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Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025: Lower to Raise the Bar

Updated: Feb. 19, 2025, 02:57 AM ET
7 min read
  • The tournament is being held at Vidanta Vallarta for the fourth time

  • Jake Knapp returns to defend the title he won 12 months ago

  • This event splits the West Coast Swing and the Florida Swing

Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025 Odds

Odds from bet365 Sportsbook. Sign up for a bet365 account with our promo code WSN365 and claim a bonus of your choice: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose.

Player Odds 
Akshay Bhatia +1200
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Rasmus Hojgaard +1800
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Patrick Rodgers +2200
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Stephan Jaeger +2200
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Kurt Kitayama +2200
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Taylor Moore +2500
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Sam Stevens +2500
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Michael Kim +2800
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Aaron Rai +3000
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Harry Hall +3000
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Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025 Predictions

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Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025 prediction and Odds

Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025 Intro

The rhythm and flow of the PGA TOUR means we get quieter weeks on the schedule and this week’s trip to Mexico is one of them.

With the West Coast Swing rounded off by a win for Ludvig Aberg at the Genesis Invitational, the tour crosses the border to Mexico before it starts up again in Florida next week.

Naturally, the big guns are taking the chance for a rest before the build-up to huge events such as the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship and that means a weak field in Mexico.

Still, the other side of the coin is that the absence of star names offers opportunity and Jake Knapp took it with both hands last year.

The Californian burst into the lead and held on to secure his maiden PGA TOUR win despite some early wobbles in round four.

The Greg Norman-designed Vidanta Vallarta course is one of the easier scoring venues on tour despite having a fairly hefty overall yardage of 7,436 yards.

Wide fairways give breathing space and the three winners since it became host venue were all big hitters: Knapp, Tony Finau and Jon Rahm.

The greens are big too and like those at the World Wide Technology Championship - the other PGA TOUR event staged in Mexico - they feature Paspalum greens.

Here are the past winning scores. Note, the 2022 and 2023 editions were held in April.

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Winners of the Mexico Open at Vidanta Vallarta

YearChampion, nationality, winning score and venue
2024Jake Knapp (United States) -19
2023Tony Finau (United States) -24
2022Jon Rahm (Spain) -17

Course Notes

  • The course features five par 3s, hence the par of 71

  • The large Paspalum greens are set to run at 11 on the Stimpmeter

  • Tony Finau holds the 72-hole course record of 260

  • Jon Rahm holds the 18-hole course record of 61 (round three, 2023) 

Favorites to win the Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025

Akshay Bhatia (+1200) at bet365

Already a two-time PGA TOUR winner at 23 years old, the fact that they both came in playoffs (2023 Barracuda Championship and 2024 Valero Texas Open) shows he has mettle as well as prodigious talent. Bhatia was fourth here on his only visit in 2023 and 10th at the WWT Championship on his most recent trip to Mexico in November. Ninth at last week’s Genesis Invitational completes an attractive package.

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Rasmus Hojgaard (+1800) at bet365

The Dane had a 36 holes to forget at Torrey Pines last week, firing 82-77 to miss the cut by a distance. It was some crash given that he’d finished 12th in Phoenix, 22nd at Pebble and 14th in the Dubai Desert Classic in his first three starts of 2025. It’s his tournament debut but if we give him the benefit of the doubt for last week, Hojgaard deserves to be considered a prime contender.

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Patrick Rodgers (+2200) at bet365

Is this the week for Patrick Rodgers? It’s a question we seem to have been asking for years and years. If it is, we can’t say the warning signs weren’t there that the Stanford standout would secure his first PGA TOUR title. Rodgers was third in a world-class field at last week’s Genesis Invitational and has course form at Vidanta Vallarta of 10-10-6.

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Lower can Land First Win  

Had the weather forecast pointed to testing winds, Bhatia may have been hard to stop.

The tournament favorite can handle the gusts and his extra class would likely have been telling.

But with calm conditions expected, this may turn into a putting contest.

With that the case, Justin Lower jumps out at +6000.

Lower admits the putter is the strongest club in his bag while he’ll also tell you that he loves pegging it up in Mexico.

The 35-year-old from Ohio took third place at this venue last year and back in November he was a runner-up at the other Mexico event, the World Wide Technology Championship.

Three starts ago Lower was third at The American Express so, if that putter gets hot, he has the chance to secure his breakthrough first PGA TOUR success.

Back him each-way at +6000 (1/4, 5 places) with bet365.

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Moore to Beat Griffin

Taylor Moore is this week’s 72-hole match bet selection and I like him at -138 at bet365 to take down Ben Griffin.

Moore has been in fine shape this season, picking up top 10s in two of his last four starts: seventh at The American Express and 9th at the WM Phoenix Open. 

Griffin also finished seventh in the AmEx but he’s been treading water since with MC-69-36-44.

In all those events he lost strokes on the greens - a contrast to Moore, who ranked 14th for SG: Putting in Phoenix.

As neither have course form, this is down to current play and Moore gets the nod.

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Rozner for Top 10

Antoine Rozner is one of the Europeans who won a PGA Tour card at the end of last season.

He’s played just twice, finishing 48th in the Farmers Insurance Open, but since those 72 holes in California he returned to the DP World Tour and delivered a fourth in the Qatar Masters. 

The Frenchman has four top sixes in his last eight worldwide starts and also possesses a great record on Paspalum greens (twice a winner), the surfaces he faces here.

Before this season, his only other start in a regular PGA TOUR event resulted in 18th at Memorial so back the big hitter for a Top 20 at +300 at BetMGM.

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How to Watch The Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025

  • Tournament: Mexico Open at VidantaWorld

  • Location: VidantaWorld, Vallarta, MEX

  • Date: Thursday February 20 - Sunday February 23

  • How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (NBC), Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (NBC) And all four days on Sky Sports

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Dave Tindall WSN Contributors

Dave Tindall

Golf Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Golf
Betting Picks
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Psychology and Media)
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Experience: 25 years
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