The 3M Open 2024: Finau to Flourish

• The tournament is in just its sixth edition

• This is the penultimate event before the FedExCup Playoffs 

• Former winner Tony Finau is the betting favorite

3M Open Odds

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The 3M Open 2024 Picks and Predictions

• Tony Finau for the win at (+1100) with BetMGM

• Taylor Pendrith to beat Erik Van Rooyen over 72 holes at (-120) with bet365

• Adam Hadwin for Top 10 (including ties) at (+400) with bet365

3M Open 2024 Intro

After the rich history of the 152nd Open Championship at Royal Troon, Scotland, it’s a sudden gear change on the PGA TOUR this week.

There have only ever been five editions of the 3M Open in Minnesota although that’s still enough for a decent haul of course form.

The venue in question is TPC Twin Cities, a par 71 measuring just over 7,400 yards.

While it’s a straightforward test, the scheduling on the rota adds plenty of jeopardy.

The 3M Open is the penultimate event on the PGA TOUR’s regular season schedule, so the battle to make the FedExCup Playoffs comes sharply into focus.

Only the top 70 in the standings after next week’s Wyndham Championship make it through so the clock is ticking.

Most of the big names are taking a breath out after two weeks in Scotland but there are some notable players in the field.

They include Tony Finau, the winner here two years ago, and Royal Troon runner-up Billy Horschel.       

Last 5 Winners of the 3M Open 2024

Course Notes

• TPC Twin Cities is a par 71 and measures 7,431 yards

• Minnesota native Tom Lehman was the player consultant for the course

• Before a renovation in 2018, it hosted a Champions Tour event 

• Lee Hodges holds the 72-hole record of 260, set 12 months ago

• Bryson DeChambeau is one of five players with the 18-hole record of 62 

Favorites to Win the 3M Open 2024

Tony Finau (+1100) at BetMGM

Finau, unlike his two rivals at the top of the betting, wasn’t a factor at Royal Troon. An opening 71 was decent but he then crashed to a Friday 81 and missed the cut. Before that, he’d connected three top 10 finishes on American soil, including third in the US Open, while he has a superb record here: a win (2022), a third (2020) and a seventh (2023).

Bet on Tony Finau (+1100) at BetMGM

Sam Burns (+1400) at BetMGM

After a slow start at Royal Troon, Burns put himself right in the hunt to win his first major after laps of 69 and 65 but his score spiralled on Sunday, an 80 taking him down from tied second to tied 31st. Burns had a run of 10-15-9 in three June starts so the signs are good and seventh here on debut in 2019 is encouraging. He’s only played it once since, finishing 32nd in 2020.

Bet on Sam Burns (+1400) at BetMGM        

Billy Horschel (+2200) at BetMGM

Horschel had a week to remember at Royal Troon, performing like an Open winner (he closed 68-69-68) but running into an unstoppable force in Xander Schauffele. Still, that second place represents a best-ever finish in a major for Horschel and confidence should be high as he heads to TPC Twin Cities for just a second time after posting tied 13th on debut last year.

Bet on Billy Horschel (+2200) at BetMGM

Finau to Show Extra Class

Shane Lowry gave us a tasty each-way payout at +3500 in the Open Championship last week and those profits are going on Tony Finau to win here.

It didn’t work out for Finau in Scotland and being on the wrong side of the draw was partly to blame on day two. 

But he’s looked like a winner waiting to happen on American soil and this seems the perfect venue given his past exploits at the course that show a win, a third and a seventh.

It should also help him that his two main rivals for victory this week - Sam Burns and Billy Horschel - were in the thick of contention at Royal Troon.

Expecting some mental fatigue from that pair is entirely reasonable.

Finau’s presence in the field given its awkward scheduling shows he thinks this is a golden opportunity to secure what would be a seventh PGA TOUR title and fifth since he won for the first time here in July 2022.  

Let’s back him to show he’s a class above the vast majority of these with a win bet at (+1100) with BetMGM.

Pendrith to Beat Van Rooyen

We landed another 72-hole match bet last week in slightly fortunate circumstances as -120 pick Tyrrell Hatton (+8) missed the Open cut but Viktor Hovland (+10) missed it by more.

Still, a win’s a win and this week I’ll back Taylor Pendrith to outscore Erik Van Rooyen at (-120) with bet365.

Pendrith didn’t make the trip to Scotland, staying in the United States and finishing fifth in last week’s Barracuda Championship.

That added to the strong form he showed between April and June, highlighted by his win at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson in Texas.

Van Rooyen has been in decent shape himself but faded to 39th in the Scottish Open and didn’t win a place at Royal Troon. 

In this event the South African has course form of MC-58-MC so Pendrith looks to hold the aces.        

Hadwin for Top 10

Like Pendrith, Adam Hadwin has the extra pull of trying to secure a place on the International Team for September’s Presidents Cup on his home Canadian soil.

Hadwin, who was third at last month’s Memorial Tournament, needs points for an automatic qualification and this represents a great opportunity given that he’s posted a fourth and a sixth in two of his four starts here.

Strong in these types of birdie-fests, take Hadwin at (+400) with bet365 to finish in the Top 10 (including ties). 

How to Watch the 3M Open 2024

• Tournament: 3M Open

• Location: TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, MN

• Date: Thursday July 25 - Sunday July 28

• How to watch: Thursday-Friday 3.30 p.m.-6.30 p.m. (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6.p.m. (CBS). And all four days on Sky Sports.