Valero Texas Open Predictions: Jump in for Jordan

• This is the final tournament before The Masters

• Akshay Bhatia returns to defend the title

• The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio has played host since 2010  

Valero Texas Open 2025 Odds

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Valero Texas Open 2025 Predictions

• Jordan Spieth each-way (1/4, 5 places) at +2500 with betMGM

• Si Woo Kim to beat Tony Finau over 72 holes at -110 with bet365

• Tom Hoge for Top 10 at +700 with bet365

Valero Texas Open 2025 Intro

Winner Akshay Bhatia won’t forget last year’s Valero Texas Open.

And neither will runner-up Denny McCarthy.

The two produced some amazing bursts of scoring to finish the week at 20-under - a full nine shots clear of third place.

Bhatia won the resulting playoff, leaving McCarthy to wonder just what did he need to do to secure a first PGA TOUR win.

Both are back for more, as are plenty of others contesting next week’s Masters.

The head count for August-bound players taking part here is 27 and they include 2021 Masters hero Hideki Matsuyama.

He’s only fifth in the betting though with Ludvig Aberg, a runner-up on his Augusta National debut 12 months ago, top of the odds board at +1200.

TPC San Antonio has staged every edition since first being used in 2010.

It’s a par 72 measuring over 7,400 yards and, in contrast to last week’s Houston Open, there’s an emphasis on finding fairways.

Strong iron play is another key factor in this ball-striking test and the first four home last year ranked 1st, 7th, 3rd and 2nd for Strokes Gained: Approach.

The tournament dates back to 1922 and has been dominated by American players although the odd Australian and Scott on the winners’ roll call is a hint that players used to windy conditions can thrive here.

The forecast suggests gusty conditions for Sunday’s closer.

Note: there was no event in 2020 due to the pandemic.

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Last 5 Winners of the Valero Texas Open

Course Notes

• TPC San Antonio is a par 72 that measures 7,438 yards

• Some of the rough is six inches in places so accuracy counts

• The Bermuda greens are overseeded with Poa and set to run on the slow side

• Corey Conners, Akshay Bhatia and Denny McCarthy hold the 72-hole record of 268

• Trey Mullinax has the 18-hole course record of 62

Favorites to win the Valero Texas Open 2025

Ludvig Aberg (+1200) at bet365

It’s been a slightly strange season so far for Aberg. He was a brilliant winner of The Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines in February but that’s his only top 20 in five starts after a missed cut at THE PLAYERS last time. He’s played this event twice, making an early exit in 2022 when an unknown but posting a solid 14th last year.

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Tommy Fleetwood (+1600) at bet365

Fleetwood’s hunt for a first PGA TOUR win continues but he’s played well the week before Majors in the past. The Englishman has been one of the most consistent golfers on the planet over the last six months and he’s connected six top 25s so far in 2025, including fifth at The Genesis and 16th at the Valspar Championship last time. In addition, he was seventh here on his debut last year.

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Corey Conners (+1600) at bet365

The Canadian has played 198 events on the PGA TOUR and won twice. Both those victories have come here! In the first six years ago he beat Charley Hoffman by two after shooting 20-under while in 2023 his 15-under tally edged out Sam Stevens by a shot. Conners couldn’t be in much better shape for his hat-trick tilt as he arrives with form of 8-6-3 after a brilliant Florida Swing.

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Side with Spieth   

Both Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy won the week before a Major last year so we have recent evidence that elite players can focus on the task in hand.

Jordan Spieth has achieved that same feat twice so is definitely one to keep a close eye on this week.

The local Texan has an excellent record at TPC San Antonio.

He won here in 2021, was runner-up in 2015 and also made the top 10 in both 2014 and 2024. 

Spieth has dropped hints that he’s ready to win again with a fourth place in Phoenix and ninth at the Cognizant Classic.

And you can be sure he’ll have been putting the hours in ahead of his bid for a second green jacket next week.

His iron play certainly looks dialled in and 3rd for SG: Approach at the Valspar Championship on his latest start bodes extremely well.

Spieth looks a value each-way pick at +2500 (1/4, 5 places) with bet365.

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Si Woo Kim to Beat Finau

Last week’s Houston Open course looked perfect for Tony Finau but he couldn’t really make an impact and had to settle for tied 32nd.

That followed a missed cut at The Players Championship.

Finau hasn’t had too many good days on this week’s track and his form shows 29-MC-61-3-68. The third was eight years ago.

So I’m going to take him on and back Si-Woo Kim to beat Finau in a 72-hole match.

Kim boasts a fourth and three other top 25s in his last six starts at TPC San Antonio and has cashed in all those half-dozen visits.

True, he missed the cut last week but a 67 on Friday suggested nothing was wrong and the Korean had previously banked four top 25s in his last five PGA TOUR starts. 

Back the consistent Kim to beat Finau in a pick ‘em  at -110 with bet365.

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Hoge for Top 10

Tom Hoge ranked 2nd for Approach when tied third at THE PLAYERS Championship last time and is a value bet to make the top 10 here at +700 with bet365.

He’s got a ninth and a 12th to his name at TPC San Antonio and his putter is heating up too.

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How to Watch the Valero Texas Open 2025

• Tournament: Valero Texas Open

• Location: TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course), San Antonio, TX

• Date: Thursday April 03 - Sunday April 06

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 1 p.m.-3.30 p.m (Golf Channel), 3.30 p.m.-6 p.m. (NBC/Peacock), Sunday 1 p.m.-2.30 p.m (Golf Channel), 2.30 p.m.-6 p.m. (NBC/Peacock) And all four days on Sky Sports