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The odds illustrate that there is little to choose between these two teams, but we give the Nerazzurri the edge.
Back Inter to beat Milan in the first derby of the season (+160) at FanDuel sportsbook
Pick made on 09/01/2022 at 07:29 PM EST
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AC Milan are accustomed to winning trophies, but last season’s Serie A title triumph felt extra special. More than a decade had passed since the Rossoneri were last crowned kings of Italy, with the current Juventus head coach Max Allegri the man responsible for their previous victory in 2010/11. Milan had struggled to even mount a challenge in the interim: they finished six more often than second during that dry spell, and even slumped as low as 10th in 2014/15.
Milan were runners-up to Inter in 2020/21, and both clubs had Juventus’ rather sudden decline to thank for making the title race competitive again. But last season’s title came ahead of schedule for a club that was focused on a gradual rebuild. Stefano Pioli’s side showed impressive grit and staying power, taking top spot at the beginning of March and holding onto it for the remainder of the campaign.
Milan find themselves in a somewhat unusual position this season. Look around the other major leagues in Europe and you will see that the defending champions are the favorites to come out on top this time around too: Manchester City in the Premier League, Real Madrid in La Liga, Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 and Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga. At the very least, the champions are usually one of the top two favorites.
In Serie A, however, Milan began the campaign behind Inter and Juventus in the betting markets of the best online sportsbooks. Perhaps Pioli will not mind that, especially if it reduces expectations. And even though Milan did not strengthen their squad over the summer to the extent of some of their rivals, this team has what it takes to at least go close to the title once again.
Inter are the favorites to win Serie A this term, narrowly ahead of Milan and Juventus. The Nerazzurri are in financial difficulty due to a sizable debt, but they have managed to keep their squad competitive over the summer. Indeed, despite fears that they would need to sell several key players, Inter only parted with several veterans who were well into their 30s: Arturo Vidal, Alexis Sanchez and Ivan Perisic.
There were notable incomings too, including Andre Onana, Joaquin Correa, Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Joaquin Correa. Most significant of all was the return of Romelu Lukaku on loan, just one year after Inter sold him to Chelsea. The Belgium international scored 47 goals in 72 Serie A matches in his first spell at the San Siro, and he is a leading contender to scoop the top scorer prize this time around.
Inter have made a decent start to the campaign, winning three of their first four games including a routine 3-1 victory over Cremonese in the midweek round of fixtures in Italy. But their sole loss, a 3-1 reverse to Lazio, was perhaps Inter’s most significant result to date.
Simone Inzaghi’s side were poor at the Stadio Olimpico and will need to perform much better in the big games if they are to have a successful season. Their ability to deliver the goods when the heat is on is perhaps the biggest question mark surrounding this Inter team right now.
The Derby della Madonnina is one of the most iconic fixtures in European soccer. These are two historic clubs with trophies aplenty between them, and they battle it out every season for the honor to be called the best team in the city of Milan. There is certainly no love lost between them, and derby games tend to be highly entertaining for the neutrals.
Milan remain unbeaten after four games, but they were frustrated by Sassuolo last time out. Pioli admitted after the match that his team did not show enough guile or creativity to break down opponents that sit deep and were happy to slow the game down. Milan will face a different challenge on Saturday, but they will still need to show more quality in possession.
Charles De Ketelaere has made a brilliant start to his Milan career, and Inzaghi will have earmarked him as the man Inter need to keep quiet. That is easier said than done, but if the Belgian struggles to make an impression Milan may find it difficult to open up the Inter defense.
With Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez up top, the Nerazzurri have more firepower than their rivals – and that is why we are backing them to pick up all three points in the derby.
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Teams | AC Milan vs Inter |
Location | San Siro, Milan, Italy |
Time | Saturday, 3 September 2022, 12.00 PM EST |
How to watch | Paramount+ |
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