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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Prediction: Both Sides Seek To Secure a Maximum Result

Published January 29, 2025
4 min read

Wednesday evening Pumas UNAM will host Toluca at Estadio Olímpico Universitario in a match that has both clubs winless in their previous two outings. The most recent clash between these two adversaries took place in the 2024 Apertura campaign, which saw both teams split the points in a 1-1 draw back in October. Head-to-head this meeting has been closely contested as Pumas possess the slight edge winning on 13 occasions versus Toluca’s 12. Since July 2010, both clubs have remained level after 90 minutes in eight instances. 

Gustavo Lema’s troops played on Sunday to a scoreless draw against Atlas. The Gold and Blues currently sit eighth overall in the table, securing four points through the opening three games of the 2025 Clausura tournament. 

Meanwhile, Antonio Mohamed’s men suffered a 2-1 setback on the road against Mazatlan on Friday. The Red Devils share an identical record as Pumas through round three. Early into the campaign, Toluca is tied for second overall in goals scored with six. 

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca.

Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Betting Odds for Wednesday, January 29

Entering this midweek clash, the books have firmly favoured this tilt to see both teams breach each other’s keeper. Both teams to score is priced at -163 while both teams failing to do so is listed at +120.

Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Odds

Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Prediction

Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Betting Prediction

Our preferred sportsbook for this Liga MX matchup is bet365. Use our promo code WSN365 at bet365 to claim $150 in Bonus Bets.

Pumas UNAM Preview

In his first taste of top-tier soccer in Mexico, goalkeeper Pablo Lara recorded his first career clean sheet. The 19-year-old picked up three saves in his third consecutive start. Currently, the netminder possesses a 71.4 save percentage while averaging 1.33 goals allowed per 90.

The Gold and Blues winter marquee signing, Adalberto Carrasquilla made his debut in the second half last weekend. The internationally capped Panamanian appeared in 32 minutes, firing one shot towards the target and finishing 67 percent in accurate passes. The attacking midfielder previously spent time with the Houston Dynamo of MLS.

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Toluca Preview

The only individual to score last week for Toluca was Marcel Ruiz. The 24-year-old put in a splendid stretch during his 90 minutes of play, completing the most passes in the match with 57 while winning 14 duels, the most between any player that saw the pitch on Friday.

Starting the 2025 Clausura campaign white hot is attacking midfielder Alexis Vega. The 27-year-old has logged a goal contribution in the opening three games of the competition, amassing two goals and three assists in 253 minutes played. Vega has represented his home country of Mexico at the senior level performing in 35 international caps.

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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca - My Pick

This midweek encounter should result in both sides hitting the back of the net with the form both sides are in and history on our side. In the last seven matches at Estadio Olimpico Universitario when these two adversaries connected, both teams got onto the score sheet in five meetings. Despite getting blanked on Sunday, we feel Pumas should get back onto the scoreboard as this roster is too talented to get shutout twice in a row at home. Toluca on the other hand can score at any moment and also have a hard time keeping the ball out of their own net as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in the newly opened Clausura season. This is a night game which benefits both sides not having to play in the sweltering daytime heat. 

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How to Watch Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca

  • When: January 29, 10 p.m. ET

  • Where: Estadio Olímpico Universitario

  • TV: FOX Deportes, Univision, UniMas, Telemundo, Universo, TUDN, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ and ViX+

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Angelo Zarra WSN Contributor

Angelo Zarra

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLS
Liga MX
Betting Picks
Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid. In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Accounting and Payroll
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: PowerPlay Casino
Experience: 15 years
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