PDC Home Tour Darts – Last 32, Group 3 Predictions & Odds [May 28]

• Twice world champ Gary Anderson is hot favorite to win Group Three 
• Luke Humphries seeks revenge on Nick Kenny who beat him earlier in the event
• Jamie Lewis caused an upset on Night One as he took down the current world champion, but a repeat appears unlikely
  

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The second stage of the PDC Home Tour brings a slightly longer format with games now played over the best of 11 legs, rather than the first to five in the previous round. That should suit the higher-ranked players, giving them a chance to rectify a poor start in matches.

The tournament continues with the third day of the Last 32 stage with double world champion Gary Anderson the hot favorite to eliminate Luke Humphries, Jamie Lewis, and Nick Kenny. Anderson is heavily odds on but there are ways of taking a bigger price on the fancied Scotsman.

Group Three Odds

Odds taken on May 27, from DraftKings.

Gary Anderson

Two-time world champion Gary Anderson had initially withdrawn from the tournament with WiFi issues but re-entered the field on Night 30. Whoever boosted his connection was well rewarded as the world ranked No. 9 ranked Scot won all three of his matches, dropping only four legs against strong opposition. The 49-year-old served up fireworks in his Somerset oche as he swept aside Dirk van Duijvenbode and Dimitri Van den Bergh both by 5-1 scorelines and Kim Huybrechts 5-2. It was a commanding performance with Anderson averaging 91.81 and in total control. The only concern for anyone getting behind Anderson on Thursday would be the fact that he was never pushed by his previous opponents. But one suspects the world champion of 2015 and 2016 has the pedigree to up his game if required.

Anderson is the man to get behind on Thursday evening. He is the class act of the quartet on show and backing him to repeat an undefeated evening seems a good betting route. Odds-on to win the group, by taking Anderson to win all three of his matches boosts his price to a more appealing odds against. Trebling the Flying Scotsman for a three-match parlay could bear dividends.

Humphries and Kenny Meet Again

Luke Humphries came second on Night 5 behind Nick Kenny, but he hit back on Night 28 with three wins as he made the most of a second bite at the cherry. Humphries is the reigning PDC youth champion and is getting used to playing from his home in Berkshire after participating in the first of the two-week precursor to the Home Event tournament.

Kenny plays from Gwent in Wales and won the group on Night 5 after beating Humphries 5-3 in the evening’s opening encounter. Kenny went on to beat Joe Murman 5-2 and Devon Petersen 5-3 to top the group with a modest 84.62 three-dart average.

Humphries showed his quality to bounce back and beat Andy Boulton 5-4, Michael Smith 5-2, and Mike van Duivenbode 5-3 to top Group 28. Against world No. 5 Smith, Humphries averaged 108.55 in a highly impressive display. It is that evening’s work, where Humphries averaged 101.83 throughout, that suggests his confidence will be high and he will provide a bigger challenge for Kenny. World ranked 34, Humphries should at least gain revenge against a player 71 places beneath him in the PDC Order of Merit.

It would be a brave man that backs either man to upset Anderson however. Humphries has beaten Anderson once in two attempts and Kenny has never faced him. There are times as a punter to be brave and others where the obvious choice is the wisest. In this group, the obvious and wisest are the same man – get behind Anderson.

Jamie Lewis A Man To Forget With Your Bets

Jamie Lewis hasn’t enjoyed the best of times in the last couple of years. His world ranking has slipped to 60 and seems to only be going one way. That made his performance on the very first evening of this tournament, way back on 17 April, even more impressive. He beat world champion Peter Wright 5-1 as he progressed by topping the group from the Scot on leg difference.

But Lewis has not been a player you can trust with your punts and it feels a long time ago that he made the semi-finals of the world championships in 2018. The man from South Wales also possesses poor memories of his meetings against all three of his Thursday opponents. On the head-to-heads, he trails Anderson 7-1 and both Humphries and Kenny 2-0. It is certainly tough to make a case for him to cause another upset in this event.

Our Picks

Teke Gary Anderson to beat all three of his competitors on Thursday evening and turn the -150 for him to top the group to +116 for him to come through unbeaten. Also, take a look at Luke Humphries to gain revenge of Nick Kenny with a small stakes play on the leg handicaps – Humphries -3.5 is +240 with bet365.