Toluca vs. Necaxa Prediction: Both Sides Look To Get Back Into the Win Column

• Toluca is currently in the thick of things, currently occupying the 4th placed position in the standings with 18 points. 

• Necaxa were handed their fourth setback in 2025, this time the challenger was Tigres.

Saturday evening Toluca will host Necaxa at Estadio Nemesio Díez, in a tilt that sees both adversaries level on points in the Liga Mx table, with 18 points a piece. The most recent affair took place in the 2024 Apertura season, which saw Toluca win on the road convincingly, stomping Necaxa 3-1 on October 27th. 

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Toluca vs. Necaxa.

Toluca vs. Necaxa Betting Odds for Saturday, March 8

The books have pinned the home side as the firm favourite to tally all three points on Saturday. In the moneyline 3-way market, Toluca is priced at -175 while Necaxa is listed at +375 to pull off the upset. If both teams are even after the final whistle, the draw is chronicled at +320.

Toluca vs. Necaxa Odds

The following odds are taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 at bet365 to claim your bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Toluca vs. Necaxa Betting Prediction

Toluca Prediction

Antonio Mohamed’s tenure in his first season managing the Diablos Rojos is off to a quality start to the Clausura campaign. Over the weekend though, his troops suffered their first defeat in six contests, dropping their match against Liga MX giants, Club America, stymied 3-0. 

After acquiring two consecutive clean sheets, Pau Lopez suffered a thrashing from Club America, who is known to do damage against their competitors. The 30-year-old keeper was under fire for most of the 90-minute frame as 14 shots were directed towards him, eight landed on target with Lopez turning out five saves. The two-time internationally capped player with Spain currently occupies a 63.2 save percentage at the same time conceding an average of 1.40 goals per 90 in his five starts. 

The savvy veteran striker, Paulinho will look to get back onto the scorer's sheet on Saturday. The 32-year-old has been a prolific forward in his Toluca tenure, amassing 20 goals in 30 games across all competitions. The Portuguese forward has already cataloged a hat-trick this season and statically possesses one of the most accurate boots in Liga MX, averaging 1.83 shots on target per 90. 

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Necaxa Preview

Nicolas Larcamon’s men saw their winning run vanish last weekend after previously winning four in a row. Competing against Tigres, Necaxa looked primed to register a result but squandered their chance, surrendering a stoppage-time goal in the 94th minute. 

The single player to get Necaxa onto the scoreboard last week turned out to be Agustin Palavecino. The on-loan product netted his second goal of the year in his team’s losing effort. In his second spell with Necaxa, the 28-year-old midfielder has also gathered three assists this year.  

Carrying the hottest foot in Liga MX, Diber Cambindo is currently the leader in Liga MX’s Golden Boot race. The Colombian leads the way with nine goals to his 2025 account in 10 outings. The 29-year-old could see the scoresheet once again as he has yet to unsuccessfully fail to score in two consecutive matches this season.

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Toluca vs. Necaxa - My Pick

• Toluca vs. Necaxa pick: Toluca moneyline 3-way (-175) at bet365

Despite these two combatants locked in with the same amount of points archived after 10 rounds, our feeling is Toluca should pull away and distance themselves from Necaxa. At Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca has won six of the previous 11 encounters in this matchup. At home Toluca has suffocated the opposing clubs in their four matches, only conceding two goals. On the road Necaxa has only picked up four clean sheets in their last 13 away trips overall, but facing a potent attacking club like Toluca, sets up to be a bad spot for the visitors.

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How to Watch Toluca vs. Necaxa

• When: March 8, 6 p.m. ET

• Where: Estadio Nemesio Díez

• TV: FOX Deportes, Univision, UniMas, Telemundo, Universo, TUDN, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ and ViX+