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LIV Golf Adelaide Predictions: Herbert Can Break Aussie Duck

Updated: Feb. 12, 2025, 04:12 AM ET
6 min read
  • Watch out for the famous ‘Watering Hole’ - the stadium par-3 12th

  • Adrian Meronk was a superb winner last week in Riyadh with Jon Rahm was second

  • No Aussie has yet won the individual event on home soil

LIV Golf Adelaide Odds

Odds from bet365 Sportsbook. Head over to bet365 to place your bets and claim $1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5 Get $150.

PlayerOdds 
Jon Rahm+600
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Tyrrell Hatton+700
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Joaquin Niemann+900
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Bryson DeChambeau+900
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Cameron Smith+1200
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Marc Leishman+1800
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Brooks Koepka+1800
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Lucas Herbert+2000
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Dean Burmester+2200
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David Puig+2200
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LIV Golf Adelaide Picks and Predictions

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LIV Golf Adelaide 2025 Predictions

LIV Golf Adelaide Intro

Everything about LIV Adelaide is what Greg Norman always dreamed of when he first considered the idea of global golf.

The Aussie first wanted a world tour back in the 1990s but his idea was vetoed by the PGA Tour and, when Saudi Arabian money was attracted to the game, Norman’s ideas were able to be re-imagined.

Norman wanted untapped markets to be introduced to elite level golf and that is what has happened with LIV’s venture Down Under.

Unlike the mainstream events in Australia, this tournament has high quality at the top end of the betting market and that has drawn the crowds.

This will the third edition and we can expect it to build on the spectacle, drama and noise of the first two.

What home fans will be hoping for, also, is an individual home winner.

Ripper GC - captained by Cameron Smith - won the team event last year but the Aussies are hungry for more.

Who will take the honors? Let’s find out.

LIV Golf League Top Three Finishers at the Grange GC

YearPositionPlayer and Score
20241stBrendan Steele (USA) -18
2ndLouis Oosthuizen (South Africa)  -17
3rdDean Burmester (South Africa) -16
Joaquin Niemann (Chile) -16
Andy Ogletree (USA) -16
Jon Rahm (Spain) -16
Charl Schwartzel (South Africa) -16
20231stTalor Gooch (USA) -19
2ndAnirban Lahiri (India) -16
3rdPat Perez (USA) -15
Patrick Reed (USA) -15
Cameron Smith (Australia) -15
Cameron Tringale (USA) -15

The Grange Golf Club Course Notes

  • It’s a par 72 that plays to 6,946 yards

  • A composite of the club’s East and West courses

  • Located on Adelaide’s sandbelt, it plays fast and true

  • The greens are especially swift and the bunkers are devilish

Contenders to win LIV Golf Adelaide

Jon Rahm (+600)

After opening his 2025 with clumsy rounds of 69-77 in January’s Dubai Desert Classic, the Spaniard got right back on track with second place in last week’s LIV Riyadh. He carded three rounds of 67 to maintain a remarkable run of results on the rebel circuit: He has not only never finished outside the top 10 in 13 completed events, he’s also finished top two in his last four.

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Tyrrell Hatton (+700)

The Englishman never quite got firing last week in Saudi Arabia, but such is his all round quality at the moment he still managed to finish sixth. Moreover, it was his sixth top six finish in a row across all tours and he has two wins in that stretch. He finished 14th at the Grange last year after a slow start and will be expecting to improve on that effort this week.

Get $1,000 Safety Net Bet at bet365

Joaquin Niemann (+900)

The Chilean’s last four starts Down Under have been very impressive, including top fives in the Australian PGA Championship and this event last year, plus victory in the 2023 Australian Open and fifth place on defense of that title. He ended 2024 with victory on the Asian Tour in Saudi Arabia but was poor last week in the same country going backwards with scores of 67-71-73.

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Herbert Can Break the Aussie Duck

The Aussie Lucas Herbert wasn’t playing on LIV for the first edition of this tournament and he made a slow start last year with an opening round of 73 but thereafter he lit the blue touch paper.

In fact, his conclusion rounds of 65-65 were better than anyone else in the field managed and he can ride that wave this week.

He was a winner on home soil in November’s New South Wales Open and victory this week would be a much bigger deal, but he is well up to the task.

He was fifth in the Australian Open at Kingston Heath in December - a similar challenge to this week - and fourth last week in Riyadh.

The Adelaide crowds want a home winner and Herbert can be the man.

Back him each way with BetMGM offering +2200.

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Burmester an Under-rated Threat

The South African Dean Burmester was not always a regular winner but he has become one.

He went back-to-back on the DP World Tour in late 2023, won on home soil last November, and picked up his first LIV title in April of last year.

This week is a good chance for him to lift yet another trophy.

He closed with a 65 for fourth last week in Riyadh and he also has strong course form.

He was seventh in the 2023 event and third last year. Over those six rounds he has an average of 67.00.

He’s available at +2200 each way with bet365.

Use WSN365 for $150 in Bonus Bets at bet365

Meronk to Ride the Wave

Last week’s winner, the Pole Adrian Meronk, might have been overlooked this week.

Another win might be beyond him but he can definitely landed another top 20.

Eight of his 14 starts on the circuit have been top 20s and, while his debut at the Grange last year was not one of them, he can improve on the 26th he recorded because a first round 72 left him off the pace before he burst back with laps of 68-66.

Winner of the 2022 Australian Open, on a course much like the Grange, back him at -120 with bet365 to land another top 20.

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How to Watch LIV Golf Adelaide

  • Tournament: LIV Golf Adelaide

  • Location: The Grange GC, Adelaide, Australia

  • Date: FRIDAY FEBRUARY 14 - SUNDAY FEBRUARY 15

  • How to watch: On the LIV Golf app, on Fox Sports in the US, on ITVX in the UK and on the Seven Network in Australia.

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Matt Cooper WSN Contributors

Matt Cooper

Golf Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Golf
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (History)
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Experience: 16 years
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