The tournament is being held at Vidanta Vallarta for the fourth time
Jake Knapp returns to defend the title he won 12 months ago
This event splits the West Coast Swing and the Florida Swing
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Player | Odds |
---|---|
Akshay Bhatia | +1200 BET HERE |
Rasmus Hojgaard | +1800 BET HERE |
Patrick Rodgers | +2200 BET HERE |
Stephan Jaeger | +2200 BET HERE |
Kurt Kitayama | +2200 BET HERE |
Taylor Moore | +2500 BET HERE |
Sam Stevens | +2500 BET HERE |
Michael Kim | +2800 BET HERE |
Aaron Rai | +3000 BET HERE |
Harry Hall | +3000 BET HERE |
Justin Lower each-way (1/4, 5 places) at +6000 with bet365
Taylor Moore to beat Ben Griffin over 72 holes at -138 with bet365
Antoine Rozner for Top 20 at +300 with BetMGM
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The rhythm and flow of the PGA TOUR means we get quieter weeks on the schedule and this week’s trip to Mexico is one of them.
With the West Coast Swing rounded off by a win for Ludvig Aberg at the Genesis Invitational, the tour crosses the border to Mexico before it starts up again in Florida next week.
Naturally, the big guns are taking the chance for a rest before the build-up to huge events such as the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship and that means a weak field in Mexico.
Still, the other side of the coin is that the absence of star names offers opportunity and Jake Knapp took it with both hands last year.
The Californian burst into the lead and held on to secure his maiden PGA TOUR win despite some early wobbles in round four.
The Greg Norman-designed Vidanta Vallarta course is one of the easier scoring venues on tour despite having a fairly hefty overall yardage of 7,436 yards.
Wide fairways give breathing space and the three winners since it became host venue were all big hitters: Knapp, Tony Finau and Jon Rahm.
The greens are big too and like those at the World Wide Technology Championship - the other PGA TOUR event staged in Mexico - they feature Paspalum greens.
Here are the past winning scores. Note, the 2022 and 2023 editions were held in April.
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Year | Champion, nationality, winning score and venue |
---|---|
2024 | Jake Knapp (United States) -19 |
2023 | Tony Finau (United States) -24 |
2022 | Jon Rahm (Spain) -17 |
The course features five par 3s, hence the par of 71
The large Paspalum greens are set to run at 11 on the Stimpmeter
Tony Finau holds the 72-hole course record of 260
Jon Rahm holds the 18-hole course record of 61 (round three, 2023)
Already a two-time PGA TOUR winner at 23 years old, the fact that they both came in playoffs (2023 Barracuda Championship and 2024 Valero Texas Open) shows he has mettle as well as prodigious talent. Bhatia was fourth here on his only visit in 2023 and 10th at the WWT Championship on his most recent trip to Mexico in November. Ninth at last week’s Genesis Invitational completes an attractive package.
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The Dane had a 36 holes to forget at Torrey Pines last week, firing 82-77 to miss the cut by a distance. It was some crash given that he’d finished 12th in Phoenix, 22nd at Pebble and 14th in the Dubai Desert Classic in his first three starts of 2025. It’s his tournament debut but if we give him the benefit of the doubt for last week, Hojgaard deserves to be considered a prime contender.
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Is this the week for Patrick Rodgers? It’s a question we seem to have been asking for years and years. If it is, we can’t say the warning signs weren’t there that the Stanford standout would secure his first PGA TOUR title. Rodgers was third in a world-class field at last week’s Genesis Invitational and has course form at Vidanta Vallarta of 10-10-6.
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Had the weather forecast pointed to testing winds, Bhatia may have been hard to stop.
The tournament favorite can handle the gusts and his extra class would likely have been telling.
But with calm conditions expected, this may turn into a putting contest.
With that the case, Justin Lower jumps out at +6000.
Lower admits the putter is the strongest club in his bag while he’ll also tell you that he loves pegging it up in Mexico.
The 35-year-old from Ohio took third place at this venue last year and back in November he was a runner-up at the other Mexico event, the World Wide Technology Championship.
Three starts ago Lower was third at The American Express so, if that putter gets hot, he has the chance to secure his breakthrough first PGA TOUR success.
Back him each-way at +6000 (1/4, 5 places) with bet365.
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Taylor Moore is this week’s 72-hole match bet selection and I like him at -138 at bet365 to take down Ben Griffin.
Moore has been in fine shape this season, picking up top 10s in two of his last four starts: seventh at The American Express and 9th at the WM Phoenix Open.
Griffin also finished seventh in the AmEx but he’s been treading water since with MC-69-36-44.
In all those events he lost strokes on the greens - a contrast to Moore, who ranked 14th for SG: Putting in Phoenix.
As neither have course form, this is down to current play and Moore gets the nod.
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Antoine Rozner is one of the Europeans who won a PGA Tour card at the end of last season.
He’s played just twice, finishing 48th in the Farmers Insurance Open, but since those 72 holes in California he returned to the DP World Tour and delivered a fourth in the Qatar Masters.
The Frenchman has four top sixes in his last eight worldwide starts and also possesses a great record on Paspalum greens (twice a winner), the surfaces he faces here.
Before this season, his only other start in a regular PGA TOUR event resulted in 18th at Memorial so back the big hitter for a Top 20 at +300 at BetMGM.
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Tournament: Mexico Open at VidantaWorld
Location: VidantaWorld, Vallarta, MEX
Date: Thursday February 20 - Sunday February 23
How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (NBC), Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (NBC) And all four days on Sky Sports
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