The CJ Cup Byron Nelson Predictions: Bank on Burns

• The PGA Tour is back in Texas again  

• TPC Craig Ranch hosts for the fifth year running

• World No.1 Scottie Scheffler is the hot favorite   

The CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2025 Odds

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The CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2025 Predictions

• Sam Burns each-way (1/5, 6 Places) at +2800 with BetMGM

• Rasmus Hojgaard to beat Tom Kim in 72-hole match at -125 with bet365

• Jake Knapp for Top 10 at +500 with bet365

The CJ CUP Byron Nelson 2025 Intro

The PGA TOUR makes a swift return to Texas following a fortnight in the Lone Star State prior to The Masters.

This event, originally known as the Texas Victory Open, dates back to 1944. 

It’s moved around down the years and new home, TPC Craig Ranch, has been host to the last four editions.

All of them were won by overseas players, with Canadian Taylor Pendrith adding to the victories for Australian Jason Day and Korea’s KH Lee, who won it back to back.

Rewind a little further and only two American players have won since 2014. 

TPC Craig Ranch is a modern course that only opened in 2004.

Tom Weiskopf was the designer and came up with a venue featuring wide fairways and very little rough.

There’s plenty of water, with Rowlett Creek zig-zagging across the course. 

A glance at the winning scores will tell you what we’re in for this week - a birdie-fest!

Potentially, those familiar Texas winds could keep scoring in check but there’s nothing much in the forecast and Thursday looks particularly calm.   

Last 5 Winners of the The CJ CUP Byron Nelson

*There was no tournament in 2020 due to the pandemic

Course Notes

• TPC Craig Ranch is a par 71 that measures 7,569 yards from the tips

• The course was designed by former Open winner Tom Weiskopf

• The layout features zoysia fairways and bentgrass greens

• Jason Day and Taylor Pendrith hold the 72-hole record of 261  

• Sebastian Munoz and SY Noh have both shot 60s at this course

Favorites to Win The CJ CUP Byron Nelson 2025

Scottie Scheffler (+275) at BetMGM

He’s played eight times in 2025 and has still yet to win. Not usually a stat worth commenting on but Scheffler plays by different rules and last year’s winning machine can’t quite find the necessary change of gear. Not that there’s much wrong at all as eighth place at The Masters was his fifth top 11 in the last six starts. At this event, he’s improved his position each year: 47th, 15th, 5th while the local Texan has finished runner-up in his last three starts in the Lone Star State.

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Jordan Spieth (+1800) at BetMGM

Another local, Spieth has won at Colonial and also landed the Valero Texas Open but this one has eluded him so far. He’s come close. In 2022 the three-time Major winner was runner-up here, following ninth on debut. He missed the cut last year. Spieth has made the top 20 in five of his last eight starts but bettors want more from him as fourth in Phoenix was Spieth’s only finish inside the top eight.

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Sungjae Im (+2000) at BetMGM

Im is making his course debut. He’s got a decent record in Texas - a ninth and two other top 20s in his last five starts there - and arrives in good form, on American soil at least. A fifth place at The Masters was his third top five of 2025 although after following it with 11th at Hilton Head he flew home to Korea and missed the cut in the Woori Financial Group Championship.

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Timing Could Be Right for Burns

Maybe it’s time for a home player to get their name on the trophy and Scottie Scheffler will be a popular pick.

But the value could lie with compatriot Sam Burns.

It’s been a tough season so far for the five-time PGA TOUR winner but 13th place in an elite field at the RBC Heritage last time could prove a turning point.

Burns should always be on the radar in Texas as he’s won two of his last five starts there: the Charles Schwab Challenge in 2022 and the WGC Dell Match Play in 2023.

Widening the lens and in his last 10 starts in Texas, Burns has two wins, a second, a sixth and two sevenths. 

The second place came on this very course in 2021 when he was the 36 and 54-hole leader.

Burns, at his best, would be second or third favorite in this field, so cash in on the +2800 at BetMGM (each-way 1/5, 6 places).

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Hojgaard Can Beat Out-of-Sorts Kim

Rasmus Hojgaard teamed up with twin Nicolai to finish runner-up in last week’s Zurich Classic of New Orleans.

And I’ll back the Dane to outscore Tom Kim in a 72-hole match bet at -125 with bet365.

Rasmus has been playing the better golf of the two brothers and posted a promising 32nd on his Masters debut.

Kim closed with a 79 at Augusta to finish outside the top 50 at The Masters and that followed a missed cut in the Texas Open. 

The out-of-form Korean has now failed to make the top 35 in his last seven starts so the big-hitting Hojgaard is the pick on a course that should suit him. 

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Knapp to Land Top 10

Jake Knapp could be a smart move to crack the top 10 this week - especially at odds of +500 with bet365.

Knapp was the 36-hole leader here last year before finishing eighth and is a prolific birdie maker. See his amazing 59 in round one of the recent Cognizant Classic.  

He showed it again last week when playing a dominant role in his partnership with rookie Frankie Capan as the duo finished third in the Zurich Classic pairs event.

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How to Watch The CJ CUP Byron Nelson 2025

• Tournament: THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

• Location: McKinney, TX

• Date: Thursday, May 1 - Sunday, May 4

• How to watch: Thursday-Friday 4 p.m.-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 1 p.m-3 p.m (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (CBS). And all four days on Sky Sports.