Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches Predictions: Berger to Serve up Win

• This is the first event of the four-tournament Florida Swing

• PGA National has played host since 2007

• Local resident Shane Lowry is the joint-favorite  

Cognizant Classic 2025 Odds

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Cognizant Classic 2025 Predictions

• Cameron Young each-way (1/4, 5 places) at +4000 with bet365

• Billy Horschel to beat Patrick Rodgers over 72 holes at -120 with bet365

• Christiaan Bezuidenhout for Top 10 at +750 with bet365

Cognizant Classic 2025 Intro

With the West Coast Swing done and a brief hop to Mexico in the books, the PGA TOUR is heading east.

The Florida Swing gives us the first sense that The Masters isn’t too far away (April 10-13) although it stands alone as a prestigious part of the schedule.

Perhaps some of the stardust is missing from this event these days with most of the elite PGA TOUR players keeping their powders dry for the upcoming Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship.

Still, it’s a decent field and the top five in the betting have all either won this event or finished runner-up.

PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens has played host since 2007 and often scoring has been tough.

Indeed, 11 of the first 14 editions were won with single digits under par.

That has rather changed in the last two years with Chris Kirk (-14) and Austin Eckroat (-17) both finding PGA National an easier test.

And despite the threat of the Bear Trap - the tough closing three-hole stretch - a kind weather forecast suggests we may get something around -15 again.

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Winners of the Cognizant Classic

Course Notes

• PGA National is a par 71 measuring 7,167 yards

• Water is in play on 15 of the 18 holes

• The 10th hole was converted from a par 4 to a par 5 for the 2024 edition 

• The weather forecast predicts less wind than usual

• Chris Kirk and Eric Cole (2023) hold the 72-hole record of 266

• Brian Harman (2012) and Matt Jones (2021) have the 18-hole course record of 61

Favorites to win the Cognizant Classic 2025

Shane Lowry (+2000) at bet365

Lowry is a local resident and was runner-up at PGA National in 2022. He keeps knocking at the door here and has followed that up with fifth (2023) and fourth (2024). Overall, he’s 7-for-7 at the Cognizant. He’s made three starts on the PGA TOUR so far this season and in the middle of those posted second at Pebble Beach so it’s easy to see why he’s at the very front of the betting.

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Russell Henley (+2000) at bet365

After a promising 13th on debut, Henley won this event as a 24-year-old after a four-man playoff in 2014. He also went 24-20-8-3 from 2018 to 2021 so is a real course horse. Also fourth at Bay Hill last year, Henley is a real force on the East Coast and the Georgia Bulldog arrives in fine form thanks to 10th (Sony Open) and fifth (Pebble Beach) in two of his last three starts.

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Daniel Berger (+2200) at bet365

Berger, then a rookie, almost won this event in 2015 but Padraig Harrington holed a 15-footer to force a playoff before the Irishman prevailed at the second extra hole. He’s also finished fourth in both 2020 and 2022 so the local Florida man is a real force here. Could this be the year? Quite possibly after his two latest starts produced a second place in Phoenix and 12th at The Genesis Invitational.

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Young can Land First Win  

Cameron Young is one of the local residents here but his story at PGA National involves more than just living a 15-minute drive from the course.

As a teenager, he won an AJGA event here in 2013 while in two PGA TOUR starts the 27-year-old from New York has finished 16th on debut in 2022 and fourth last year.

Young closed with a 65 in 2022 and opened with that same score last year so he’s shown he can go low on this testing layout.

And hopefully he can repeat those 65s and a 66 (round four 12 months ago) with Mother Nature not offering up anything too hostile.

Young has been a little hit-and-miss so far in 2025 but the good stuff - eighth at The Sentry and 12th in Phoenix earlier this month - suggests he’s playing well enough to thrive at a venue that clearly suits him.

Of course, he’s still trying to win for the first time but players with strong Open Championship records have always done well at PGA National and that bodes well for Young, who was runner-up at St Andrews in 2022 and eighth at Hoylake a year later.  

Back him each-way at +4000 (1/4, 5 places) with bet365.

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Horschel to Beat Rodgers

A pro tip for 72-hole match bets here is noting the difference between West Coast and East Coast form.

Patrick Rodgers, a standout at UCLA, was strong in his four California starts, going 4-for-4 and peaking with third place at Torrey Pines.

But over on the East Coast, those powers are often severely reduced.

At PGA National, Rodgers has yet to log a top 20 in eight attempts while he’s missed seven of his last 11 cuts in Florida.

Bet365 have Rodgers in a 72-holer with Billy Horschel and Billy-Ho is a strong selection at -120 via bet365.   

Horschel is a Florida resident and will be licking his chops at the tour heading there.

He has numerous big finishes in the Sunshine State including three top 10s and a further two top 20s at PGA National.

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Bezuidenhout for Top 10

Christiaan Bezuidenhout may have mixed feelings this week as he’ll be missing his home South African Open.

But wanting to justify his decision to play here instead could act as motivation.

He owns a previous top 25 at PGA National and has placed 9th and 13th in his two most recent Florida starts - the 2024 Valspar Championship and the 2024 PLAYERS .

Fourth in Phoenix two starts ago, back Bezuidenhout for a top 10 at +750 with bet365.

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How to Watch the Cognizant Classic 2025

• Tournament: Cognizant Classic

• Location: PGA National, Palm Beach Gardens, FL

• Date: Thursday February 27 - Sunday March 02

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 2 p.m.-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (NBC) And all four days on Sky Sports