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AL East Winner Odds & Predictions 2025: Yankees Favored to Repeat in Division

Updated: Jan. 31, 2025, 03:32 AM ET
11 min read
  • The Yankees are currently -105 to win the AL East 

  • Baltimore has the next best odds to win at +260

  • New York will have to fill the Juan Soto void in 2024 

The Yankees had quite the off-season, losing Juan Soto to the Mets, but they are still the favorites to win the AL East. Baltimore and Boston should challenge New York all season long. 

Here, we will break down the American League East and the title odds as we approach spring training.

AL East Winner Odds

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AL East Winner Odds

Favorites to Win AL East This Season

The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles are two of the highest-ranked teams in the World Series market. New York is currently +750, and Baltimore is +1400 to win the Fall Classic.

New York Yankees (-105) on FanDuel Sportsbook 

The Yankees are favorites to bring home the AL East crown, as they have won twice in the last three years. They finished 94-68 a season ago and made it to the World Series before running into the Dodgers. 

New York has had quite the off-season, signing a few super-stars, but they lost their best player from a year ago, Juan Soto. As a result of Soto’s departure, the Yankees acquired Cody Bellinger from the Cubs to help strengthen the outfield. 

The Yankees had an outstanding pitching staff last season, and it’s looking to be even stronger. They signed Max Fried to solidify the number two starter role and also inked Devin Williams from the Brewers to strengthen the bullpen. 

With all these acquisitions, New York also signed All-Star Paul Goldschmidt to help their already-loaded lineup. 

New York’s starting rotation will include Gerrit Cole, Max Fried, Carlos Rodon, Luis Gil, and Marcus Stroman. Their bullpen will be led by Devin Williams and Luke Weaver, who was tremendous in the postseason.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Anthony Volpe will round out the Yankees infield, and both these players could explode in 2025.

It’s safe to say the Yankees reloaded and are looking to make more noise in 2025. The Orioles will be their most significant threat to the division, so it will come down to who’s pitching staff can stay healthy and produce. 

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Baltimore Orioles (+260) on FanDuel Sportsbook 

The Orioles had one of their best seasons in 2024, led by Gunnar Henderson, one of the best shortstops in the MLB. Adley Rutschman also played a significant role in all of the Orioles' success, and they are looking to take down the Yankees in the AL East. 

Baltimore's most significant obstacle in 2024 was a consistent starting rotation and bullpen. The Orioles didn’t get anyone special besides Charlie Morton this off-season to help fix this issue. 

Their starting rotation will include Zach Eflin, Grayson Rodriguez, Charlie Morton, Dean Kremer, and Cade Povich. Baltimore doesn’t technically have a true ace starter that can shut down an opponent, so it will have to be another group effort if they want to compete in this division. 

On the other hand, Baltimore isn’t lacking on the offensive side. With a mix of young talent like Henderson and Rutschman to accompany Ryan O’Hearn and Tyler O’Neil, Baltimore will be in good hands for run production. 

Second-year player Jackson Holliday struggled at times last year but will keep getting better and figure out a way to stay in the starting lineup. Holliday was the number one pick in the 2022 MLB Draft. 

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Boston Red Sox (+500) on FanDuel Sportsbook

The Red Sox went 81-81 last season, finishing third in the AL East. Jarren Duran led the team in average, hitting .285 to go with 21 home runs and 48 doubles. 

Boston also got a ton of their offensive production from Rafael Devers and Masataka Yoshida. Devers had 28 home runs and knocked in 83 RBIs a season ago. 

The Red Sox’s best acquisition this offseason was signing Garrett Crochet to help solidify the starting rotation. Boston also signed Walker Buehler to join Crochet, Brayan Bello, Tanner Houck, and Kutter Crawford. 

Crochet is one of the best pitchers in baseball, which will give the Red Sox a ton of opportunities to win ball games in 2025. Boston also inked Liam Hendricks and Aroldis Chapman to add depth to the bullpen this season. 

The Red Sox didn’t do much in the off-season on the offensive side of the ball, but with Durran, Devers, and Yoshida, they have a ton of talent capable of producing runs. 

Boston will compete in this division but is a little weaker than Baltimore and New York. The Red Sox must stay healthy and get the most out of their starting rotation. 

If the offense stays consistent, the Red Sox could be an AL East dark horse. 

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Tampa Bay Rays (+950) on FanDuel Sportsbook

The Rays open up the season at +950 to win the AL East. They went 80-82, finishing in fourth place one season ago. 

Amed Rosario and Yandy Diaz led Tampa Bay in batting average, with both players hitting north of .280 in 2024. Outside of these two, the offense struggled to produce runs. 

The Rays pitching staff didn’t have the best year last season. Zack Littell, Taj Bradley, and Ryan Pepiot all made 20-plus starts, and none had a winning record. 

