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Presidential Election Odds US 2024

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published October 31, 2024
6 min read

We’re less than a week away from the United States presidential election, and according to the polls, the race is one of the tightest in recent memory.

However, looking at the betting odds across several Ontario-based sportsbooks, Republican nominee Donald Trump appears to be favored over the Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. 

The race appears to be coming down to seven battleground states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada.

Below, I’ll examine the odds from the top online sports betting sites, examine the odds for each state, reference recent news, and more. 

❗You cannot bet on the election at any US-licensed sportsbooks.

Current Election Odds

Below are the current betting odds for the 2024 United States presidential election, with odds from BetMGM, bet365, and FanDuel. All odds are courtesy of their Ontario, Canada branch.

CandidateBetMGMbet365FanDuel
Donald Trump-200-188-188
Kamala Harris+160+162+154

With -200 odds, Trump's implied probability of winning is 66.67%, while Harris’s +154 marks a 39.37% chance. 

Visit BetMGM Ontario

Betting Odds For Each State

Below are the odds for each state. The odds will be notated as Republican and Democrat. 

The odds are courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook (Canada).

State 🇺🇸RepublicansDemocrats
Alabama-50000+5000
Alaska-3300+1400
Arizona-300+240
Arkansas-50000+5000
California+3300-20000
Colorado+1400-3300
Connecticut+3300-20000
Delaware+3300-20000
Washington DC+5000-50000
Florida-2000+1000
Georgia-250+200
Hawaii+3300-20000
Idaho-50000+5000
Illinois+3300-20000
Indiana-3300+1400
Kansas-20000+3300
Kentucky-20000+3300
Louisiana-20000+3300
Maine (Full State)*+700-1200
Maryland+4000-25000
Massachusetts+3300-20000
Michigan+110-138
Minnesota+600-1000
Mississippi-20000+3300
Montana-20000+3300
Nebraska (Full State)-200+162
New Hampshire+450-700
New Jersey+2000-6600
New Mexico+700-14200
New York+3300-20000
North Carolina-275+220
North Dakota-20000+3300
Ohio-4000+1800
Oklahoma-20000+3300
Oregon+2200-8000
Pennsylvania-150+120
Rhode Island+3300-20000
South Carolina-20000+3300
South Dakota-20000+3300
Tennessee-50000+5000
Texas-2500+1200
Utah-25000+4000
Vermont+5000-50000
Virginia+500-800
Washington+3300-20000
West Virginia-50000+5000
Wisconsin-138+110
Wyoming-75000+6600

*=In Nebraska and Maine, there’s a separate electoral vote for the second congressional district in those states. 

Popular Vote Winner Odds

While a straight-up popular vote doesn’t determine the winner of the United States presidential election, BetMGM offers a betting market on it. 

In 2016, Trump secured the presidency despite not winning the popular vote. 

Republicans are +160 to win the popular vote, while Democrats are -200 at BetMGM. 

In 2020, Biden received 81,283,501 votes compared to Trump’s 74,223,975. 

NY Times Election Poll Graph
NY Times latest stats graph on who's leading the poll. Source: NY Times.

Electoral College Vote Odds

In 2016, Trump secured 304 electoral votes to Hillary Clinton’s 227. Then, in 2020, Trump had 232 to Biden’s 306. 

Below are the odds for the brackets of potential electoral votes each candidate could receive. 

Candidate179 or less180-209210-239240-269270-299300-329330-359360 or more
Donald Trump+5000+2000+550+333+240+200+900+2000
Kamala Harris+2000+1000+225+250+333+500+2000+3300

Additional Presidential Betting Odds

Beyond Trump and Harris, there are odds for other individuals who aren’t the Republican or Democratic nominee. 

Below are the odds for these other individuals courtesy of BetMGM.

Election WinnerOdds
JD Vance+10000
Tim Walz+20000
Robert F. Kennedy+30000
Chase Oliver+100000
Cornel West+100000
Jill Stein+100000

Visit BetMGM Ontario

Recent Election-Related News

  • October 30, 2024: It’s been reported that Republican Vice President nominee JD Vance will appear on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast. 

  • October 30, 2024: Trump arrives at a Wisconsin rally with former Green Bay Packers quarterback Brett Favre. Before that, he was seen giving a press conference from the passenger seat of a garbage truck in response to President Joe Biden’s comment during a CNN interview where he referred to Trump’s supporters as garbage. 

  • October 29, 2024: Harris appeared in front of a crowd of 75,000 in front of the White House to give what she dubbed her “closing argument.” 

  • October 28, 2024: Harris appears on the Club Shay Shay podcast hosted by former NFL player Shannon Sharpe. As of Oct. 30, the podcast has 1.3 million views. 

  • October 27, 2024: Trump holds a rally at Madison Square Garden. During the rally, comedian Tony Hinchcliffe made controversial jokes referring to Puerto Ricans and other groups of people. 

  • October 26, 2024: Trump appears on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast. As of Oct. 30, the podcast has 41 million views on YouTube, marking the second-most watched Rogan podcast of all time. It trails a podcast from five years ago featuring Bob Lazar and Jeremy Corbell. 

  • October 21, 2024: Trump appears for a photo-op while working at a McDonald’s in Pennsylvania after questioning whether Harris worked there as a student or not. 

Past Presidential Election Winners

Here’s a look back at previous presidential election winners and losers. 

YearWinner Runner-Up
2020Joe BidenDonald Trump
2016Donald TrumpHillary Clinton
2012Barack ObamaMitt Romey
2008Barack ObamaJohn McCain
2004George BushJohn Kerry
2000George BushAl Gore
1996Bill ClintonBob Dole
1992Bill ClintonGeorge H.W. Bush
1988George H.W. BushMichael Dukakis
1984Ronald ReaganWalter Mondale
1980Ronald ReaganJimmy Carter
1976Jimmy CarterGerald Ford
1972Richard NixonGeorge McGovern
1968Richard NixonHubert Humphrey
1964Lyndon B. JohnsonBarry Goldwater
1960John F. KennedyRichard Nixon
1956Dwight D. EisenhowerAdlai Stevenson
1952Dwight D. EisenhowerAdlai Stevenson
1948Harry TrumanThomas Dewey
1944Franklin D. RooseveltThomas Dewey
1940Franklin D. RooseveltWendell Willkie
1936Franklin D. RooseveltAlf Landon
1932Franklin D. RooseveltHerbert Hoover
1928Herbert HooverAl Smith
1924Calvin CoolidgeJohn W. Davis
1920Warren G. HardingJames M. Cox
1916Woodrow WilsonCharles Evans Hughes
1912Woodrow WilsonWilliam Howard Taft
1908William Howard TaftWilliams Jennings Bryan
1904Theodore RooseveltAlton B. Parker
1900William McKinleyWilliams Jennings Bryan

What is the Electoral College? 

How are electoral votes per state determined?

Can I bet on United States politics?

How is the winner of the election determined?

How can I watch the United States election?

When is the 2024 presidential election?

Who won the last presidential election?

Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NFL
NCAAB
NCAAF
Online Sports Betting
Online Casinos
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 9 years
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