Saul Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga: Fight Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds

Followers of professional boxing have a treat in store on Saturday evening as pound-for-pound great Saul Alvarez returns to the ring. The multi-weight world champion takes on his 66th contest as a prizefighter when facing opponent Edgar Berlanga at the T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. Both the WBC and WBO world super middleweight titles are on the line in Vegas, with Canelo expected to add a 62nd career win to his already glittering CV.

The leading online sportsbooks in the United States have Canelo as a red-hot favorite in the pre-fight gambling odds, but will the hard-hitting Mexican live up to expectations before a capacity crowd and global television audience? Traders offer odds on the fight winner as well as a long list of exciting markets, including the method of victory, winning rounds, total knockdowns, and more. There’s a market to suit all fight fans and odds to suit any budget.

Follow the bout delivered by TGB Promotions live on Amazon Prime Video and read the big-fight preview of our content writer and former professional fighter Frankie Monkhouse. Get up-to-speed on the form of both warriors, analyze the all-important stats, learn which bookmaker offers the best gambling odds, and follow our picks as we aim to guide readers towards a profit. There’s a lot to get through.

Alvarez vs. Berlanga Betting Odds

Looking at the Alvarez vs. Berlanga betting odds currently available at bet365 Sportsbook, it’s plain to see how traders expect Saturday’s bout in Las Vegas to play out.

Another win for Alvarez is available at -2000 with a points victory at +250 at bet365, and the KO/TKO is sure to be popular at -275. Fancy the upset at big odds, a result that would send shockwaves through boxing and change Edgar’s career overnight? Berlanga to win the fight is +950 with a points win +1800 and the KO/TKO +2500 at bet365.

Saul Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga Predictions

Canelo Prepares for Round 497

Saul Alvarez returns to the ring boasting a stunning professional record that consists of 61 wins against two defeats and a pair of draws. The hard-hitter has already scored 39 knockout victories, with both losses coming on the scorecards. His first defeat was inflicted by Floyd Mayweather back in 2013 before Dmitrii Bivol added a second loss in 2022. The loss to Money Mayweather may have been scored as a majority decision, but most viewers and boxing experts thought Floyd won comfortably. The reverse to Bivol was closer, with each of the three scorecards calling it 115-113 in the Russian’s favor. 

Since losing to Bivol over 12 rounds at the T-Mobile Arena, Canelo quickly returned to action, fighting four opponents and bagging four impressive victories on points. The man from Jalisco settled a long-running grudge with a comfortable win over Gennady Golovkin in Vegas before returning to his homeland to beat Britain’s John Ryder. He brushed aside Jermell Charlo following a bitter war of words and made light work of the previously unbeaten Mexican Jaime Munguia in his most recent contest back in May. One of the most active champions in modern boxing, Saturday will be Saul’s third fight in 12 months, all against high-ranking opponents.

Despite boasting an earth-shattering 39 knockout wins, Alvarez hasn’t dealt with an opponent inside the distance in five fights. That run stretches back to an 11th-round TKO win over Caleb Plant in November 2021. The Mexican’s last win in the first half of a contest was the third-round stoppage of Avni Yildirim in February 2021, and it’s worth keeping that in mind when making your predictions ahead of Saturday’s bout. Yes, Canelo is a short-priced favorite, and the bookies expect to win by KO, but his most recent form shows Saul likes to take his time and pick opponents apart before moving in for the stoppage. Will we see those tactics deployed again in Saturday’s main event? It’s highly likely and that approach could open the door for bettors to secure a slice of value in an otherwise difficult market.

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The Chosen One Is Unbeaten

All the talk in the media pre-fight has centered on Alvarez and what his next move might be after he claims another important win on Saturday. But that’s a dangerous assumption to make, especially in a sport where anything can happen, and fights change with a single punch. The Mexican fully deserves to be a strong betting favorite and the pundit’s pick, but opponent Edgar Berlanga is in Las Vegas on merit. The 27-year-old fighter born in New York brings a proud unbeaten record showing 22 wins with 17 knockouts since scoring a first-round knockout of Jorge Pedroza on debut back in 2016. Since then, the Chosen One has reeled off impressive wins and quickly moved through the ranks to his current spot at number six in the world.

Berlanga scored an eye-catching 12-round points win over Ireland’s Jason Quigley at Madison Square Garden last summer to pick up the WBO NABO super middleweight title. Edgar knocked his opponent to the canvas in rounds three, five, and 12 on route to a convincing points decision. The judges handed him victory that night by margins of eight and 12 rounds. It was a punch-perfect performance from the Brooklyn orthodox fighter, but everyone connected to Team Berlanga knows they face a huge leap up in class when taking on Alvarez. Is the unbeaten warrior ready to take on the cream of the crop? Boxing enthusiasts can’t wait to find out, but betting traders don’t hold out much hope for an upset.

Since impressing against Quigley before a huge audience in New York, Berlanga moved on to Orlando, where he stopped Belfast’s Padraig McCrory inside six rounds in his most recent bout. Edgar was too good for his opposite number that evening and wasted no time in proving it, cutting down McCrory before the end of the sixth without ever getting out of first gear. Berlanga is an undeniable talent with a good boxing IQ and power in both hands, but he’ll need a career-best performance to get anywhere near beating Canelo on what will be a huge night for the sport.

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Back Alvarez for a Late Stoppage

It’s been a while since we’ve seen Alvarez score a stoppage win, but that looks like the best bet on Saturday evening against an opponent who will find out he is out of his depth against Canelo. Expect the favorite to ease his way into the contest, scoring hard shots to the head and body of Berlanga, discouraging him in the opening exchanges. 

After softening up the American, Alvarez will go through the gears and score a KO/TKO after round eight at odds of +450, odds you’ll find available on the bet365 website and mobile app.

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How to Watch Saul Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga

• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

• When: Saturday, September 14

• Time: 8 p.m. ET

• Streaming: DAZN