Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Prediction, Betting Odds and Tips

• Bayern Munich’s lead at the top of the Bundesliga has been cut to four points
• Union Berlin need to arrest their slide if they are to qualify for Europe
• Bayern Munich are unlikely to slip up when Union visit the Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Odds

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Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Pick

Back Bayern Munich to win with a -2.5 handicap in the Caesars sportsbook. Julian Nagelsmann’s side have stumbled unexpectedly at times, but this should be a comfortable match for the German champions.

If you are not entirely sure what handicap betting is and want to learn more, check out our how to bet on soccer guide.

All of a sudden, Bayern Munich’s lead at the top of the Bundesliga is down to four points. A few weeks ago it looked like the title race was done and dusted. Bayern led by nine points back then and it was hard to see a way back for Borussia Dortmund, who continued to be plagued by inconsistency and injuries. It seemed like a matter of time before Bayern became the first club in German soccer history to be crowed champions for a 10th season in a row.

They are still the overwhelming favorites to finish on top of the pile, but in recent weeks the roles have been reversed. Dortmund have taken 13 points from the last 15 available. Their last two victories over Arminia Bielefeld and Mainz were both by 1-0 scorelines, as BVB kept things tight at the back and scored the only goal of the game.

Bayern, meanwhile, have been careless. A surprise 2-1 defeat by Borussia Monchengladbach in their first fixture back after the winter break was excusable, with Nagelsmann forced to field a second-string side due to a host of Covid-related absentees. A 4-2 reverse at the hands of Bochum last month was harder to explain, and back-to-back draws with Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim have seen Bayern’s lead shrink further.

It is difficult to work out why they have suddenly dipped. On their day Bayern remain a formidable force, as they demonstrated in a 7-1 thrashing of Red Bull Salzburg in the Champions League less than two weeks ago. But at times their ultra-attacking approach has backfired.

In fairness to the champions, they could easily have beaten Hoffenheim comfortably last time out; Bayern had three goals disallowed and were the better team throughout. However, unless they get their focus back they could inexplicably throw the title away.

Union Berlin Slip Down Standings as European Hopes Fade

Union Berlin have also dropped a fair few points of late. The club from the capital have won one, drawn one and lost four of their last six encounters. As a result they have tumbled from fourth to eighth place in the table. They are now six points adrift of the European places and appear to have lost momentum at the wrong time.

Union still have the joint-fifth best defensive record in the division, but their backline has been considerably leakier since the beginning of February. They have now gone nine league games without a clean sheet having previously averaged one every 2.83 matches. A shut-out is highly unlikely at the Allianz Arena on Saturday.

There would be no shame in Urs Fischer’s side finishing in mid-table. They ended last term in seventh place, yet many predicted a season of struggle for Union this time around.

Instead they have managed to maintain the same level of performance. A downturn in results was always going to happen at some point, and there are not yet any signs of the Union hierarchy panicking with regards to Fischer’s position. Even so, they will be desperate to arrest their slide as quickly as possible.

Bayern Should Get the Job Done Ahead of International Break

Nagelsmann looks set to stick with a three-man backline for the visit of Union, even though he has had to field many questions about the system in recent weeks.

The use of Kingsley Coman and Serge Gnabry as wing-backs is certainly an interesting approach. At times it leaves Bayern susceptible to opposition counter-attacks down the flanks. Coman and Gnabry are wingers by trade and chasing back does not come naturally to them.

Both players are willing to put in the hard yards when required – this is not an issue of work rate – but having two attackers in the wing-back positions is something the strongest opponents will look to exploit.

This weekend, though, it could simply have the effect of overwhelming Union Berlin. This system allows Bayern to attack with at least six players, as Jamal Musiala pushes forward from midfield, Gnabry and Coman play high up the pitch, and the two attacking midfielders roam behind Robert Lewandowski. Red Bull Salzburg could not handle it and an out-of-form Union may similarly struggle.

That is why it is wise to back a handsome Bayern win, despite their recent inconsistencies in the Bundesliga. Betting the moneyline is not particularly attractive here, so we recommend going for the handicap option instead.

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