The Rays didn’t make many moves in the off-season besides picking up Danny Jansen, who will be the starting catcher for the Rays. 

Pete Fairbanks will be the go-to bullpen arm who struggled at times a season ago. The Rays played many close games that they lost due to a lack of run production. 

If the Rays want to compete, Randy Arozarena and Christopher Morel will have to make huge strides this season. Both players hit sub .220, and Arozarena struck out 101 times. 

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Toronto Blue Jays (+1600) on FanDuel Sportsbook

The Blue Jays finished 74-88 in last place in the AL East in 2024. The talent in Toronto is far better than what they showed last season. 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led the team in average, hitting .323 to go with 30 home runs while knocking in 103 RBIs. The All-Star needs another great season to help lead the Blue Jays. 

If Toronto isn’t winning at the deadline, he could quickly become trade bait in preparation for a rebuild. 

Bo Bichette and George Springer struggled last season. Both players are capable of hitting .250 plus, as they have proved it throughout their careers. 

Jose Berrios and Kevin Gausman had decent seasons for Toronto’s pitching staff. Berrios went 16-11 with a 3.60 ERA, while Gausman was 14-11 with a 3.83 ERA. Both pitchers had over 150 strikeouts, and they will have to repeat this in 2025 to compete in this division. 

Toronto’s most significant signing was Anthony Santander from Baltimore, who had a great season in 2024. He hit .245 to go with 44 home runs and 102 RBIs. Toronto will need him to keep producing power and maintain his home-run production. 

Alek Manoah will have to step up in 2025 after having a disappointing season. Manoah was an All-Star two seasons ago, and he hasn’t been the same pitcher ever since. 

Toronto will have to get more production from their pitching staff if they want to stay in the AL East race this season. This division is loaded with talent on the offensive side of the ball, and Toronto’s pitching staff will have to improve going forward.

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My Pick: New York Yankees (-105) on FanDuel Sportsbook 

It’s easy to take the favorite in the Yankees to win the division, but they are simply the best team. They made a few key moves in the off-season to get them to where they want to be before Opening Day.

Look for the Yankees offense to be dominant and for Cole and Fried to keep them in every game. When it’s all said and done, New York has a legitimate shot of returning to the World Series in 2025.

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Who Won the AL East in 2024?

The New York Yankees are the defending AL East champions. New York posted a strong winning campaign with a 94-68 record. They lost in the World Series to Los Angeles, but the Dodgers were a much better team. 

Aaron Judge and Gerrit Cole continued to lead the team. Judge wasn’t great in the playoffs, but he was the primary reason the team made it to the Fall Classic.

AL East Winner History

The AL East began in 1969 when the Orioles hoisted the division pennant. Baltimore won five of the first six seasons before their title victories became more sporadic. The Yankees then took over a stretch of dominance, winning five of six championships from 1976 to 1981.

The Yankees have been the best team in the AL East over the years. They have had a division-leading 20 victories since 1969. However, since 2013, the Red Sox have won the most championships with four.

Past AL East Champions Year 
New York Yankees2024
Baltimore Orioles2023
New York Yankees2022
Tampa Bay Rays2021
Tampa Bay Rays2020
New York Yankees2019
Boston Red Sox2018
Boston Red Sox2017
Boston Red Sox2016
Toronto Blue Jays2015
Baltimore Orioles2014
Boston Red Sox2013
New York Yankees2012
New York Yankees2011
Tampa Bay Rays2010
New York Yankees2009
Tampa Bay Rays2008

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the AL East

One of the most essential things in baseball betting is line shopping for the best price. Lines are different in every sportsbook, and you must research to give yourself the best chance of winning. 

A quick look at multiple MLB betting sites will set you up for success betting on the AL East championship. In addition to FanDuel Sportsbook, some of our other favorite platforms are listed below.

BetMGMCaesarsFanDuel
New York Yankees AL East Winner Odds+100-105-105
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How to Read AL East Winner Odds

The American odds may look slightly confusing if you’re new to sports betting. 

If the odds show a minus (–), then that amount must be wagered to win $100. (e.g., 150 means you must bet $150 to win $100.)

If the odds show a plus (+), you will earn that money on a successful $100 bet. (e.g. +150 means you make $150 on a $100 wager.)

If you bet $100 on the Yankees to win the AL East on FanDuel (+130), you would win $130 if they were successful.

AL East Division Winner FAQ

Who Is Most Likely to Win the AL East in 2025?

Who Won the AL East in 2024?

When Is the AL East Winner Decided?

Which Team Won the AL East the Most?

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Tanner Kern

Tanner Kern

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: M.S in Sports Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: Fanatics Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: Caesars Palace
Experience: 4 years
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