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Friday evening in the 2024 Clausura season finale will see the Mexican giants Club America make its way down to Estadio Cuauhtemoc to take on Puebla. The most recent clash saw Club America win convincingly with a 3-0 home victory back in the Apertura season. Head-to-head in their previous 31 encounters, Las Águilas have dominated this fixture list only failing to grab a result on three occasions.
Puebla is having a campaign to forget sitting dead last in the last Clausura table with one victory and a total of five points. Last weekend's 3-1 loss to Tijuana saw Los Camoteros extend their losing streak to six straight matches and find themselves winless in their last 11 with their last victory coming against Mazatlán back in February.
Meanwhile, for Club America, last weekend's Clasico Capitalino setback halted their unbeaten streak to six matches in all competitions played. Despite the 2-1 defeat Club America still maintained their place at the top of the table based on a greater goal differential.
Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Puebla vs. Club America.
The visitors in this affair are the heavy favourites to capture all three points. Since the moneyline price is too high we dive into the spread market. Club America -1 is +105, Puebla is listed as the underdog at +1 +175, and the tie is set at -1 +300, meaning Club America needs to exactly win by one goal for the tie to cash.
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Besides pride, there is not much for Puebla to play for on Friday evening. The club is currently sitting 20 points worse off from last seasons performance. If there is one silver lining for Los Camoteros it’s that the only results, they were able to register this year came at home.
With 66 career starts with Puebla, goalkeeper Jesus Ivan Rodriguez has had a dreadful 2024. In his first full season as a starting keeper, the 30-year-old has conceded a total of 41 goals. In the bottom of the league amongst his peers in net, Rodriguez possesses a 56.8 save percentage. Currently, with an expected goal on target faced at 30.2, it’s clear that Rodriguez is severely underperforming to no surprise on a woeful club.
On the other hand, Club America on matchday 17 still has lots to play for, looking to maintain a first-place finish in the Clausura. Controlling their destiny, the key to wrapping up the regular season is to stay as healthy as possible for Las Aguilas, as they will seek to seize on a triumphant 2023-24 sweeping away their competitors in the Apertura and Clausura.
Up on attack, Henry Martin is closing his regular season on a high. The Mexican international shares the team lead as the leader scorer with six. Martin has enhanced his stats in recent times, in all competitions has found the back of the net in four instances and also accumulated four assists in his last six appearances.
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The away combatants are in a tricky spot heading into Friday's meeting. Club America will be participating in the first semi-final leg of the CONCACAF Champions Cup. A fatigued and rotated squad could present itself on the domestic side of things. Despite this, it is a battle between the first and worst, and Club America class should still shine through. Facing a goalkeeper that has a goals-against average of 2.56 per match, Club America is more than capable of breaching it past Rodriguez on more than one occasion. Las Águilas also boasts one of the best defences in Liga MX, only conceding 11 goals through 16 Clausura matches. Think it will be a difficult time for the home side to muster anything on the attack while having to play on their back heels for the majority of the match.
Puebla vs. Club America pick: Club America -1 (+105) at bet365.
When: Friday April 26, 9 p.m ET
Where: Estadio Cuauhtemoc
TV: Univision, Telemundo, Fox Sports, ESPN, Vix and Sling TV
Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid.
In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food!
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