Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Predictions, Picks, Odds (Pimlico)

Check out our predictions and odds for the 2022 Black-Eyed Susan at Pimlico! Odds for the race taken from TwinSpires Sportsbook!

Black-Eyed Susan Predictions and Best Bets

Here are my plays ($65 in total)

$2 Exacta Box – Luna Belle, Favor, Radio Days, Beguine and Miss Yearwood = $40

$5 Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness Daily Double –  Luna Belle, Favor, Radio Days, Beguine and Miss Yearwood with Secret Oath = $25

If you’re playing only to win, go with my top pick Luna Belle (9/2)

Adare Manor, a narrow loser in the Grade 2 Santa Anita Oaks last time, headlines a deep field of 13 entered in Friday’s Grade 2 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes for 3-year-old fillies at Pimlico.

A pair of dominating victories at Santa Anita, including a 13-length runaway in the Grade 3 Las Virgenes, made the daughter of Uncle Mo a big favorite in the Santa Anita Oaks, but she was upset by Desert Dawn by a neck.

Among the host of filles testing her in the 9-furlong Black-Eyed Susan will be the local hope Luna Belle.

Maryland’s top 3-year-old filly has won five straight stakes races in impressive fashion in her home state, but will now face graded competition for the first time on Friday.

The always dangerous Chad Brown, who will send Early Voting out in Saturday’s Preakness, is also represented in the $250,000 Black-Eyed Susan. His charge Distinctlypossible is Grade 1 placed and comes off a nice win in her 3-year-old debut.

Another filly who should get plenty of support on Friday is Interstatedaydream. After winning her seasonal debut in romping style at Oaklawn Park for trainer Brad Cox, she finished third last time behind Nest in the Grade 1 Ashland.

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Black-Eyed Susan Predictions and Race Analysis

Adare Manor

After two wins by a pole out west at Santa Anita, this daughter of Uncle Mo was upset last time as a big favorite in the Grade 2 Santa Anita Oaks. The filly who beat her, Desert Dawn did come back to validate the performance with a third-place finish in the Kentucky Oaks.

She is the most accomplished filly in the field as far as graded stakes racing goes, and she deserves favoritism on her California form. I will note, though, that she has been facing small fields, so the trip east to run 9-furlongs against a big field could be a real challenge.

There is also plenty of other speed in here to go with her early.  She’s the one to beat, but as the favorite, and running farther than she ever has, I am willing to take a shot to beat her on Saturday.

Luna Belle

Luna Belle has her eyes on the prize pic.twitter.com/b5czIsonuQ

— Marie Kizenko ??? (@SmashK) May 18, 2022

It’s nice to see a local in with a real shot in a big race like the Black-Eyed Susan, and this filly is definitely in with a shot. After showing steady improvement early in her career, the daughter of Great Notion has put things together with five straight-stakes wins.

They all came at Laurel against weaker competition than she will see here, but the way she easily won all five of those races makes it pretty clear that she is genuine.

Having won nicely at two turns in her last start and with her ability to come from off the pace, this race should set up well for her. In a wide-open field with many potential winners, she is my top pick.

Distinctlypossible

Perhaps the biggest wildcard in the field, she broke her maiden last time out for trainer Chad Brown at Keeneland in a very solid performance. It was the first start of the year, and for a filly who ran second in a Grade 1 race last season, there is good reason to believe she can move forward off the effort.

The daughter of Curlin looks like a talented filly who will find a home in graded stakes racing, but she has found a pretty tough spot on Friday. She is certainly a threat in here, but I’m not sure if I want her as one of the favorites coming out of a maiden race.

Interstatedaydream

Co-third choice on the morning line, this daughter of Classic Empire comes out of a third-place finish behind the talented Nest last time in the Grade 1 Ashland. While the competition was strong, she really did not put up much resistance in the stretch and lost by more than eight lengths.

