Commercial Bank Qatar Masters Predictions, Picks, and Odds

• The DP World Tour moves from South Africa back to the Middle East
• The original February date was changed due to Covid  
• After a three-year gap, the tournament returns to Doha Country Club

Commercial Bank Qatar Masters Odds

The odds for this tournament are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to Caesars Sportsbook and place a bet.

Commercial Bank Qatar Masters Picks

In-form Adri Arnaus lives in Dubai and has a superb record in the region. Back the Spaniard for the win at +1800 Caesars Sportsbook.

George Coetzee and Dean Burmester are both in good form but the former has far superior course form. Back Coetzee to win a 72-hole match -110 DraftKings Sportsbook.

Oliver Bekker is one of the DP World Tour’s form players after four top 10s and a T11 in his last five starts. Back him for yet another top 10 at +360 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

This week’s Commercial Bank Qatar Masters was originally due to take place in early February but concerns over the Omicron variant led to its postponement.

However, six weeks on, here we are back on familiar ground.

Doha Country Club has been a regular stop on the European Tour (now DP World Tour) since the Qatar Masters was first played in 1998. That edition was won by Sky Sports commentator Andrew Coltart, a Scot.

Another Scottish golfer, Open champion Paul Lawrie, won in 1999 and added a second title in 2012.

That offers a first clue. The course is open and exposed, thus those who can play well in the wind (e.g. Scottish players, who grew up on the links) often thrive.

The 2020 and 2021 editions took place at Education City but this year the tournament returns to Doha for the first time since 2019 when South African Justin Harding took the title with 13-under, finishing two clear of a huge pack of nine.

Big hitters have often thrived due to the lack of rough at Doha, although wild shots can be penalized.

The Peter Harradine design has water in play on seven holes and sand features everywhere: both in official bunkers and as part of the desert scrub.

It’s undergone some renovation work since last used in 2019, the most notable feature being that the greens have been changed from Bermuda to Paspalum.

The putting surfaces have also been re-constructed and new greens tend to play firm and bouncy.

A key element here is the weather forecast and strong winds (20mph and rising) are forecast for both weekend days so this should be quite a test. At least we have guaranteed sunshine with temps in the 80s and even 90s all week.

Arnaus ready to claim first win

Adri Arnaus has been one of the standouts in the early part of the DP World Tour season and this could be a golden chance for him to get a first win at this level

The Spaniard was runner-up at the MyGolfLife Open in South Africa last time and that followed on from a great run when the Tour previously visited the desert.

Arnaus was third at the Saudi International in a field boasting a slew of top-quality Americans, he added ninth in the Ras al Khaimah Classic and then eighth in the Kenya Open.

So that’s four straight top 10s and he also ended 2021 with another pair of top 10s in the Portugal Masters and the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai.

His one second-tier win came at the Ras Al Khaimah Challenge Tour Grand Final so that love of desert golf really does shine through when looking at his record.

As for course form his only previous start at Doha GC came in 2019 when he played some solid stuff to finish tied 14th.

This season he’s 14th in Stroke Average, 12th for Birdies (averaging five per round) and 10th in Par 5 Scoring which is relevant given that there are four to go at on this par 72.

In Saudi last month, Arnaus revealed that he was now living in the Middle East, in Dubai.

He said: “I really enjoy everything around here, especially it suits my eye, the desert golf in general. I enjoy playing on these kind of courses.”

That comfort with his surroundings is showing via results on the course so Arnaus looks a must bet for the win at +1800 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Coetzee can outscore Burmester

We landed another match bet last week as South Africa’s Thriston Lawrence beat China’s Ashun Wu by four strokes at the Steyn City Championship.

This time, I’m going to side with George Coetzee to get the better of fellow South African Dean Burmester.

Burmester is clearly in good form after finishing runner-up in the Steyn City Championship last week.

But he rather blew his victory chance with a late double bogey and could suffer a reaction here.

The main reason to split the two is course form.

Burmester has struggled at Doha GC with a missed cut in 2019 and a tied 41st in 2017. His other two appearances in this event at Education City were just as unprofitable with tied 53rd and a WD (after R1 74).

Coetzee, by contrast, is a real course horse. He’s twice been a runner-up at Doha and can also boast a fifth, a seventh, an eighth and a 12th.

He added a seventh at Education City in 2020 to show he just loves teeing it up in Qatar.

Changes to the course could potentially make a difference but I’m pretty confident he can handle the tweaks and Coetzee is excellent in the wind which could be a big factor given the forecast.

Coetzee is in good form with a run of 9-4-25 in his last three starts so back him to beat Burmester at -110 with DraftKings.

Bekker can crack the top 10

For my top 10 bet, I’ll go with one of the European Tour’s hottest players – Oliver Bekker.

Bekker was runner-up in his home South African Open in December and since the start of February his results read: 9-9-8-11-3.

They have come in events in Ras al Khaimah, Kenya and South Africa.

South Africans have an excellent record in Doha and Bekker, on current form, has to be followed.

Back him at a decent +360 with DraftKings Sportsbook to make the top 10.

Commercial Bank Qatar Masters Information