LIV Golf League Hong Kong Predictions: Can Joaquin Niemann Win?

• Jon Rahm has started the season with a pair of top-six finishes

• Adrian Meronk and Joaquin Niemann have claimed 2025 wins

• Abraham Ancer defends the title he won last year

LIV Golf Hong Kong Odds

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LIV Golf Hong Kong Picks and Predictions

• Joaquin Niemann to win at +700 with bet365

• Carlos Ortiz each way at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook

• Patrick Reed top 10 at +200 with bet365

LIV Golf Hong Kong Intro

In last year’s LIV Hong Kong, no less than 15 of the top 20 finishers carded at least one sub-65 round in a low-scoring bonanza.

After 36 holes it seemed as if the result would be a walkover.

Mexico’s Abraham Ancer had thrashed a second round 62 to jump five shots clear of the field but he could only close with a 72 which saw him caught by Paul Casey and Cameron Smith.

He stood tall in extra holes, however, to land his first victory on the rebel circuit and it made a lot of sense that he succeeded because the Hong Kong GC at Fanling always looked like a neat fit for his straight hitting.

Ancer is not the only golfer in this week’s field who has tasted success on the tight Fanling layout.

Ian Poulter won the Hong Kong Open in 2010 and his eighth place last year is his second-best return in 35 LIV Golf starts.

More recently, Patrick Reed won last year’s Hong Kong Open and he did so in spectacular style, carding a sensational 59 in the third round to leap three shots clear and he confirmed the win with a Sunday 66.

Who will take the honors? Let’s find out.

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Winners at Hong Kong GC

Hong Kong Golf Club Course Notes

• It’s a par 70 that plays to 6,710 yards

• It has been a regular host of the Hong Kong Open since 1959

• It’s a short, tree-lined, traditional design

• The Bermuda grass greens are smaller than average

• It suits short straight hitters from the tee and into the greens

Contenders to Win LIV Golf Hong Kong

Jon Rahm (+550) at bet365

The Spaniard’s first two starts of 2025 are in line with his 2024 returns at LIV Golf. He finished second at LIV Riyadh and sixth at LIV Adelaide which means that in 14 completed tournaments he has never finished outside the top 10. But his effort Down Under was his first failure to finish top two in five starts. He was eighth last year with a second round 64 his best 18-hole effort.

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Joaquin Niemann (+700) at bet365

There have been two stages of the Chilean’s LIV Golf career. In his first 17 starts, he managed just two top-three finishes (none of them wins). In contrast, in his last 15 appearances, he has recorded seven top-three finishes and a trio of them ended with him lifting the trophy including last time out at LIV Adelaide. He closed last year’s LIV Hong Kong with a 63 for fourth place.

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Tyrrell Hatton (+900) at bet365

The Englishman ended 2024, and started 2025, with victories on the DP World Tour and after two rounds of LIV Riyadh he was sitting fourth. But he didn’t contend with a final round 70 and he couldn’t go sub-70 in his three laps in Adelaide. He also failed to break that barrier in round three of last year’s LIV Hong Kong.

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Niemann Can Go Back-to-Back

Cameron Smith is tempting. If you trust his course record (9th-2nd-2nd) and long-term quality over his poor form, the price is interesting.

But we’ll go with Joaquin Niemann who might not match Jon Rahm for consistency but he currently wins more often at this level.

In fact, Niemann has five wins in his last 27 starts anywhere in the world, in addition to those persuasive stats above.

Back him to win with bet365 offering +700.

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Ortiz is Bubbling

In the second round of LIV Riyadh the Mexican Carlos Ortiz thrashed a 65 that hinted at good play to come and he proved it by grabbing a share of the 36-hole lead at LIV Adelaide.

He didn’t land the win but he hung around for second place and he can ride that wave into a week that really should suit him.

He won on Bermuda grass greens last summer in Houston.

He’s twice been second at the tight and narrow El Camaleon.

And he brought all this together at Hong Kong GC when fourth last year.

He’s the pick of the each-way value at +3000 each way with Caesars Sportsbook.

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Reed to Shine

It’s one of the mysteries of LIV Golf that Patrick Reed is still winless.

He finished third on debut and has added another six top threes but the trophy eludes him.

He doesn’t have a LIV top 10 since last summer but that came at the tight Valderrama in Spain which has typically been a good indicator of success at Hong Kong GC.

Reed proved it when that sub-60 drove him to victory last November and those good memories can help him hit the front page of the leaderboard again.

Back him at +200 with bet365 to land another top 10.

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How to Watch LIV Golf Hong Kong

• Tournament: LIV Golf Hong Kong

• Location: Hong Kong GC at Fanling, Hong Kong

• Date: FRIDAY MARCH 7 - SUNDAY MARCH 9

• How to watch: On the LIV Golf app, Fox Sports in the US, ITVX in the UK, and the Seven Network in Australia.