Trained by Brad Cox, she was an impressive maiden winner the time before that and was graded stakes-placed as a 2-year-old. She is obviously a filly with some talent, but with the other speed that signed up for this one, I will be looking elsewhere in this deep cast.

Favor

Trained by Todd Pletcher, this one chased in vain last time behind Echo Zulu in the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks. The good news is there is no Echo Zulu this time around, and actually, the third-place finish in her stakes debut was not bad at all.

The daughter of Pioneerof the Nile will need to work out a trip from her outside post, but I suspect that will actually lead to her being a little farther off a strong early pace here. Any improvement at all in her second stakes try and she could be the winner of the Black-Eyed Susan.

Beguine

After a pair of decent efforts, while sprinting to begin her career, this Gun Runner filly really moved up when they tried her longer. She easily broke her maiden two starts back and followed that up with a game second in the Grade 3 Fantasy last time.

Further improvement puts her in with a shot here, but she will likely be another filly who wants to be pretty close to a strong pace. Having said that, she was able to lay a little off last time and finished well. She also gets a positive rider change to Jose Ortiz. She looks like a player here.

Radio Days

This longshot daughter of Gun Runner interests me here. She stretches out after running her first five races at a mile or less while showing some flashes of real ability. She also finds a race with plenty of speed early, which should set up her ability to rally.

Trained by Shug McGaughey, I have to believe that he feels like the distance will suit her, and her pedigree backs that up. Twice second in Grade 3 sprints, I think she could be primed for a breakout performance in her first try going longer. With Joel Rosario riding, she is my top longshot.

Midnight Stroll

One of a number of fillies in here with early speed, this one comes off a pair of wire-to-wire wins at Tampa Bay Downs. The first was a two-turn maiden race, before shortening up to win a 7-furlong stakes race. It was a solid performance but did come against Florida state-breds.

Now she will look to carry her speed against much better going 9-furlongs. If there was less speed in here I might consider her, but given the projected pace, it’s hard to imagine her being one of the main factors down the lane.

Divine Huntress

Drawn on the rail in this big field, this daughter of Divining Rod gets a third chance at graded stakes competition after running ninth in the Rachel Alexandra and then fifth in the Gazelle. Before that, she had beaten up on the lighter competition at Parx in a pair of races.

The addition of top rider Flavien Prat, but that’s not enough to believe that she can handle a field like this off of her results in her first two stakes attempts.

Candy Light

Trained by Graham Motion, this Candy Ride filly tried stakes company for the first time last out, and although she was no match Luna Belle, she was much the best of the rest. Before that, she dominated a maiden race at Laurel in February.

Based in Maryland, she will need more improvement to be a serious player here, but it does look like she is moving in the right direction with her racing career. She’s not one of my top picks, but she is a longshot to consider on Friday.

Miss Yearwood

It took her four tries to break her maiden, but this daughter of Will Take Charge looks to be getting better with each start. Two starts back she rallied well to be a good second behind Distinctlypossible, and then she followed it up with a romping win going ten furlongs at Churchill Downs.

Obviously this will be a big step up, but the last two are good enough to think she has a right to try. Given all the speed in here, she should be running late as a long shot with a real shot to hit the board.

Missy Greer

This Nyquist filly was a sharp maiden winner last time at Gulfstream Park, going wire-to-wire. It was her second start of the year and only her second try on the dirt. While the performance made her look the part of a filly with promise, she now steps way up to strong competition.

Drawn inside, she looks more like one who could have a say in the early pace, rather than a filly who is a major threat to win in this deep edition of the Black-Eyed Susan.

Morning Matcha

After easily handling her opponents in a minor stakes race at Parx, she came back to finish a disappointing sixth in the Grade 3 Gazelle at Aqueduct last time.

It was the first time she finished out of the money in ten career starts and it was also the first time she faced graded stakes opposition. She’s a nice filly who probably can run a little bit better than she did last time, but looks to be a cut below these. I like others better.

How to Watch the Black-Eyed Susan