Friday evening at Estadio Corregidora will see Queretaro host Mazatlan in round 15 of the Clausura. The visitors in this fixture have owned the head-to-head clashes with Mazatlan only losing once in their previous seven meetings. In the competition, however, Queretaro is currently 11 points clear of the competitors in Friday's tilt.
Queretaro is in scorching form at the moment climbing up the Liga MX table. For Los Gallos Blancos they are riding a four-game win streak, and are winners in six of their last seven. In 14 matches played in the Clausura, Queretaro has only failed to find the scorers sheet twice in that span.
Meanwhile for Mazatlan the theme in this calendar year is inconsistent results. In 2024 they have failed to string together back-to-back victories. Last weekend the Cañoneros got dominated on their home pitch, getting thumped by Pumas losing 4-0. It was the second time this campaign that Mazatlan got blanked at Estadio de Mazatlan.
Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Queretaro vs. Mazatlan.
Friday night's contest sees the home side inked in as the plus-money favourites to walk away with all three points. Queretaro is priced at +115 on the moneyline. The guests to pull off the upset are listed at +230 to grab maximum points, while the draw is listed at +225.
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Los Gallos Blancos have had a nice turnaround compared to their 14th-place finish in the 2023 Apertura season. They have already exceeded their last domestic competition points total by two with three games left to spare. Queretaro is a club that likes to sit back, absorb the pressure, and try to hit the opposition on the counter. In 2024 this side ranks dead last in the league for possession on the pitch averaging 34.6 percent per match.
The hybrid attacking player upfront for Los Gallos Blancos, Pablo Barrera is having a phenomenal campaign. The veteran player has registered two goals and two assists in his last four matches. In 1169 minutes played, the 36-year-old leads his side in the goals department with five and leads the team’s assist category with five.
If Mazatlan has any shot to sneak into the play in round, with their three remaining games it’s must-win territory as they currently sit three points back. Currently sitting in 12th place, the Cañoneros are 10 points off their Apertura points total. The window is rapidly closing and will find the back of the net on a more regular basis as they have only managed to score two or more goals seven times through 14 matches.
Accounting for 39 percent of Mazatlan goals in 2024, Luis Amarilla will need to put in another monster performance if they want to have any shot at snatching an upset win. Last weekend saw the 28-year-old three-game scoring streak come to an end. In 90 minutes of play he was featured in, Amarilla finished with four total shots with only one hitting the target.
Throughout the campaign, Queretaro has performed much more efficiently on the road than at home. In seven home games, they have only managed to collect two victories and nine points, making them the 13th-best home side in Liga MX. On defence, Los Gallos Blancos have conceded nine goals which puts them in the middle of the pact of the competition for home goals allowed.
On the other hand, Mazatlan away performances have been their Achilles heel. Seven road games have seen them only collect one point, which puts them as the third-worst away side in the Clausura. They have also conceded the second most road goals with 19. With the current visiting form Mazatlan has shown, this is a situational spot for the home side can overcome their poor home performances and overshadow it by taking advantage facing a winless roadside.
Queretaro vs. Mazatlan pick: Queretaro Moneyline (+115) at bet365.
When: Friday April 12, 9.06 p.m ET
Where: Estadio Corregidora
TV: Univision, Telemundo, Fox Sports, ESPN, Vix and Sling TV
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