to determine who will be crowned champion this season. We are looking at the current sportsbook odds, offseason roster moves, projected stats, and more to give you the inside track on how to bet on the AL West. We will continue to update this weekly so you know you always have the most up-to-date odds and information.

Let’s start by looking at the odds for each team.

AL West Winner Odds

Important note: Odds for AL West are no longer available and the market is closed. Check our guide on the best MLB betting sites and explore more markets for the rest of the season. Check back with us soon, as we will continue to bring you updates on AL West as soon as the odds for the new season become available.

AL West Predictions and Favorites to Win

Houston Astros (-3000 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

The Astros lead the Mariners by five games, but this race is over. The reigning AL West champions have four games with the Gurdians this weekend before finishing the season with a series against the Mariners and Guardians. By comparison, the Mariners still have the Yankees, Rangers, Astros, and A’s left on their schedule. 

Another reason we are calling this race over is the return of Kyle Tucker. The star has been out since June 3 but returned on September 6. He hasn’t shown much rust, posting a .381 average with one home run, three RBIs, and a stolen base. His presence gives an already great Astros lineup a significant boost, and we expect him to get even better over the season's final two weeks.

The Mariners’ most significant advantage is their starting rotation, but the Astros have been just as good since the All-Star break. Hunter Brown, Framber Valdez, Spencer Arrighetti, Yusei Kikuchi, and Ronel Blanco all own ERAs below 3.62 since then. Combine that with their elite lineup and fourth-ranked bullpen, and you get a recipe for another division title.

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Seattle Mariners (+1300 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

The Mariners struggled badly in August but have been far better in September. They are 8-4 since September 4, keeping them in the division race. Unfortunately, that effort is too little, too late.

Seattle's primary reason for success has been its lineup, which is batting .270 in September. That is by far their best monthly average of the season, the next closest being a .227 average in May. That could help them sneak into the final AL Wild Card spot, but it won’t be enough to close the gap on the Astros.

There are a lot of players contributing to the jump in offensive numbers this month, but none are more critical than Julio Rodriguez. The promising young star has struggled for most of the season but has a .328 average, three home runs, eight RBIs, and four stolen bases this month.

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AL West Winner - My Pick

Houston Astros (-3000) at FanDuel

This race has been over for a long time. While Seattle has remained within striking distance since blowing their massive lead earlier in the season, they have not looked good. Their lineup remains one of the worst in baseball, negating the advantage of their impressive elite pitching staff.

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Previous AL West Winners

The Astros have dominated the AL West over the last decade, winning it six times during that span. The Rangers won twice, and the A’s captured one during the COVID-shortened season.

Below are the last ten AL West titles and how they fared in the playoffs.

How to Read MLB Odds

MLB futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number following the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign. 

A plus sign before the number usually indicates an underdog, which is common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.

A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.

For example, you bet $100 on the Rangers +200 to win the AL West. If they win the division, you will win $200. 

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the AL West

Are you ready to start betting on the AL West but unsure where to start? If so, we have you covered with our sportsbook reviews. Below is a comparison between some of the industry’s top online sportsbooks.

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