When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >
Sunday evening Group B in Copa America will conclude with Mexico and Ecuador clashing at State Farm Stadium in Glendale Arizona. Both sides entering this crucial matchup are level on three points both suffering defeats by an astonishing Venezuela team. Ecuador does possess the marginal edge with a better goal differential meaning they only need a draw to advance to the knockout stage while it’s a must-win game for Mexico.
Mexico are coming off one of the most shocking results in the tournament for all the wrong reasons. El Tri squandered their chance to sit atop Group B with their 1-0 setback against Venezuela. Mexico had glorious opportunities in the late stages of the match including being awarded a penalty kick in the 85th minute. Regrettably for Mexico, Orbelin Pineda’s bottom left attempted shot was stopped.
Meanwhile, Ecuador stamped their first win in the 2024 Copa America overpowering Jamaica with a 3-1 score line. La Tri was fortunate to obtain the early lead thanks to an own goal conceded by Jamaica in the 13th minute. A stoppage-time penalty in the first half was awarded to Ecuador and 17-year-old Kendry Paez converted on his opportunity scoring his first career international goal. Winger Alan Minda scored deep into stoppage time which would ensure La Tri would walk away with all three points.
Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favorite picks for Mexico vs. Ecuador.
The books are aware of the importance of this match and with the current forms both teams are in, its no surprise each side are similarly priced on the moneyline. In the draw no bet market it’s the same tale as both Mexico and Ecuador are listed at -120.
The following odds are taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Head over to bet365 to place your bets and claim a bonus: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets.
Check our curated selection of the Best Copa America Betting Sites and Promos.
Claim the special offer at BetMGM for the Mexico vs Ecuador game on Sunday and boost your odds by 33%. Head over to BetMGM and our code WSNMGM to claim Odds Boost Token. Hit the image below and place your bets 👇
Pegged by the books to be El Tri’s top scorer for the Copa America tournament, Santiago Gimenez has yet to make an impact for his country. The striker has participated in 127 minutes of action in the Copa America and has only logged three shots towards the target. The Feyenoord striker has now gone nine straight appearances without hitting the back of the net for Mexico.
On the backend, El Tri is getting the job done only surrendering one goal through their two group stage contests. Helping the backline out is the stout defensive form from Johan Vasquez. The Genoa defender in Serie A has won 75 percent of his ground duels while successfully defending the air winning 69 percent of his aerial duels. Vasquez has also done his part in alleviating pressure totalling 10 clearances in 180 minutes of action.
See our Prediction and Best Bets for Mexico at Copa America, here.
The teenage sensation repertoire for La Tri's is catching more attention with each passing minute Kendry Paez plays. The 17-year-old has bagged one goal on eight shots in 167 minutes played. Páez became the second youngest goalscorer in the history of Copa America with his goal from the penalty spot. Averaging four shots per game the young starlet will be tasked with breaking through the Mexican defence and leading Ecuador to the next stage.
Last summer's blockbuster transfer to Chelsea, Moises Caicedo is a key contributor on the pitch for his nation. His characteristics lean more to the defensive side of the pitch. Caicedo is lively going forward and able to be the box-to-box midfielder La Tri depends on to dictate the match on the pitch. In Ecuador’s victory over Jamaica, the 22-year-old finished with two shots toward the target and created three chances in his full 90-minute shift.
All the pressure is on Mexico to win on Sunday in a do-or-die scenario. El Tri certainly have the home-field advantage in the stands when they play but taking on a quality side like Ecuador might not be enough to get them over the finish line. Mexico have had threatening moments in their two previous fixtures but failed to profit from it. Ecuador just need to play for the draw to advance, they won’t be taking any risks going forward like Mexico will be doing. This should be a tight cagey encounter but ultimately the better-looking side in this clash should not suffer a defeat to Mexico from what we have seen after two match days in Group B.
Mexico vs. Ecuador pick: Ecuador draw no bet (-120) at bet365
Bet on Ecuador Draw No Bet (-120) at bet365
When: Sunday, June 30, 8 p.m ET
Where: State Farm Stadium
TV: Fox Sports, TUDN
Responsible Gamblling
If you or someone you know needs support or wants to speak with a professional about responsible gambling, seek out the correct resources. Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER to get help, or visit 1800gambler.net for more information. WSN is an advocate for safe gambling practices. Visit our Responsible Gambling Center for more details.
© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)
We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.
WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey
Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID
89744,
with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by
the
Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number
117656-1,
possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account
number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board,
an
interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery
Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director
of
Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a
Vendor
Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.
Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our
affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various
sportsbooks.