We’re less than a week away from the United States presidential election, and according to the polls, the race is one of the tightest in recent memory.
However, looking at the betting odds across several Ontario-based sportsbooks, Republican nominee Donald Trump appears to be favored over the Democratic nominee Kamala Harris.
The race appears to be coming down to seven battleground states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada.
Below, I’ll examine the odds from the top online sports betting sites, examine the odds for each state, reference recent news, and more.
❗You cannot bet on the election at any US-licensed sportsbooks.
Below are the current betting odds for the 2024 United States presidential election, with odds from BetMGM, bet365, and FanDuel. All odds are courtesy of their Ontario, Canada branch.
Candidate | BetMGM | bet365 | FanDuel |
---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | -200 | -188 | -188 |
Kamala Harris | +160 | +162 | +154 |
With -200 odds, Trump's implied probability of winning is 66.67%, while Harris’s +154 marks a 39.37% chance.
Below are the odds for each state. The odds will be notated as Republican and Democrat.
The odds are courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook (Canada).
State 🇺🇸 | Republicans | Democrats |
---|---|---|
Alabama | -50000 | +5000 |
Alaska | -3300 | +1400 |
Arizona | -300 | +240 |
Arkansas | -50000 | +5000 |
California | +3300 | -20000 |
Colorado | +1400 | -3300 |
Connecticut | +3300 | -20000 |
Delaware | +3300 | -20000 |
Washington DC | +5000 | -50000 |
Florida | -2000 | +1000 |
Georgia | -250 | +200 |
Hawaii | +3300 | -20000 |
Idaho | -50000 | +5000 |
Illinois | +3300 | -20000 |
Indiana | -3300 | +1400 |
Kansas | -20000 | +3300 |
Kentucky | -20000 | +3300 |
Louisiana | -20000 | +3300 |
Maine (Full State)* | +700 | -1200 |
Maryland | +4000 | -25000 |
Massachusetts | +3300 | -20000 |
Michigan | +110 | -138 |
Minnesota | +600 | -1000 |
Mississippi | -20000 | +3300 |
Montana | -20000 | +3300 |
Nebraska (Full State) | -200 | +162 |
New Hampshire | +450 | -700 |
New Jersey | +2000 | -6600 |
New Mexico | +700 | -14200 |
New York | +3300 | -20000 |
North Carolina | -275 | +220 |
North Dakota | -20000 | +3300 |
Ohio | -4000 | +1800 |
Oklahoma | -20000 | +3300 |
Oregon | +2200 | -8000 |
Pennsylvania | -150 | +120 |
Rhode Island | +3300 | -20000 |
South Carolina | -20000 | +3300 |
South Dakota | -20000 | +3300 |
Tennessee | -50000 | +5000 |
Texas | -2500 | +1200 |
Utah | -25000 | +4000 |
Vermont | +5000 | -50000 |
Virginia | +500 | -800 |
Washington | +3300 | -20000 |
West Virginia | -50000 | +5000 |
Wisconsin | -138 | +110 |
Wyoming | -75000 | +6600 |
*=In Nebraska and Maine, there’s a separate electoral vote for the second congressional district in those states.
While a straight-up popular vote doesn’t determine the winner of the United States presidential election, BetMGM offers a betting market on it.
In 2016, Trump secured the presidency despite not winning the popular vote.
Republicans are +160 to win the popular vote, while Democrats are -200 at BetMGM.
In 2020, Biden received 81,283,501 votes compared to Trump’s 74,223,975.
In 2016, Trump secured 304 electoral votes to Hillary Clinton’s 227. Then, in 2020, Trump had 232 to Biden’s 306.
Below are the odds for the brackets of potential electoral votes each candidate could receive.
Candidate | 179 or less | 180-209 | 210-239 | 240-269 | 270-299 | 300-329 | 330-359 | 360 or more |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | +5000 | +2000 | +550 | +333 | +240 | +200 | +900 | +2000 |
Kamala Harris | +2000 | +1000 | +225 | +250 | +333 | +500 | +2000 | +3300 |
Beyond Trump and Harris, there are odds for other individuals who aren’t the Republican or Democratic nominee.
Below are the odds for these other individuals courtesy of BetMGM.
Election Winner | Odds |
---|---|
JD Vance | +10000 |
Tim Walz | +20000 |
Robert F. Kennedy | +30000 |
Chase Oliver | +100000 |
Cornel West | +100000 |
Jill Stein | +100000 |
October 30, 2024: It’s been reported that Republican Vice President nominee JD Vance will appear on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast.
October 30, 2024: Trump arrives at a Wisconsin rally with former Green Bay Packers quarterback Brett Favre. Before that, he was seen giving a press conference from the passenger seat of a garbage truck in response to President Joe Biden’s comment during a CNN interview where he referred to Trump’s supporters as garbage.
October 29, 2024: Harris appeared in front of a crowd of 75,000 in front of the White House to give what she dubbed her “closing argument.”
October 28, 2024: Harris appears on the Club Shay Shay podcast hosted by former NFL player Shannon Sharpe. As of Oct. 30, the podcast has 1.3 million views.
October 27, 2024: Trump holds a rally at Madison Square Garden. During the rally, comedian Tony Hinchcliffe made controversial jokes referring to Puerto Ricans and other groups of people.
October 26, 2024: Trump appears on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast. As of Oct. 30, the podcast has 41 million views on YouTube, marking the second-most watched Rogan podcast of all time. It trails a podcast from five years ago featuring Bob Lazar and Jeremy Corbell.
October 21, 2024: Trump appears for a photo-op while working at a McDonald’s in Pennsylvania after questioning whether Harris worked there as a student or not.
Here’s a look back at previous presidential election winners and losers.
Year | Winner | Runner-Up |
---|---|---|
2020 | Joe Biden | Donald Trump |
2016 | Donald Trump | Hillary Clinton |
2012 | Barack Obama | Mitt Romey |
2008 | Barack Obama | John McCain |
2004 | George Bush | John Kerry |
2000 | George Bush | Al Gore |
1996 | Bill Clinton | Bob Dole |
1992 | Bill Clinton | George H.W. Bush |
1988 | George H.W. Bush | Michael Dukakis |
1984 | Ronald Reagan | Walter Mondale |
1980 | Ronald Reagan | Jimmy Carter |
1976 | Jimmy Carter | Gerald Ford |
1972 | Richard Nixon | George McGovern |
1968 | Richard Nixon | Hubert Humphrey |
1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson | Barry Goldwater |
1960 | John F. Kennedy | Richard Nixon |
1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower | Adlai Stevenson |
1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower | Adlai Stevenson |
1948 | Harry Truman | Thomas Dewey |
1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt | Thomas Dewey |
1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt | Wendell Willkie |
1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt | Alf Landon |
1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt | Herbert Hoover |
1928 | Herbert Hoover | Al Smith |
1924 | Calvin Coolidge | John W. Davis |
1920 | Warren G. Harding | James M. Cox |
1916 | Woodrow Wilson | Charles Evans Hughes |
1912 | Woodrow Wilson | William Howard Taft |
1908 | William Howard Taft | Williams Jennings Bryan |
1904 | Theodore Roosevelt | Alton B. Parker |
1900 | William McKinley | Williams Jennings Bryan |
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