Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Prediction, Picks, Betting Odds

• Borussia Dortmund have already been involved in some thrilling games this season
• Union Berlin were a surprise package last term and have made a solid start
• Dortmund should come out on top but a clean sheet might again be elusive

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Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Odds

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Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Prediction & Pick

Back Borussia Dortmund to beat Union Berlin with both teams to score. Marco Rose’s side have experienced defensive difficulties so far this season and a clean sheet could be beyond them here.

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Marco Rose Would Love a Quiet Afternoon Against Union Berlin

There is seldom a dull moment at Borussia Dortmund. With their passionate supporters, emphasis on youth development, and attacking style of play, BVB are one of the neutrals’ favorites. There are few non-affiliated fans inside or outside Germany who would want to see Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga title over Dortmund. Indeed, it is not only season-ticket holders at Signal Iduna Park willing Marco Rose’s side on this term.

We are only four games into the campaign, but Dortmund are keeping pace with Bayern for now. The champions, who are seeking a 10th consecutive crown this season, have won three and drawn one of their games to date. Dortmund, by contrast, have won three and lost one – a similar record. Both sides have found the back of the net 13 times, but there is a big difference in the ‘goals against’ column: whereas Bayern have conceded four in four matches, Dortmund’s backline has already been breached on 10 occasions.

That is not sustainable. With the exception of the DFB-Pokal tie against Wehen Wiesbaden of the third tier, Dortmund have conceded in every game they have played this term. Eintracht Frankfurt, Freiburg and Hoffenheim have struck twice against them. Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen have scored three times. Leverkusen’s trio of goals was not enough to bring them even a point last weekend, as Dortmund showed tremendous character to win 4-3 despite falling behind three times. But that is not how title-winning teams tend to operate

There are mitigating circumstances. Rose has not been in the job for long and should make Dortmund more solid as time goes on. Injuries have not helped either, with Axel Witsel having been forced to fill in at center-back early on. Dortmund looked more secure with Mats Hummels alongside Manuel Akanji against Besiktas in midweek, and Rose will hope that combination can help Dortmund to start keeping some clean sheets.

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Union Berlin Not Just Making up the Numbers in the Bundesliga

Following promotion from the 2. Bundesliga in 2018/19, Union Berlin were tipped to struggle in the top flight. In fact, Urs Fischer’s side exceeded expectations by steering clear of the bottom three for most of the campaign, and going on to finish 11th. Nevertheless, plenty of predictions about Union in 2020/21 contained the phrase ‘second season syndrome’. It was felt that the club from the capital would lose momentum and fall through the Bundesliga trap door, particularly as they would not benefit from the backing of their vociferous home support amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Yet Union did even better last time out, securing a seventh-place finish and qualifying for the Europa Conference League. It was a magnificent achievement. Fischer’s men had a better defensive record than Bayern and lost only eight games all season – fewer than Dortmund and only one more than Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, both of whom qualified for the Champions League.

Union were not backed to go down by quite as many people ahead of this term, and the early evidence suggests they will once again steer clear of relegation trouble. Union have won one and drawn three of their four games up to now. They remain a tough nut to crack, and the former Liverpool forward Taiwo Awoniyi has added another dimension to their attacking game. Union look like they are here to stay as a Bundesliga team.

Dortmund’s Firepower Should See Them Past Union Berlin

It is easy enough to forecast the pattern of Sunday’s contest at Signal Iduna Park. Dortmund will have plenty of the ball – at 63.4 per cent, they have registered the highest average possession so far this season, while Union are third-bottom of that particular table with 38.4 per cent.

The visitors’ attacking strategy will be based on quick breaks forward, where Dortmund’s defensive transitions often let them down. Set-pieces will be a key part of Union’s approach too: they scored more goals from dead-ball situations than any other team in the Bundesliga in 2020/21, while only three sides conceded more than BVB.

Despite Union’s deserved reputation as a difficult team to play against, Dortmund will surely have too much-attacking quality for them on Sunday. Erling Haaland is a goal machine who will be ably supported by Julian Brandt, Jude Bellingham, Donyell Malen, Marco Reus and others. Dortmund are one of the best teams in Europe going forward, and Union will struggle to keep them out.

Yet Fischer probably feels optimistic about his team’s chances of scoring. For starters, they have done so in three of their four matches so far. Equally significantly, Dortmund’s defending in recent weeks has left a lot to be desired. Back a home win with both teams to score.

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