Waste Management Phoenix Open 2025 Predictions: Kim to Send Them Wild

• Scottie Scheffler has won two of the last three editions

• This is the most attended golf tournament in the world

• TPC Scottsdale, a par 71 in the desert, stages once more 

Waste Management Phoenix Open Odds

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WM Phoenix Open 2025 Predictions

• Tom Kim each-way (1/4, 5 places) at +2800 with bet365

• Billy Horschel to beat J.J. Spaun over 72 holes at -120 with bet365

• Tom Hoge for Top 20 at +300 with bet365

WM Phoenix Open 2025 Intro

For the first time in four weeks on the PGA TOUR, we have a tournament played on just one course!

And it’s a hugely familiar one at that: TPC Scottsdale and its raucous 16th hole.

The par 3 is surrounded by stands rammed full of spectators. It’s the loudest hole in golf as fans, juiced up by drink ahead of Super Bowl weekend, trade wagers on nearest the hole and whether players hit (cheers) or miss (pantomime boos) the green.

It’s a smart move to embrace the chaos and players often throw memorabilia into the stands. 

Canada’s Nick Taylor ended a run of six straight victories for US golfers when taking the title 12 months ago.

He was a new name on the trophy but there have been plenty of multiple winners.

Phil Mickelson and Mark Calcavecchia are three-time champions while Vijay Singh, J.B. Holmes, Hideki Matsuyama, Brooks Koepka and Scottie Scheffler have all won it twice. 

And if you want the thrills of a playoff, you’ve come to the right tournament.

The WM Phoenix Open has witnessed six in the last nine editions.

Until last year, the previous seven winning scores on the Jay Morris/Tom Weiskopf design were between -16 and -19 inclusive.

 Last 5 Winners of the WM Phoenix Open

Course Notes

• TPC Scottsdale is a par 71 that measures 7,261 yards

• It’s described as a link-style desert track

• The course features average-sized Bermuda greens 

• Winds are set to be modest this year

• Low round: 60 Phil Mickelson, Mark Calcavecchia, Grant Waite, Nick Taylor  

Favorites to win the WM Phoenix Open

Scottie Scheffler (+280) at bet365

Scheffler showed no ill effects from his recent minor hand surgery when ninth on his 2025 debut at Pebble Beach last week. The World No.1 ranked 1st for SG: Approach and 22nd for Putting so the only real rust was in his short game (63rd Around The Green).There’s every reason to expect him to kick on here as he hoisted the silverware in both 2022 (his first PGA Tour win; he now has 13) and 2023. Scheffler was also third last year and seventh in 2021.

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Justin Thomas (+1400) at bet365

Thomas was a popular bet at Pebble Beach but fell away after an opening 66 and rather limped home in 48th. Unlike Scheffler, his iron play was sketchy and he’ll have to sharpen that up here. A runner-up at The American Express one start earlier, JT has connected seven top 20s here at TPC Scottsdale. That run which started in 2018 includes a pair of top threes and a fourth.

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Hideki Matsuyama (+1600) at bet365

Just like Scheffler, Matsuyama has both won this title and defended it. Those two wins came back in 2016-2017 while he was second in 2015 and has had four other top 25s in the last six editions. Matsuyama started the season with a birdie-blitz win at The Sentry but has gone 16-32-48 since which is numerically pleasing but a sequence he’ll want to reverse.

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Kim for the Win 

As we saw in the indoor TGL tournament last week and the last two editions of the Presidents Cup, Tom Kim absolutely brings the energy.

And if there’s one tournament in the world where he can thrive off the amped-up crowds it’s this one.

Kim gave us a hint last year that he loved it when playing the final 54 holes in three shots fewer than eventual winner Nick Taylor.

And he’ll return to TPC Scottsdale on a high after a big week at Pebble Beach.

Kim was tied for the lead in the final round and, although no-one could match Rory McIlroy, the Korean youngster looked set to be the biggest challenger at one stage before making a mess of the last and finishing seventh.

Still, that top seven at sleepy Pebble could be the perfect warm-up for the electric atmosphere in Phoenix which suits him more.

Kim has already shown he’s a big fan of desert golf by winning the Shriners in Las Vegas in back-to-back years (2022 and 2023) so the planets look aligned. 

Back Kim each-way at 28/1 (1/4, 5 places) with bet365.

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Horschel to Beat Spaun

For the last two weeks, our selections have tied their 72-hole match bets which is frustrating - especially last Sunday when pick Tommy Fleetwood finished level with Viktor Hovland after the Englishman made bogey to the Norwegian’s birdie at 18.

To snap that sequence, I’ll back -120 Billy Horschel to get the better of J.J. Spaun.

Spaun has been in solid form this season. He started with third at the Sony and has posted a run of 29-15-33 since.

But Horschel finished six shots in front of Spaun at Pebble and also boasts far superior course form.

Horschel has made his last 10 cuts in Phoenix, posting sixth in 2022 and ninth in 2020. An extrovert, he loves the rowdy atmosphere.

Spaun played well on debut back in 2017 but in four starts since at TPC Scottsdale his results are disappointing: 50-47-MC-MC.       

Back Horschel at -120 with bet365.

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Hoge for Top 20

Tom Hoge has played some solid golf so far in 2025 and recorded his second top 20 from four starts when 17th at Pebble Beach last week. That added to eighth at The Sentry

He’s also enjoyed this test, finishing 17th last year and 14th in 2022. 

Put those two trends together and the +300 at bet365 for another top 20 looks good business.

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How to Watch the WM Phoenix Open 2025

• Tournament: WM Phoenix Open

• Location: TPC Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ 

• Date: Thursday February 06 - Sunday February 09

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-8 p.m. (Golf Channel), Saturday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6.30 p.m. (CBS), Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (CBS) And all four days on Sky Sports