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The Genesis Invitational 2025 Predictions: Jason to Have his Day

Updated: Feb. 11, 2025, 08:37 AM ET
7 min read
  • The tournament has been switched from Riviera to Torrey Pines

  • The field of just 72 is led by World No.1 Scottie Scheffler

  • Tiger Woods was scheduled to play but has withdrawn

The Genesis Invitational 2025 Odds

Odds courtesy of bet356 Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to bet356 Sportsbook and place your bets: Bet $5, Get $100 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

PlayerOdds 
Scottie Scheffler+450
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Rory McIlroy+750
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Collin Morikawa+1500
BET HERE
Justin Thomas+1900
BET HERE
Hideki Matsuyama+2200
BET HERE
Ludvig Aberg+2400
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Patrick Cantlay+3000
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Sungjae Im+3500
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Taylor Pendrith+3700
BET HERE
Tommy Fleetwood+3700
BET HERE

The Genesis Invitational 2025 Predictions

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Genesis Invitational 2025 Prediction

The Genesis Invitational 2025 Intro

Any event where Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are on show is worth watching so plenty of eyes will be on this week’s latest Signature Event - The Genesis Invitational.

But golf fans hoping to get a glimpse of its usual venue, Riviera Country Club, will be disappointed after it was announced last month that this event would be moving to Torrey Pines due to the wildfires in Southern California.

Torrey, of course, staged the recent Farmers Insurance Open and returning there means the event is in great hands.

The South Course shared hosting duties with the North over the first two days of the Farmers but here it stages all four.

It’s a real beast at over 7,700 yards long and Harris English won with 8-under on the par 72 at last month’s Farmers. 

Get ready for more grinding here.

As for some key numbers, there’s a $20million prize fund for the reduced 72-man field, including $4m to the winner. 

It has a 36-hole cut, with the low 50 and ties advancing to the weekend.

Tiger Woods was due to peg it up for the first time in 2025 but has withdrawn as he continues to grieve the recent loss of his mother, Kultida.

Jake Knapp replaces Tiger. 

Let’s list the last five champions at the Genesis and, given the switch of venue, also the last five winners of the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines         

Last 5 Winners of the The Genesis Invitational (at Riviera)

YearChampion, nationality, winning score and venue
2024Hideki Matsuyama (Japan) -17
2023Jon Rahm (Spain) -17
2022Joaquin Niemann (Chile) -19
2021Max Homa (United States) -12 playoff
2020Adam Scott (Australia) -11

Last 5 Winners at Torrey Pines (Farmers Insurance Open)

YearChampion, nationality, winning score and venue
2025Harris English (United States) -8
2024Matthieu Pavon (France) -13
2023Max Homa (United States) -13
2022Luke List (United States) -15
2021Patrick Reed (United States) -14

Course Notes

  • The South Course is a par 72 that measures 7,765 yards

  • It features small Poa annua greens that are set to run at 13 on the Stimpmeter

  • Winner Harris English ranked 3rd for SG: Putting and 4th for Approach last month

  • The weather could be challenging over the first two days 

Favorites to Win The Genesis Invitational

Scottie Scheffler (+450) at bet365

Two starts in 2025 and finishes of ninth (Pebble) and 25th (Phoenix); this isn’t the normal Scottie Scheffler… yet. It’s fair to give him a slight pass after time off for minor hand surgery and he’s recorded positive SG: Putting numbers in both events so it’s not the flatstick. Is this the week when he gets back to winning ways? It’s far from certain. He missed his first two cuts at Torrey Pines but was seventh in the 2021 US Open here and 20th in the 2022 Farmers the last time he played it.

Use WSN365 for $1,000 Safety Net Bet at bet365   

Rory McIlroy (+750) at bet365

On current form, McIlroy is playing better than Scheffler and should be favorite. Rory kicked off his year with fourth in the Dubai Desert Classic and then scored a dominant win at Pebble Beach where he ranked 1st Tee to Green and 7th in Putting. Seventh here in the 2021 US Open, he’d also played the Farmers from 2019 to 2021 and performed well: 5-3-16.

Get $1,000 Safety Net Bet at bet365

Collin Morikawa (+1500) at bet365

Morikawa, like McIlroy and Scheffler, has also played just twice so far. He started 2025 with second place at The Sentry and added 17th at Pebble Beach. Despite a missed cut at Torrey Pines in 2024, he was third in the 2023 Farmers and also fourth when TP staged the 2021 US Open so it’s yet another Golden State course that the local Californian plays well on.

Claim $150 in Bonus Bets at bet365  

Day to Get it Done  

The change of venue will certainly benefit some players more than others and Jason Day is definitely going to feel some advantage with the tournament taking place at Torrey Pines rather than Riviera.

The Aussie has a couple of ninth places at Riviera but at Torrey Pines he’s been an absolute stud.

Day is one of the great course horses at TP and his record shows two wins, a second, a third and three other top 10s.

He didn’t add to that haul in last month’s Farmers but it was only due to a poor closer when he dropped from 15th after round three to 32nd at the finish.

His putter let him down that week and had been cold at the start of 2025 but at Pebble Beach last time Day’s flatstick looked far better as he gained strokes on the greens in all four rounds.

Day finished 13th at Pebble to add to a third place in January’s American Express.

Back the 13-time PGA Tour winner each-way at +4000 (1/4, 5 places) with bet365.

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Pendrith to Beat Kim

Taylor Pendrith has twice done us a favor in 72-hole match bets this season and I like the consistent Canadian this week too.

He’s the ‘dog against Tom Kim but it’s Pendrith who gets the vote at +100 via bet365.

It’s a simple argument. Pendrith has finished in the top 10 in his last two events while he’s also made the top 10 in his last two visits to Torrey Pines.

This is a big boy course and his monster hitting is a real advantage against the shorter Kim, who faded to 44th in Phoenix last week.

This is also Kim’s first look at the course.

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Henley for Top 10

With just 72 players in the field, top 10s will be easier to come by and the value here could be Russell Henley.

Henley led the US Open at Torrey Pines after 54 holes in 2021 while he’s in great form after a 10th and a fifth on his last two starts.

Back him for a Top 10 at +333 (including ties) at bet365.

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How to Watch The Genesis Invitational 2025

  • Tournament: The Genesis Invitational

  • Location: San Diego, CA 

  • Date: Thursday February 13 - Sunday February 16

  • How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-8 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-7 p.m. (CBS), Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6.30 p.m. (CBS) And all four days on Sky Sports

tip_r

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Dave Tindall WSN Contributors

Dave Tindall

Golf Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Golf
Betting Picks
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Psychology and Media)
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 25 years
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