Wednesday evening at Estadio Alfonso Lastras, Atletico San Luis welcomes C.F. Monterrey in the first leg of the 2024 Apertura semi-final playoffs. These two met most recently back on October 5th, which saw Atleti de San Luis pick up the 1-0 win at home. In recent years this fixture hasn’t been dominated by one club, with Monterrey possessing the slight edge in the head-to-head battle winning on nine occasions versus San Luis’ eight. After 90 minutes these two have finished with the same scoreline in nine instances.
Domenec Torrent’s men held Tigres at bay, picking up a scoreless draw over the weekend, preserving the 3-0 aggregate over the two-legged affair. San Luis continued the trend in the Apertura playoffs as they were one of three clubs to upset the higher-ranked seeds in the quarterfinals.
Meanwhile, Martín Demichelis’ troops won a barnburner of a match, defeating Pumas UNAM on the road, 5-3. Inside the 90-minute frame, The Rayados were badly beaten on the stat sheet getting out possessed, only retaining 37 percent of the possession while getting outshot 21 to nine. In the end, C.F. Monterey were more clinical and capitalized on their opportunities.
Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Atletico San Luis vs. C.F. Monterrey.
In the draw no-bet market, the books have placed the visitors as the favourites to avoid defeat on Wednesday night. Monterrey is priced at -150 while Atletico San Luis is listed at +110.
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Helping safeguard the clubs' shutout on Sunday, Andres Sanchez was a brick wall between the sticks. The 27-year-old keeper stopped all 10 shots he faced including a clutch penalty kick save. The netminder is in one of the best forms of his career, registering three consecutive clean sheets and four in his last five starts.
Stapled to the bench in Sunday's outing was San Luis’ regular season leading scorer, Sebastien Lamonge. The 28-year-old led the way with five goals but has failed to hit the back of the mesh since November 2nd against Puebla. The versatile midfielder has scored nine goals in his tenure with Atletico San Luis, a span of 50 games.
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Triumphing over Pumas last weekend, German Berterame was the squad's only multi-goal scorer in their 5-3 win. The 26-year-old striker finished the regular season as the second-leading goal-getter with six. Berterame has repped Los Albiazules kit in 99 appearances, scoring 37 times since July of 2022.
If C.F. Monterrey wants to go into enemy territory and get the advantage in leg one, Sergio Canales will need to produce another spectacle on the pitch. The 33-year-old attacking midfielder has amassed four goals and two assists in previous four outings. It could be a tall task for the opposition to keep a red-hot Canales in check.
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Atletico San Luis vs. C.F. Monterrey pick: C.F. Monterrey draw no bet (-150) at bet365
Overall in their last 12 away trips in competitions, C.F. Monterrey has only suffered two setbacks in that span. Yes, Atletico San Luis is a dominant home side in the 2024 Apertura campaign, but playing midweek games has been an Achilles heel for them. In their previous six affairs played on Wednesday, San Luis had only been victorious once. Both clubs are playing on short rest but C.F. Monterrey has a more well-rounded roster with its depth to deal with a quick turnaround. We feel The Rayados have more than a puncher's chance to claim a victory in the first leg or at least finish level after regulation time, which would return our stake.
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When: December 4, 10 p.m ET
Where: Estadio Alfonso Lastras
TV: FOX Deportes, Univision, UniMas, Telemundo, Universo, TUDN, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ and ViX+
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